Al Najma Manama11 – 2Al Ali CSC2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.00

The read

Al Ali's recent dominance in this fixture and tighter defence outweigh their modest scoring output.

• Al Ali won four of the last five meetings, including 3-0 and 2-1 at Al Najma
• Al Ali conceded 0.67 goals per match across 15 matches
• Al Najma conceded 2.56 goals per home match

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonAl Ali CSCEstimated chance38%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Al Najma score regularly at home but concede heavily there, so the home win is a live but smaller chance. Al Ali's recent dominance in this fixture and tighter defence outweigh their modest scoring output.

• Al Najma scored in all 9 home matches in the window, averaging 1.67 goals
• Al Najma home record 3W 1D 5L, conceding 2.56 per home match
• Al Ali won four of the last five meetings, including 3-0 and 2-1 at Al Najma
• Al Ali conceded 0.67 goals per match across 15 matches

BetBugs · Double ChancewonAl Najma Manama or Al Ali CSCEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score little before the break, making a level first half the most likely single outcome. Al Najma's habit of conceding before half-time gives Al Ali a modest chance to lead at the break.

• Al Ali scored 0.47 and conceded 0.20 first-half goals per match
• Al Najma averaged 0.33 first-half goals in 9 home matches
• Al Najma conceded 1.11 first-half goals per home match
• Al Ali scored 0.375 first-half goals per away match

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Al Ali CSCEstimated chance76%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Al Najma's home games have been open while Al Ali's away games are tight, leaving the total near the line.

• Al Najma's 9 home matches averaged 4.2 total goals
• Al Najma's last 6 matches produced 26 goals
• Al Ali's 8 away matches averaged 2.0 total goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Al Najma almost always score at home, but Al Ali's blank rate keeps this close to even.

• Both teams scored in 8 of Al Najma's 9 home matches
• Al Najma scored in 14 of 15 matches
• Al Ali failed to score in 6 of 15 matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Al Najma's home defence has been repeatedly breached, and Al Ali score in this fixture.

• Al Najma conceded in 8 of 9 home matches
• Al Najma conceded 2.56 goals per home match
• Al Ali scored in all five recent meetings

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAl Ali CSC to scoreEstimated chance64%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Al Najma have found the net in every home game in the sample.

• Al Najma scored in all 9 home matches
• Al Najma scored in 14 of 15 matches
• Al Ali conceded 1.25 goals per away match

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonAl Najma Manama to scoreEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Al Najma's home matches have produced first-half goals, making at least one the more likely outcome.

• Al Najma's home first halves averaged 1.44 goals
• Al Ali's away first halves averaged 0.75 goals
• Al Najma scored first-half goals in 3 of their last 6

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

At least one side has usually failed to score by half-time across both teams' matches.

• Al Ali conceded 0.20 first-half goals per match
• Al Ali scored 0.47 first-half goals per match
• Al Najma averaged 0.33 first-half goals in 9 home matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Second halves have carried most of the goals in Al Najma's matches.

• Al Najma's home second halves averaged 2.77 goals
• Al Ali's away second halves averaged 1.25 goals
• Al Najma averaged 1.20 second-half goals per match