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Cercle BruggeAntwerp

Sun 1 Nov 2026, 12:301 Nov, 12:30

10Probabilities6Priced6Edges72%Strongest

Strong leanLeanSlight lean

Quick Take

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Context last updated 31 Oct 2026, 04:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-placed Cercle Brugge are winless in nine league games and host an Antwerp side with one away win in four.

Antwerp to avoid defeat at 1.88 is the pick of the reviewed quotes, alongside fewer than two first-half goals at 1.6. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, each at 1.5, Cercle to score at 1.13 and Cercle to take more than 4.5 corners at 1.38 do not hold up.

Context

No confirmed availability changes on either side. The confirmed pre-match context is limited to the 13:30 local kick-off at Jan Breydelstadion and Cercle's HalloGreen matchday programme, neither of which alters the sporting picture.

Cercle Brugge have taken three points from nine league games this season and have not won at home in the league.
That January afternoon is the clearest recent example of the gap between these squads, and it came at the same venue. Across the five meetings listed, Antwerp have won two, drawn two and lost one. Against that, Antwerp have won only one of four away league games this season, and the previous Bruges meeting before January ended 0-0 in March 2025.
- 31 January 2026: Cercle Brugge 0-4 Antwerp at Jan Breydelstadion in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Over the five head-to-heads listed (May 2024 to January 2026): Antwerp 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat.
- The previous meeting at Jan Breydelstadion, on 1 March 2025, finished 0-0.
The league table places Cercle 18th of 18 on three points from nine games, with 11 scored and 21 conceded.
Home advantage has not translated into points: the single draw is the only return from four home league fixtures, and Cercle have been beaten 3-0 there by Gent on 6 September. Antwerp's away returns are themselves modest at one win and three defeats, so the venue offers Cercle a chance rather than a platform. The sample is four home games.
- Cercle Brugge home league record 2026: 4 played, 0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses, 4 goals for, 9 against.
- Cercle Brugge overall league record 2026: 9 played, 0 wins, 3 draws, 6 losses, 11 goals for, 21 against, 3 points, 18th of 18.
The 29 October matchday plan places this fixture in Cercle Brugge's HalloGreen programme at Jan Breydelstadion. It provides distinctive supporter and stadium context for the home match. The activities are pre-match entertainment rather than a selection, tactical or availability development.
- HalloGreen activities are planned before kick-off for the Antwerp home match.
- Masks and other face coverings are not permitted.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Oct 2026, 04:03 · Europe/Bucharest
The 1 September fixture listing fixes the match at Jan Breydelstadion at 13:30 local time. It establishes the confirmed occasion and venue for both teams. The schedule does not itself provide information about selection or matchday conditions.
- The fixture is scheduled for 1 November 2026 at 13:30 local time.
- Jan Breydelstadion is listed as the venue.
- The match is part of Jupiler Pro League Matchday 10.
ConfirmedSources checked 31 Oct 2026, 04:03 · Europe/BucharestSporzasporza.be · 1 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Goals Over/UnderUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.50fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 66.7%

−6.7ppshort

Both teams concede heavily and neither defends well enough to expect a low-scoring game, with Cercle in particular involved in repeatedly open matches.

Both Teams to ScoreUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.50fair 1.75

BetBugs 57% · Market 66.7%

−9.7ppshort

Cercle always concede and usually score, while Antwerp have both scored and conceded in most of their recent games.

Home Goals TotalUncertainty band: Strong lean

Cercle Brugge over 0.5

1.13fair 1.39

BetBugs 72% · Market 88.5%

−16.5ppshort

Cercle create enough to score at home, having found the net in most of their matches, and Antwerp concede regularly.

Home CornersUncertainty band: Strong lean

Cercle Brugge over 4.5

1.38fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 72.5%

−7.5ppshort

Cercle generate corners at a solid rate and especially at home, and Antwerp's matches give opponents a healthy corner count.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thinks each outcome is.

