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Predictions graded

RKAV Volendam3ROHDA Raalte0

HT 2–0Thu 29 Oct 2026, 19:00 Predictions graded

Predictions3–538%

Edges3–350%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 28 Oct 2026, 22:49 · Europe/Bucharest

Nineteen days after an 8-2 league win over the same opponent, Volendam host ROHDA in the cup first round, and another home win is the likely outcome.

At 1.2, though, that result is not worth backing. Both teams to score at 1.65 and ROHDA to find the net at 1.57 are the prices that hold up; over 3.5 goals at 1.7 offers no clear advantage.

Context

The 10 October league fixture finished 8-2 to Volendam, with Roy Tol scoring three times; live updates also show ROHDA had led 2-1 after 19 minutes and were level at 2-2 after 32. The same opponents meet again only 19 days later, giving both sides a very recent shared match reference before a knockout tie. The available evidence establishes the scoreline and its early swings, but not the selections or tactical reasons behind the final margin.
- RKAV Volendam beat ROHDA Raalte 8-2 on 10 October.
- Roy Tol scored a hat-trick for Volendam in the match.
- ROHDA led 2-1 after 19 minutes and the score was 2-2 after 32 minutes.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 22:48 · Europe/Bucharest
ROHDA entered its temporary leadership arrangement on 4 October, less than four weeks before this cup tie. That makes the coaching setup a current part of preparation for an opponent the side has already faced during the arrangement. The available update does not identify a formation, selection plan, or permanent appointment.
- Jeroen Giesen and Pieter Nijland took temporary leadership of ROHDA's first team on 4 October.
- Giesen became the technical staff's first point of contact.
ConfirmedSources checked 28 Oct 2026, 22:48 · Europe/Bucharest
Volendam's home matches have produced goals for both sides rather than control.
Six home matches is a small sample, but goals at both ends in the same games fits a side that has shut out opponents once in 14 competitive fixtures overall. ROHDA arrive after two 0-1 league defeats, which is the obvious argument against another open scoreline. The home record still points to Volendam scoring while conceding chances.
- Six competitive home matches, 16 May to 17 October 2026: 4W-1D-1L.
- 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, with no clean sheet in the six.
ROHDA's away matches have been heavy on concessions and light on wins.
On the road ROHDA concede almost three goals per match across that eight-game sample, which puts the emphasis on damage limitation at Sportpark Volendam. Their away scoring rate of 1.63 per game is the part that keeps a ROHDA goal in play. Eight matches is a small sample and includes cup as well as league fixtures.
- Eight competitive away matches, 16 May to 24 October 2026: 1W-1D-6L.
- 1.63 goals scored and 2.88 conceded per away match in that sample.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 1 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Volendam are the clearly stronger side, are at home, and dismantled this exact opponent three weeks ago.
- RKAV Volendam: 6W-3D-5L in 14 competitive matches, 2.00 goals scored and 2.29 conceded per game
- ROHDA Raalte: 1W-1D-13L in 15 competitive matches, 2.80 conceded per game
- Head-to-head 10 October: ROHDA 2-8 Volendam, with Volendam leading 6-2 at half-time
- ROHDA's away record this season: 1W-1D-6L
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRKAV VolendamEstimated chance76%

