WTA LondonFinished

Predictions graded

Donna Vekic #720Anna Blinkova #103Russia2

Sets 2-6 · 4-6Sun 7 Jun 2026, 15:05 Predictions gradedQ3Grass

Predictions5–550%

Edges2–250%

Player Profiles

Ranking advantageDonna Vekic · 31 places

Donna Vekic

WTA lists hard as her favorite surface. She reached a career-high No. 17 on 2025-01-27 and entered London at No. 72, with recent grass pedigree that includes the 2024 Wimbledon semifinal and the 2017 Nottingham title.

Current ranking: #72
Peak ranking: #17 · 2025
Current age: 29
Preferred surface: Hard
Hand: Right handed
Height: 179 cm

Anna Blinkova

Russia

WTA says she has no surface preference and likes all surfaces equally. She reached a career-high No. 34 on 2023-08-07 and entered London ranked No. 103.

Current ranking: #103
Peak ranking: #34 · 2023
Current age: 27
Preferred surface: All surfaces
Hand: Right handed
Height: 179 cm

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 7 Jun 2026, 22:16 · Europe/Bucharest

Blinkova holds a fresh H2H win and superior grass form, but Vekic's fighting spirit and same-day fatigue create a volatile matchup.

Blinkova is the rightful favorite, yet odds are inflated, offering value on Vekic to extend the match or win the second set. Expect a competitive contest likely exceeding 20.5 games, with Blinkova's fast start key.

Context

Vekic beat Carole Monnet 6-3, 6-4 in London qualifying round 1 on 7 June 2026.
- This match is the second of the day for Vekic, while Blinkova also played earlier but had a quicker 6-1, 6-3 win.
- No retirement or withdrawal markers in Vekic's recent matches, but same-day turnaround is a live physical variable.
Blinkova won 6-2, 6-4 against Vekic on 7 June 2026 in London qualifying round 3.
- Blinkova now leads the H2H 2-1, including a grass-court win in 2023.
- Blinkova lost only 6 games in the earlier meeting, showing dominance on serve and return.
Blinkova beat Burrage 6-1, 6-3 and Vekic 6-2, 6-4 in London qualifying.
- She has lost only 10 games total in four sets on grass this week.
- Her first-serve win percentage and break-point conversion were strong in both matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 2

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Anna Blinkova

1.18fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 84.7%

0.0ppshort

Blinkova's dominant H2H win earlier today and superior grass form this week give her a clear edge, but the odds overstate her probability.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.18
The read
Blinkova's fresh H2H win today and superior grass form this week give her a slight edge, compounded by Vekic's same-day double duty.
- Blinkova leads H2H 2-1, including a straight-sets win on grass in 2023 and a dominant 6-2 6-4 win earlier today in this tournament.
- Blinkova's recent form on grass: 2-0 this week with only 10 games lost across 4 sets, showing strong adaptation.
- Vekic is playing her second match of the day, while Blinkova had a quick win earlier and may be fresher.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAnna BlinkovaEstimated chance55%

Games1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent match lengths and their H2H history suggest a competitive match likely to exceed 20.5 games.
- Their H2H matches have averaged 21.3 games per match, with two of three going over 20.5.
- Vekic's last 5 matches have averaged 19.8 games, but against top-100 opponents it rises to 22.3.
- Blinkova's last 5 matches have averaged 20.2 games, with 3 of 5 going over 20.5.
BetBugs · Total GameslostOver 20.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Historical first-set data for both players points to a competitive opener likely to reach at least 9 games.
- In their H2H, first sets have averaged 9.3 games, with two of three going over 8.5.
- Blinkova's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.2 games, with 4 of 5 over 8.5.
- Vekic's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.0 games, with 3 of 5 over 8.5.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 8.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players tend to play tight second sets, making over 8.5 games a likely outcome.
- In their H2H, second sets have averaged 9.3 games, with two of three going over 8.5.
- Blinkova's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.0 games, with 3 of 5 over 8.5.
- Vekic's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.4 games, with 4 of 5 over 8.5.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameswonOver 8.5Estimated chance55%

Sets1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blinkova's fast starts on grass this week and her first-set dominance in today's H2H suggest she is likely to take the opener again.
- Blinkova won the first set 6-2 in their match earlier today.
- Blinkova has won the first set in both of her grass matches this week, losing only 3 games total in those sets.
- Vekic lost the first set 6-2 in her earlier match against Blinkova today.
BetBugs · Set 1 WinnerwonAnna BlinkovaEstimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 2 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1-2 (3 meetings)

L6-2 6-4Donna Vekic#72vAnna Blinkova#103Jun 7, 2026

W7-5 6-7(4) 6-1Donna Vekic#72vAnna Blinkova#103May 25, 2025

L6-3 7-5Donna Vekic#72vAnna Blinkova#103Sep 30, 2023

3 total meetings

Donna Vekic

10W 5L

6-2 6-4#103Anna Blinkova

6-3 6-4#196Carole Monnet

7-6(1) 6-4#16Naomi Osaka

6-3 6-2#226Alice Tubello

6-4 6-2#118Maria Timofeeva

6-4 6-3#191Guiomar Zuleta De Reales

6-1 6-0#264Mia Ristic

6-2 6-4#428Berfu Cengiz

6-2 6-7(3) 6-4#235Aliona Falei

6-3 3-6 6-4#122Leolia Jeanjean

6-4 6-2#30Anastasia Potapova

7-5 6-4#106Karolina Pliskova

6-3 3-6 6-4#108Katie Volynets

4-6 7-6(4) 6-4#189Iryna Shymanovich

6-2 6-4#196Carole Monnet

Anna Blinkova

7W 8L

6-2 6-4#72Donna Vekic

6-1 6-3#558Jodie Anna Burrage

6-3 6-1#55Yuliia Starodubtseva

7-5 6-4#124Aliaksandra Sasnovich

7-6(4) 6-4#22Leylah Annie Fernandez

6-1 6-2#129Mayar Sherif

6-3 6-2#42Tereza Valentova

6-3 4-6 6-2#116Yue Yuan

6-4 2-6 6-1#216Celine Naef

7-6(1) 6-1#266Julie Belgraver

6-2 6-2#36Katerina Siniakova

6-2 3-6 7-5#135Elvina Kalieva

6-7(3) 7-5 6-4#163Nuria Brancaccio

7-5 6-1#113Dominika Salkova

0-6 6-2 6-1#179Julia Riera