Tyra Caterina Grant #184Italy22 – 0Darya Astakhova #277Russia0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.90

The read

Both players' recent matches have been competitive and often extended, suggesting a total games over 20.5 is likely.

• Grant's last 5 matches have averaged 21.2 total games.
• Astakhova's last 5 matches have averaged 22.6 total games.
• Both players have been involved in three-setters in 3 of their last 5 matches each.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players' recent first-set trends pointing to over 9.5 games.

• Grant's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.6 games.
• Astakhova's last 5 first sets have averaged 9.8 games.
• In their recent matches, both players have had tight opening sets, with 4 of Grant's last 5 first sets going over 9.5 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.91

The read

The second set is expected to be tightly contested, mirroring the competitive nature of their recent matches.

• Grant's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.4 games.
• Astakhova's last 5 second sets have averaged 9.8 games.
• In matches where the first set is close, the second set often remains competitive, with 4 of Grant's last 5 second sets going over 9.5 games.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Astakhova's ability to stay competitive in matches makes her likely to cover the +3.5 game handicap.

• Astakhova has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of her last 5 matches.
• Grant's average margin of victory in her last 5 wins is 4.2 games, but against stronger opponents, the margin narrows.
• Astakhova's recent form includes competitive matches against top-200 players, suggesting she can keep the match close.