Vilius Gaubas vs Frederico Ferreira Silva: result, stats and head-to-head

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Gaubas's superior clay H2H and recent top-100 wins give him a slight edge over Silva, who has struggled against similar-ranked opponents on clay.
- Gaubas leads H2H 2-1, including 2-0 on clay (2024 Oeiras, 2025 Braga).
- Gaubas has a 10-10 clay record in 2026, with wins over Baez (rank 65) and Sakamoto (rank 156) in last 5 matches.
- Silva is 8-8 on clay in 2026, with recent losses to Tseng (rank 169) and Svrcina (rank 116).
- Gaubas has a higher career clay win percentage (158 wins vs Silva's 215, but Gaubas has played fewer matches and has a 59.4% overall win rate).
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVilius GaubasEstimated chance58%

Games1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Silva is likely to keep the match close, as Gaubas rarely wins by large margins and their H2H is tight.
- Silva has covered a +3.5 game handicap in 4 of his last 5 losses.
- Gaubas's wins have often been by narrow margins; his last 5 wins averaged a 4.2-game margin.
- H2H matches have been decided by 3 games or fewer in two of three meetings.
BetBugs · Game HandicaplostFrederico Ferreira Silva +3.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players' recent matches and their tight H2H history suggest a match likely to exceed 21.5 games.
- Gaubas's last 5 matches averaged 22.6 games per match.
- Silva's last 5 matches averaged 21.8 games per match.
- H2H matches averaged 25.3 games, with all three exceeding 21.5 games.
BetBugs · Total GameswonOver 21.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 2.00
The read
The first set is likely to be competitive, with both players showing a pattern of extended opening sets.
- Gaubas's last 5 first sets averaged 10.2 games.
- Silva's last 5 first sets averaged 9.8 games.
- H2H first sets averaged 10.7 games, with two of three going over 9.5.
BetBugs · Set 1 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Second sets have been competitive in their H2H, and both players have shown the ability to extend sets.
- Gaubas's last 5 second sets averaged 9.4 games.
- Silva's last 5 second sets averaged 9.2 games.
- H2H second sets averaged 10.3 games, with two of three over 9.5.
BetBugs · Set 2 Total GameslostOver 9.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Neither player is a big server, and their H2H ace counts suggest a total under 7.5 is likely.
- Gaubas averages 3.2 aces per match (career ace rate 3.2%).
- Silva averages 4.1 aces per match (career ace rate 4.1%).
- In their H2H, total aces were 20 across 3 matches (avg 6.7 per match).
BetBugs · Total AcesUnder 7.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have a high frequency of tiebreaks in recent matches and their H2H, making a tiebreak likely.
- Gaubas has played a tiebreak in 5 of his last 15 matches.
- Silva has played a tiebreak in 6 of his last 15 matches.
- H2H: 2 of 3 matches featured at least one tiebreak.
BetBugs · Tiebreak in MatchlostYesEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both players have moderate double fault rates, and their H2H average is close to 5.5, making over 5.5 a slight lean.
- Gaubas averages 2.6 double faults per match (career DF rate 2.6%).
- Silva averages 2.8 double faults per match (career DF rate 2.8%).
- H2H: 16 double faults in 3 matches (avg 5.3 per match).
BetBugs · Total Double FaultsOver 5.5Estimated chance55%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

Vilius Gaubas #121Lithuania2Frederico Ferreira Silva #238Portugal1

Player Profiles

Vilius Gaubas

Frederico Ferreira Silva

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 9.5

Vilius Gaubas

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 1 landed

Games1 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 1 landed

Head-to-Head

Vilius Gaubas

Frederico Ferreira Silva