Result1 outcome · top 69%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Antwerp sit mid-table against the league's bottom side, and Cercle have not won any of their nine league games, so covering the draw alongside Antwerp is the safest way to express the gap.
- Cercle Brugge are 18th with 3 points from 9 league games (0W 3D 6L, 11 scored, 21 conceded)
- Cercle's home league record is 0W 1D 3L with 4 goals for and 9 against
- Antwerp have 3 league wins and are unbeaten in the last five head-to-heads (2W 2D 1L)
- Antwerp won the most recent meeting 3-0 at home and 4-0 at Jan Breydelstadion in January
BetBugs · Double ChanceDraw or AntwerpMarket price1.88Estimated chance69%

Goals5 outcomes · top 72%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both teams concede heavily and neither defends well enough to expect a low-scoring game, with Cercle in particular involved in repeatedly open matches.
- Cercle matches average 3.6 goals (1.27 for, 2.36 against over 11 competitive games)
- Antwerp matches average 3.6 goals (1.6 for, 2.0 against over 10)
- Cercle have kept no clean sheet in 11 competitive matches
- Five of Cercle's last six competitive games produced three or more goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderOver 2.5Market price1.50Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Cercle always concede and usually score, while Antwerp have both scored and conceded in most of their recent games.
- Cercle have scored in 8 of 11 competitive matches but kept zero clean sheets
- Both teams scored in 8 of Cercle's 11 competitive matches
- Antwerp have scored in 8 of 10 competitive matches and conceded in 7
- Both teams scored in 5 of Antwerp's last 6 competitive away-inclusive matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScoreYesMarket price1.50Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.13
The read
Cercle create enough to score at home, having found the net in most of their matches, and Antwerp concede regularly.
- Cercle average 1.27 goals per competitive match and have scored in 8 of 11
- Cercle have scored 4 goals across 4 home league games
- Antwerp have conceded in 7 of 10 competitive matches
- Cercle scored in both of their most recent home league matches listed, against Anderlecht and earlier opposition
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalCercle Brugge over 0.5Market price1.13Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides' second halves are markedly more open than their first halves, with the conceding patterns concentrated after the break.
- Cercle average 0.64 second-half goals for and 1.64 against (2.3 per game)
- Antwerp average 1.0 second-half goals for and 1.5 against (2.5 per game)
- Cercle conceded five second-half goals at Union St. Gilloise
- Antwerp conceded four second-half goals at Westerlo
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfOver 1.5Estimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60
The read
Both teams do most of their scoring after the break and their first halves are consistently low-scoring.
- Cercle average 1.36 first-half goals in their matches (0.64 for, 0.73 against)
- Antwerp average 1.1 first-half goals in their matches (0.6 for, 0.5 against)
- Cercle's last six first halves produced 1, 1, 1, 3, 1 and 1 goals
- Antwerp's last six first halves produced 2, 0, 2, 0, 2 and 0 goals
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalsUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfMarket price1.60Estimated chance66%

Match stats4 outcomes · top 65%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.38
The read
Cercle generate corners at a solid rate and especially at home, and Antwerp's matches give opponents a healthy corner count.
- Cercle average 6.6 corners per match across 10 tracked games
- Cercle average 8.0 corners in their 4 tracked home matches
- Cercle took 11 and 8 corners in two of their five most recent tracked matches
- Antwerp concede 5.3 corners per match over 9 tracked games
BetBugs · Home CornersCercle Brugge over 4.5Market price1.38Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches sit around or above ten corners on average, with several recent games clearly clearing the line.
- Cercle matches average 11.8 total corners (6.6 for, 5.2 against over 10)
- Antwerp matches average 10.1 total corners (4.8 for, 5.3 against over 9)
- Antwerp's last five tracked games produced total corner counts of 10, 6, 8, 13 and 17
- Cercle's most recent game produced 14 corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderOver 9.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Antwerp's matches reliably land around or above ten shots on target, and Cercle's leaky defence concedes volume.
- Cercle matches average 9.8 shots on target combined (4.2 for, 5.6 against over 10)
- Antwerp matches average 11.8 combined (5.0 for, 6.8 against over 9)
- Antwerp's last five tracked games produced 11, 9, 12, 14 and 12 shots on target
- Cercle allowed 12 shots on target at Union St. Gilloise
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderOver 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Antwerp's games are consistently card-heavy and both squads have shown discipline problems this season.
- Cercle matches average 3.1 cards (1.5 own, 1.6 opponent over 10 tracked)
- Antwerp matches average 4.4 cards (2.1 own, 2.3 opponent over 9 tracked)
- Cercle had a red card in their most recent match at Union St. Gilloise
- Antwerp have received two red cards across nine league matches
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderOver 3.5Estimated chance57%