Reached a new career high of No. 125 in 2026. Available record splits point to clay as her best current surface, and her Paris run came through qualifying into the quarterfinal.
Reached career-high No. 29 on September 19, 2022. WTA lists indoor hardcourt as her favorite surface, and she remains active across WTA and WTA 125 events in 2026.
Finished Snapshot
Sets
6-4 · 6-0
Predictions
4W · 4L · 0P
Edges
3W · 2L · 0P
Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.
Alina Charaeva holds a clear advantage over Aliaksandra Sasnovich in this WTA Paris quarterfinal, backed by a 1-0 clay H2H win in April and a strong 13-7 clay record in 2026. Charaeva’s current form and fast starts make her the value pick to win the match and first set, with the total games likely exceeding 20.5. Sasnovich’s mixed clay results and recent loss to Charaeva suggest an uphill battle despite her hard-court pedigree.
The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.
Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.
Market & pick
Implied
Model
Edge
The model view before price and edge filtering.
Market & pick
Model
Low-conviction spots where the price does not justify the risk.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
May 14, 17:54
May 14, 17:59
May 15, 15:01
May 14, 17:59
Analysis updated: May 14, 18:01