Goals2 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65
The read
Both defences leak badly, and ROHDA have shown they can find the net even in heavy defeats.
- Volendam matches: both teams scored in 11 of 14
- ROHDA matches: both teams scored in 9 of 15
- The 10 October meeting finished 8-2 with both sides scoring
- ROHDA scored in four of their last six matches, including a 6-4 cup win at TOGB
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.70
The read
Two porous defences and a 10-goal head-to-head point to a high-scoring cup tie rather than a tight one.
- Volendam's 14 matches average 4.29 goals combined (2.00 for, 2.29 against)
- ROHDA's 15 matches average 3.93 goals combined (1.13 for, 2.80 against)
- The reverse fixture produced ten goals
- Volendam's last six matches include 8-2, 1-4 and 2-3 scorelines
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.20
The read
Volendam's scoring rate against the weakest defence they will face makes two or more goals the likely outcome.
- Volendam average 2.00 goals per competitive match over 14 games
- ROHDA concede 2.80 per game across 15 matches
- Volendam scored eight in the league meeting on 10 October
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonRKAV Volendam over 1.5Estimated chance72%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.57
The read
Volendam concede regularly and ROHDA have shown they can score even against better opposition.
- ROHDA have scored in 9 of 15 matches this season
- Volendam have kept only one clean sheet in 14 competitive matches
- ROHDA scored twice against Volendam on 10 October and six at TOGB in the cup
BetBugs · Away Goals TotallostROHDA Raalte over 0.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.15
The read
Both teams' first-half records show goals arriving early, and this pairing delivered eight before the break last time.
- Volendam first halves average 2.00 goals combined (0.93 for, 1.07 against) over 14 matches
- ROHDA first halves average 1.53 goals combined (0.60 for, 0.93 against) over 15 matches
- The 10 October meeting was 6-2 at half-time
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance82%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
ROHDA fade after the break and Volendam's games tend to open up later, so two second-half goals is a fair expectation.
- Volendam second halves average 2.29 goals combined (1.07 for, 1.21 against)
- ROHDA concede 1.87 goals per second half on average
- The reverse fixture had two second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A comfortable Volendam home win with ROHDA's customary single reply reflects both teams' typical scorelines better than a repeat of 8-2.
- Volendam average 2.00 scored and 2.29 conceded per match
- ROHDA concede 2.80 per game, the worst rate in the sample
- The 8-2 result was an outlier well above both sides' normal scoring levels
BetBugs · Correct ScorelostRKAV Volendam 3-1 ROHDA RaalteEstimated chance8%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 1.2 price requires 83.3%, above our 76.0% estimate.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 0W

W2-8ROHDA RaaltevRKAV VolendamOct 10, 2026TWE

10 goals/game avg

Recent Form

RKAV Volendam

W1-0Rijnsburgse BoysOct 24TWE

W2-1Sparta Rotterdam IIOct 17TWE

W8-2ROHDA RaalteOct 10TWE

L1-4Almere City IIOct 3TWE

L2-3GVVV VeenendaalSep 26TWE

D1-1BarendrechtSep 19TWE

D1-1KloetingeSep 12TWE

W2-1HoekSep 5TWE

D1-1IjsselmeervogelsAug 29TWE

W2-1SpakenburgAug 22TWE

L0-5Quick BoysAug 15TWE

L2-3FC VolendamJul 5FRI

L0-7Rijnsburgse BoysMay 23TWE

W5-2BarendrechtMay 16TWE

L2-3Almere City IIMay 9TWE

ROHDA Raalte

L0-1HHCOct 24TWE

L0-1Rijnsburgse BoysOct 17TWE

L2-8RKAV VolendamOct 10TWE

L1-3GVVV VeenendaalOct 3TWE

D3-3KloetingeSep 26TWE

W6-4TOGBSep 23KNV

L0-1IjsselmeervogelsSep 19TWE

L1-3Quick BoysSep 12TWE

L1-2Kozakken BoysSep 5TWE

L0-2AFC AmsterdamAug 29TWE

L0-3De TreffersAug 23TWE

L1-6Sparta Rotterdam IIAug 15TWE

L1-2StaphorstMay 23DER

L0-1TECMay 16DER

L1-2Harkemase BoysMay 9DER

Squad & Injuries

RKAV Volendam

30 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

ROHDA Raalte

29 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders7

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Over 3.5

ROHDA Raalte over 0.5

RKAV Volendam

RKAV Volendam over 1.5

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Result1 of 1 landed

Goals2 of 7 landed

Markets to Avoid

RKAV Volendam

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

RKAV Volendam

ROHDA Raalte

Squad & Injuries

RKAV Volendam

ROHDA Raalte