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Predictions graded

Juarez3Queretaro1

HT 2–0Sat 31 Oct 2026, 01:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges1–420%

PossPossession 44%–56%ShotsShots 15–27On targetOn target 5–6CornersCorners 2–10

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Oct 2026, 15:40 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-placed Juárez, with one home win in seven, host a Querétaro side chasing a Liguilla place but arriving on three straight league defeats.

Querétaro to draw or win looks the likelier shape of the game, and at 1.4 it returns a slim edge; Juárez to score no more than once at 1.5 is the stronger of the two prices.

Context

The 8 November 2025 meeting is the freshest away-day reference in this fixture, and Querétaro left with a 2-1 win. One result is not a pattern by itself, but it sits alongside four wins in seven away league games this season. Juárez's home task is a familiar one rather than an unknown.
- 8 November 2025: Juárez 1-2 Querétaro in Liga MX, played in Ciudad Juárez
The venue split is the sharpest number in this fixture: Juárez have 5 goals in seven home league games and have lost five of them. Querétaro's 4W-1D-2L away record is a large part of why they sit ninth with a level goal difference. Home advantage is doing very little work on the Juárez side of this.
- Juárez 2026 home record: 7 played, 1 win, 1 draw, 5 defeats, 5 goals for, 12 against
- Querétaro 2026 away record: 7 played, 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, 9 goals for, 9 against
- Standings as of 30 October 2026: Juárez 18th on 5 points from 14 matches, Querétaro 9th on 20 from 13
Three defeats between 17 and 26 October, including a 0-5 at Santos Laguna in which Querétaro mustered two shots on target from 16 attempts, cut against their strong away record. The trip to Juárez is a chance to stop that slide rather than a straightforward continuation of earlier road form. The away wins remain the better sample; the recent run is the caution attached to it.
- 17 October 2026: Santos Laguna 5-0 Querétaro; Querétaro had 16 shots, 2 on target, and one red card
- Querétaro's league results from 17 to 26 October 2026 were three defeats
A 29 October preview attributed six Apertura 2026 goals to Ó. Estupiñán. That gives this fixture a named source of current Juárez attacking output. The tally describes tournament scoring but does not establish his starting place or fitness status for this match.
- Ó. Estupiñán has six goals in the Apertura 2026 tournament.
- He is identified as one of Juárez's main attacking threats for the match.
ReportedSources checked 30 Oct 2026, 15:39 · Europe/BucharestJuárez vs Querétaro: why the duel matters more than it seemswww.estadiodeportes.mx · 29 Oct 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

1.44fair 1.49

BetBugs 67% · Market 69.4%

−2.4ppshort

Both sides start slowly in front of goal, and Juárez in particular almost never break the deadlock before the interval.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 2 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.40
The read
Bottom-placed Juárez have won once at home all season while Querétaro have been one of the better travelling sides in the division.
- Juárez home record: 1 win, 1 draw, 5 defeats in 7 Liga MX home games
- Querétaro away record: 4 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats in 7 away games
- Querétaro unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 meetings and won both previous visits to Juárez 2-1 and 2-0
- Juárez sit 18th with 5 points from 14 matches
BetBugs · Double ChancelostDraw or QueretaroEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.25
The read
The table gap and Querétaro's strong away record point to an away win, though not a dominant one.
- Querétaro are 9th on 20 points, Juárez 18th on 5
- Querétaro have won 4 of 7 away league games; Juárez have lost 5 of 7 at home
- Querétaro have won three of the last five head-to-heads, including both at Juárez
- Querétaro are chasing Liguilla points, sitting three short of the race
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostQueretaroEstimated chance44%

