Reached No. 19 on 2024-07-01. A 2025 wrist injury interrupted his clay swing and helps explain the dip from his peak. His notable results span hard, grass and clay, so he is not a one-surface specialist.
Reached No. 23 on 2019-04-29. Clay is his clearest best surface, backed by the 2019 Monte-Carlo final and ATP titles in Umag and Banja Luka. His ranking now sits well below peak after an injury-hit 2025.
Finished Snapshot
Sets
4-6 · 7-5 · 6-4
Predictions
2W · 6L · 0P
Edges
1W · 2L · 0P
Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.
Tabilo’s elite 2026 clay form (21-8, Rio final, Aix title) and recent H2H win over an injury-hampered Lajovic make him a strong favorite. Lajovic’s February accident and ranking slide compound his poor clay results, pointing to a straight-sets Tabilo win. Best betting edge: Tabilo 2-0 at +5.4 points value.
The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.
Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.
Market & pick
Implied
Model
Edge
The model view before price and edge filtering.
Market & pick
Model
Low-conviction spots where the price does not justify the risk.
Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.
May 14, 17:54
May 14, 17:59
May 15, 11:33
May 14, 17:59
Analysis updated: May 14, 18:01