Sidharth Rawat #529India00 – 2Ognjen Milic #378Serbia2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players capable of holding serve and forcing a tiebreak or 7-5, pushing the total over 9.5 games.

• In Rawat's last 5 matches, the first set averaged 10.2 games; in Milic's last 5, it averaged 10.4 games.
• Both players have first-set tiebreak history: Rawat played 3 tiebreaks in his last 5 first sets, Milic 2.
• Milic's first-set win rate is high, but he often faces resistance: 4 of his last 5 first sets went to 10+ games.
• Rawat's first-set games in recent wins: 7-6, 6-4, 7-6, 7-6, 6-3 – all but one over 9.5.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Rawat's recent losses have been competitive, and Milic's wins haven't been blowouts against top-500 players, making +3.5 games a reasonable cover for Rawat.

• Rawat's last 5 losses: -3, -1, -7, -3, -6 games; only one loss by more than 3.5 games.
• Milic's last 5 wins: +4, +2, +6, +7, +5; but against weaker opponents than Rawat.
• Rawat's hold/break stats suggest he can keep matches close: 57.8% break point save rate, 42.8% convert rate.
• In their current tournament, Rawat won his opener 7-6, 6-2, showing he can cover +3.5 against similar opposition.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

With both players showing decent serve hold stats and a tendency for tight sets, the match is likely to exceed 21.5 games, though confidence is low due to potential for a lopsided set.

• Rawat's last 5 matches averaged 20.6 games; Milic's averaged 22.2 games, with 3 of his last 5 exceeding 21.5.
• Both players have high hold rates: Rawat saves 57.8% of break points, Milic 60.4%, suggesting fewer breaks and longer sets.
• In their recent matches, both have been involved in multiple tiebreaks or 7-5 sets, inflating game counts.
• Hard-court Challenger matches between similarly ranked players often go over 21.5 games.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Assuming a competitive match, the second set is likely to see at least 10 games, though a blowout is possible, keeping confidence low.

• In Rawat's last 5 matches, the second set averaged 9.6 games; in Milic's, it averaged 9.8 games.
• Milic's second sets have been tighter recently: 6-4, 6-3, 6-4, 7-6, 6-3 – all over 9.5 except one.
• Rawat's second sets show variability but often go to 6-4 or 7-6 when he's competitive.
• If Milic wins the first set, Rawat may raise his level to force a longer second set.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Given both players' recent history of tight sets and frequent tiebreaks, it's likely this match will feature at least one tiebreak.

• Rawat has played a tiebreak in 4 of his last 5 matches (80%).
• Milic has played a tiebreak in 3 of his last 5 matches (60%).
• Milic's tiebreak win rate is 74%, Rawat's is 47%, but both frequently reach tiebreaks.
• Their first-set competitiveness (both averaging over 10 games) suggests a high chance of at least one tiebreak.