Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30
The read
Rocha's superior recent form and higher ranking (121 vs 279) give him a clear edge, despite limited career grass data.
- Rocha is on a 5-match winning streak, all on grass at Ilkley, beating opponents ranked 82, 175, 196, 140, and 441.
- Rocha's career first-set win conversion is 86%, indicating strong starts.
- Broom's recent form includes a loss to Clement Chidekh (rank 200) and a heavy defeat to Pol Martin Tiffon (rank 221).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonHenrique RochaEstimated chance62%

Games0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Recent match lengths for both players suggest a competitive match likely exceeding 21.5 games.
- Rocha's last 5 matches averaged 21.8 total games.
- Broom's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 total games.
- Both players have shown the ability to push sets to tiebreaks (Rocha 55% career tiebreak win rate, Broom 52%).
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 21.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players capable of holding serve, pushing the total over 9.5 games.
- Rocha's last 5 first sets: 7-6, 6-4, 6-2, 6-4, 6-4 (average 9.6 games).
- Broom's last 5 first sets: 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-3, 4-6 (average 9.0 games).
- Both players have tiebreak experience, increasing the chance of a close first set.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Broom is likely to keep the match within 3.5 games, given his competitiveness and Rocha's tendency for close wins.
- Broom's recent losses have been competitive, with a 3-set loss to Chidekh and a tight match against Blanchet.
- Rocha's wins have often been by narrow margins, with 3 of his last 5 wins decided by 4 games or fewer.
- Broom's grass-court experience (28 career wins) could keep the match close.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostCharles Broom +3.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets in their recent matches have frequently gone over 9.5 games, indicating a pattern of competitive play.
- Rocha's last 5 second sets: 6-3, 6-2, 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 (average 9.4 games).
- Broom's last 5 second sets: 7-6, 6-1, 6-7, 6-2, 6-7 (average 9.8 games).
- Both players have shown resilience in second sets, often extending them beyond 9 games.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.20
The read
Rocha's strong first-set record and recent trend of winning the opener make him the likely set 1 winner.
- Rocha has won the first set in 4 of his last 5 matches.
- Rocha's career first-set win conversion is 86%.
- Broom lost the first set in his last match against Dan Evans and in 3 of his last 5 matches.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonHenrique RochaEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The high frequency of tiebreaks in both players' recent matches makes a tiebreak in this match very likely.
- Rocha has played a tiebreak in 4 of his last 5 matches.
- Broom has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 5 matches.
- Both players have career tiebreak win rates above 50% (Rocha 55%, Broom 52%).
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Broom's high ace rate on a grass surface should push the total aces over 8.5, even with Rocha's lower output.
- Broom's career ace rate is 7.5%, significantly higher than Rocha's 3.8%.
- On grass, ace rates typically increase, favoring Broom's serve.
- Rocha's ace rate is low, but Broom alone could contribute 5-6 aces based on his rate.
BetBugs · Total AcesOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Given both players' double fault rates and the pressure of grass-court tennis, over 5.5 double faults is probable.
- Rocha's career double fault rate is 4.8%, Broom's is 4.1%.
- On grass, double faults can increase due to aggressive second serving.
- In a competitive match, both players are likely to commit at least 3 double faults each.
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Henrique Rocha #121Portugal2Charles Broom #279United Kingdom0

Player Profiles

Henrique Rocha

Charles Broom

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Henrique Rocha

Henrique Rocha

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Result1 of 1 landed

Games0 of 4 landed

Sets1 of 1 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Henrique Rocha

Charles Broom