ATP HalleFinished

Predictions graded

Martin Landaluce #58Spain2Marc-Andrea Huesler #320Switzerland1

Sets 3-6 · 6-3 · 7-6Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:50 Predictions gradedQ1Grass

Predictions4–357%

Edges1–233%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageMartin Landaluce · 262 places

Martin Landaluce

Spain

Spanish 20-year-old who reached a career-high No. 58 on 8 June 2026. Public results show recent breakthroughs at Masters level in Miami and Rome, with earlier title success on hard courts rather than a clearly documented single preferred surface.

Current ranking: #58
Peak ranking: #58 · 2026
Current age: 20
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Right handed
Height: 193 cm

Marc-Andrea Huesler

Switzerland

Swiss left-hander and former ATP champion whose career-high ranking was No. 47 in February 2023. He arrives in Halle well below that peak, with current public profile sources showing a long ranking slide rather than a fresh protected-ranking or comeback trigger.

Current ranking: #320
Peak ranking: #47 · 2023
Current age: 29
Preferred surface: —
Hand: Left handed
Height: 196 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jun 2026, 10:50 · Europe/Bucharest

Landaluce's superior ranking and grass form make him the favorite, but his heavy clay mileage is a concern.

Best bet is Landaluce 2-0 at 1.95, with value also on over 12.5 aces. Avoid over 21.5 total games and Huesler +3.5 handicap due to Landaluce's straight-set efficiency.

Context

His Roland Garros run ended with a 6-hour, 3-minute loss to Cerundolo on 30 May 2026.
- Cadena SER reported more than 14 hours on court across his three Paris matches.
- He now plays on grass just 14 days later, with no grass-court match practice in between.
Huesler's career ace rate is 10.5%, nearly double Landaluce's 5.3%.
- Huesler stands 196cm and uses a lefty serve that creates tough angles on grass.
- Landaluce's double-fault rate of 5.4% is higher than Huesler's 3.9%.
Huesler defeated No. 118 Basilashvili 6-1, 7-5 on grass on 6 June 2026.
- He also pushed No. 186 Onclin to a tiebreak in a 7-6, 6-4 loss on grass.
- Landaluce's last grass match was a 6-2, 6-3 loss to No. 91 Walton in April 2026.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Martin Landaluce

1.36fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

Landaluce's superior ranking and recent form against top-100 opponents justify his favorite status, though the odds slightly overestimate his win probability.

Set 1 WinnerlostUncertainty band: Lean

Martin Landaluce

1.44fair 1.61

BetBugs 62% · Market 69.4%

0.0ppshort

Landaluce's high first-set win rate and recent trend of starting strong support him taking the opener against a lower-ranked opponent.

Set BettinglostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Martin Landaluce 2-0

1.95fair 1.82

BetBugs 45% · Market 51.3%

0.0ppshort

Landaluce's strong straight-set record on grass and Huesler's recent straight-set losses suggest a higher probability of a 2-0 win than the odds imply.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.36
The read
Landaluce's higher ranking, stronger recent form against better opposition, and superior grass-court record give him a clear edge in this Bo3 qualifying match.
- Landaluce ranking 58 vs Huesler 320, significant gap in current level.
- Landaluce 2025 grass record 8-4, Huesler 1-4 in 2025 and 2-2 in 2026.
- Landaluce last 5 matches: 3-2 with wins over top-100 opponents, Huesler 2-3 with losses to lower-ranked players.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMartin LandaluceEstimated chance65%

Games2 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match lengths and grass-court dynamics suggest a competitive match with potential tiebreaks, pushing total games over 21.5.
- Landaluce's last 5 matches averaged 24.6 games, Huesler's 22.2.
- Both players have tiebreak experience (Landaluce 44% career, Huesler 51%).
- Grass often leads to tight sets with few breaks.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Huesler's serve and grass-court experience should keep the match within a 3.5-game margin, even in a likely loss.
- Huesler's last 5 losses: average margin -3.2 games.
- Landaluce's last 5 wins: average margin +4.0 games.
- Huesler's lefty serve can keep sets close on grass.
BetBugs · Game HandicapwonMarc-Andrea Huesler +3.5Estimated chance55%

Sets0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Landaluce's high first-set win rate and recent trend of starting strong support him taking the opener against a lower-ranked opponent.
- Landaluce first-set win conversion 82% career, Huesler 79%.
- Landaluce won first set in 3 of last 5 matches, Huesler in 2 of last 5.
- Landaluce's serve numbers (69% first-serve points won) slightly better on grass.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerlostMartin LandaluceEstimated chance62%

Match stats1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Huesler's high ace rate and lefty serve on grass, combined with Landaluce's decent ace output, should push total aces over 12.5.
- Huesler ace rate 10.5% career, Landaluce 5.3%.
- Huesler height 196cm, lefty serve effective on grass.
- Landaluce's recent matches: 5+ aces in 3 of last 5.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 12.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' frequent tiebreak involvement and the serve-friendly grass surface make at least one tiebreak likely.
- Landaluce tiebreak win rate 44%, Huesler 51% career.
- Landaluce played tiebreaks in 3 of last 5 matches.
- Grass courts increase tiebreak likelihood due to serve dominance.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchwonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Landaluce's higher double-fault rate and the pressure of grass-court serving could push combined double faults over 6.5.
- Landaluce double-fault rate 5.4%, Huesler 3.9%.
- Landaluce averaged 3.2 double faults per match in last 5.
- Grass can lead to more double faults due to aggressive second serves.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 6.5Estimated chance50%

Martin Landaluce

8W 7L

6-7(4) 7-5 7-6(3)#9Taylor Fritz

5-7 6-3 6-4#232Pierre-Hugues Herbert

6-4 6-7(7) 7-6(4) 6-7(4) 7-6(8)#45Juan Manuel Cerundolo

1-6 2-6 6-4 7-5 6-0#65Vit Kopriva

6-3 4-6 6-2 6-7(3) 6-4#161Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

1-6 6-4 7-5#8Daniil Medvedev

7-5 6-4#68Hamad Medjedovic

6-4 6-3#78Mattia Bellucci

6-4 6-4#47Marin Cilic

6-3 2-6 6-2#109Andrea Pellegrino

6-2 6-3#156Christopher O'Connell

1-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)#67Ethan Quinn

4-6 6-1 6-3#780Daniel Jade

6-2 6-3#91Adam Walton

7-5 6-2#16Lorenzo Musetti

Marc-Andrea Huesler

6W 9L

7-6(1) 6-4#186Gauthier Onclin

6-1 7-5#118Nikoloz Basilashvili

6-2 2-6 7-6(3)#214Zhizhen Zhang

6-4 5-7 7-6(2)#187Alexis Galarneau

6-4 6-4#190Clement Tabur

7-6(7) 6-3#55Botic Van De Zandschulp

6-0 6-1#331Marko Topo

6-4 4-6 6-4#105Jan Choinski

1-6 6-2 6-1#423Corentin Denolly

7-6(2) 7-6(5)#493Dan Martin

5-7 6-4 6-4#79James Duckworth

6-4 6-3#328Tyler Zink

6-3 6-2#457Juan Alejandro Hernandez

4-6 6-3 6-4—Takeru Yuzuki

6-4 6-4#370Mika Brunold