Back to matchesComplete
Panna Udvardy - Tyra Caterina Grant
MadridFinished
Panna Udvardy
#78
Tyra Caterina Grant
#262
Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 11:49
Quick Take
Udvardy is a modest favorite on ranking and clay depth, but Grant's immediate Madrid form keeps this closer than usual. With only moneyline priced, Udvardy 1.80 is a small edge; most other angles are better monitored live if markets open.
Match WinnerPanna Udvardy58%+2.4pp
Context Signals
Reuters (via Straits Times) reported on March 7, 2026 that Panna Udvardy said she received threats during the Antalya Challenger, involved police protection, and filed an official report.
TennisTemple match page for Madrid 2026 qualifying lists Tyra Caterina Grant defeating Veronika Erjavec 7-6(3), 7-5 (finished in 1:54), indicating immediate match rhythm on local clay conditions.
Betting Edges
Model probabilities
Markets to Avoid
Total Games N/A:No total-games line is present in odds data for this event snapshot.
Game Handicap N/A:No game-handicap line is present in odds data for this event snapshot.
Total Sets N/A:No total-sets prices are available in the current odds snapshot.
Panna Udvardy enters this Madrid matchup as the more established clay profile, with a clear ranking edge (78 vs 262) and a much deeper long-run clay sample. That baseline keeps her as the model's slight favorite, but only at medium confidence because the matchup data is tighter than a typical 78-vs-262 spot.
Tyra Caterina Grant brings the fresher local signal: she already won a Madrid qualifying match on April 20 (7-6, 7-5 vs Erjavec), which supports immediate adaptation to these courts.
Recent Form
Panna Udvardy
6W 4LL5-7 6-1 6-0#110 Anhelina KalininaApr 8, 2026
L6-7(7) 6-2 6-2#24 Marie BouzkovaApr 5, 2026
W6-7(6) 6-3 7-6(5)#86 Emiliana ArangoApr 4, 2026
W7-6(2) 6-1#163 Katarzyna KawaApr 3, 2026
W6-0 2-6 6-1#364 Julieta ParejaApr 1, 2026
W6-1 1-6 6-0#880 Maria Camila Torres MurciaMar 30, 2026
L6-3 6-4#167 Leyre Romero GormazMar 11, 2026
L7-6(3) 7-5#110 Anhelina KalininaMar 6, 2026
W6-4 7-6(4)#137 Polina KudermetovaMar 5, 2026
W6-3 6-3#185 Anastasia GasanovaMar 3, 2026
Tyra Caterina Grant
7W 3LW7-6(3) 7-5#96 Veronika ErjavecApr 20, 2026
L7-5 3-6 6-2#359 Sara Sorribes TormoApr 17, 2026
W6-3 6-2#649 Adrienn NagyApr 16, 2026
W6-4 6-2#466 Alena KovackovaApr 12, 2026
W6-2 6-1#519 Martina TrevisanApr 11, 2026
W6-3 6-2#435 Noemi BasilettiApr 10, 2026
W6-4 6-1#577 Jana KovackovaApr 9, 2026
W6-4 3-6 6-4#561 Valentina SteinerApr 8, 2026
L6-3 6-2#466 Alena KovackovaMar 31, 2026
L7-6(5) 6-4#189 Jeline VandrommeFeb 14, 2026
Data Coverage (dev)
Data Coverage
StatsAvailable
Apr 20, 16:09
IntelAvailable
Apr 20, 16:11
OddsAvailable
Apr 21, 13:33
Injuries/News (from Intel)Available
Apr 20, 16:11
Analysis updated: Apr 20, 16:16