Reached a career-high No. 24 on May 4, 2026. The clearest current trajectory signal is upward ranking momentum, with the left-calf issue from Madrid/Rome the main recent interruption.
Reached a career-high No. 115 on May 4, 2026. Public profile material in the checked source set is thinner here, so his clearest current trajectory signal is this week's rise from qualifying into the Bordeaux main draw.
Finished Snapshot
Sets
4-6 · 6-7
Predictions
7W · 1L · 0P
Edges
1W · 0L · 0P
Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.
Martin Damm holds a clear fitness and rhythm edge over Arthur Rinderknech, who is returning from a calf injury. Damm’s live clay momentum and career-best ranking phase make him a value bet at 2.30, with a model edge of 11.5 percentage points. Expect a tight, serve-dominated match where Damm’s current form should prevail.
The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.
Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.
Market & pick
Implied
Model
Edge
The model view before price and edge filtering.
Market & pick
Model
Low-conviction spots where the price does not justify the risk.
Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
May 14, 05:09
May 14, 05:14
May 15, 10:33
May 14, 05:14
Analysis updated: May 14, 05:16