Goals1 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Juárez's attack is the weakest in the league and has produced more than one goal only rarely, even at home.
- Juárez average 0.93 goals per game across 15 tracked matches, scoring in only 10 of them
- Juárez have 5 goals in 7 home league games (0.71 per game)
- Querétaro have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 away matches
- Juárez were shut out in three of their last six outings
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostJuarez under 1.5Estimated chance77%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.44
The read
Both sides start slowly in front of goal, and Juárez in particular almost never break the deadlock before the interval.
- Juárez average 0.40 first-half goals for and 1.20 against
- Querétaro average 0.47 first-half goals for and 0.67 against
- Juárez have not scored a first-half goal in any of their last six matches
- Querétaro have led at the break in only two of their last six
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance67%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Juárez concede heavily and Querétaro's away games have been open, making three goals a reasonable target.
- Juárez average 0.93 scored and 2.40 conceded per game
- Querétaro average 1.13 scored and 1.53 conceded per game
- Juárez's last six matches averaged 2.5 goals; Querétaro's averaged 3.0
- Two of the last five head-to-heads finished with three or more goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both defences allow plenty of clean sight of goal, so even modest attacking displays should push the combined on-target count past seven.
- Juárez concede 6.47 shots on target per game, Querétaro concede 5.07
- Querétaro average 4.2 shots on target, Juárez 3.0
- Combined shots-on-target totals in Juárez's last six games averaged about 9
- Combined shots-on-target totals in Querétaro's last six averaged about 10
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonOver 7.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Neither side keeps possession well, so attacks break down into corners at a healthy rate at both ends.
- Juárez take 4.0 corners per game but concede 6.07
- Querétaro take 4.67 corners per game but concede 6.53
- Juárez's last six matches averaged roughly 11.7 total corners
- Querétaro's last six matches averaged roughly 11 total corners
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonOver 9.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Juárez give up a lot of corners, and Querétaro only need four to clear this line.
- Querétaro average 3.67 corners per game away from home
- Juárez concede 6.07 corners per game to opponents
- Querétaro took 6 and 8 corners in two of their last four matches
BetBugs · Away CornerswonQueretaro over 3.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' card totals sit comfortably below seven per game, with no sign of a particularly fiery fixture.
- Juárez matches average 5.21 yellow cards combined (3.14 for, 2.07 against)
- Querétaro matches average 4.71 yellow cards combined (3.0 for, 1.71 against)
- Neither side averages more than 0.2 red cards per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonUnder 6.5Estimated chance57%

Head-to-Head

3W · 1D · 1W

D1-1Club QueretarovFC JuarezApr 8, 2026LIG

W1-2FC JuarezvClub QueretaroNov 8, 2025LIG

W0-2FC JuarezvClub QueretaroApr 21, 2025LIG

W1-2Club QueretarovFC JuarezNov 2, 2024LIG

L1-0Club QueretarovFC JuarezMar 16, 2024LIG

2.2 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga MX 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
18	Juarez	14	1	2	11	9-33	5	DLLDL
9	Queretaro	13	6	2	5	17-18	20	LLLWW

15pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Juarez

D1-1NecaxaOct 24LIG

L0-1Atlante FCOct 21LIG

L0-5Cruz AzulOct 18LIG

D1-1Club TijuanaOct 10LIG

L1-2LeonSep 28LIG

W2-0Tigres UANLSep 19LIG

L1-2Santos LagunaSep 14LIG

L0-2CF PachucaSep 5LIG

L0-4TolucaAug 31LIG

L1-2Club AmericaAug 22LIG

L1-6MonterreyAug 16LIG

L0-3Real Salt LakeAug 12LEA

W3-1Vancouver WhitecapsAug 8LEA

W2-1Minnesota United FCAug 5LEA

L1-5U.N.A.M. - PumasAug 1LIG

Queretaro

L1-3Cruz AzulOct 26LIG

L1-2Atletico San LuisOct 21LIG

L0-5Santos LagunaOct 17LIG

W2-0Atlante FCOct 10LIG

W2-0Guadalajara ChivasSep 26LIG

D1-1LeonSep 21LIG

W1-0Club TijuanaSep 12LIG

W3-1AtlasAug 29LIG

L1-2TolucaAug 22LIG

D0-0U.N.A.M. - PumasAug 16LIG

L0-3Seattle SoundersAug 9LEA

L0-2FC DallasAug 6LEA

W3-2Tigres UANLAug 1LIG

W2-1CF PachucaJul 27LIG

L0-1Club AmericaJul 19LIG

Squad & Injuries

Juarez

32 available

Attackers4

Midfielders14

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Queretaro

29 available

Attackers2

Midfielders17

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw or Queretaro

Juarez under 1.5

Under 1.5 goals in 1st half

Over 9.5

Queretaro

Result0 of 2 landed

Goals1 of 3 landed

Match stats4 of 4 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Juarez

Queretaro

Squad & Injuries

Juarez

Queretaro