Regionalliga - WestFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

Fc Wolfurt2SC Schwaz5

HT 1–0Sun 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 Predictions graded

Predictions12–380%

Edges2–340%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 18 Oct 2026, 05:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Bottom-placed Wolfurt, on seven straight league defeats, host a Schwaz side chasing a sixth consecutive league win, with a new head coach appointed two days ago.

Schwaz should win, but 1.35 is too short for a team that has conceded in all five away games. Under 2.5 goals at 3.25, the draw at 5.5 and the half-time draw at 2.9 are the prices worth taking.

Context

Wolfurt's head coach position changed hands on 16 October 2026, with Radisa Vucenovic, 33, in place two days before this kickoff. A midweek appointment leaves at most one or two sessions to touch shape, set-piece routines or the starting XI, so Wolfurt's selection is the hardest part of this fixture to anticipate. The counterweight is that such a short lead-in also caps how much can change: a first match under a new coach often resembles the previous regime, and nothing yet indicates which direction Vucenovic will take selection or tactics. That makes this a genuine unknown rather than a readable shift toward or away from Schwaz.
- Radisa Vucenovic, 33, is Wolfurt's head coach, appointed on 16 October 2026, two days before this fixture.
- Wolfurt's final match before the change was a 4-2 defeat away to Lauterach on 10 October 2026.
ConfirmedSources checked 18 Oct 2026, 05:02 · Europe/BucharestFC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz match pagewww.transfermarkt.com · 16 Oct 2026FC Wolfurt club websitewww.fcwolfurt.at · 10 Oct 2026
Schwaz have won five straight league games, scoring at least twice in each and finding the net 15 times across the run. That scoring output meets a Wolfurt defence that has conceded three or more in five of its last seven league matches, which is why the away side's attacking pattern matters more here than the table gap. The limitation sits in the margins: three of those five wins came by a single goal, and Schwaz's two league defeats this season were a 2-0 home loss to Imst and a 3-1 loss at Hohenems, so this is a free-scoring, high-variance run rather than controlled dominance.
- Schwaz won their previous five Regionalliga West matches, starting with a 2-1 home win over Kufstein on 13 September 2026.
- The fifth was a 4-3 home win over Wattens II on 10 October 2026.
- The visiting juniors described a second-half comeback that fell just short in a 3-4 loss at Schwaz.
ConfirmedSources checked 18 Oct 2026, 05:02 · Europe/BucharestWolfurt vs Schwaz fixture pageworldfootball.com · 18 Oct 2026
Three cruciate ligament cases remove a chunk of Wolfurt's available squad, and the timing matters because a new coach normally wants room to rotate while he assesses the group. With those three out, the first selection is likely to be close to the previous one out of necessity rather than conviction, and depth on the bench is the area most exposed against a side scoring freely. The caveat is that these are established absences rather than a fresh blow, so they are already embedded in the seven-match losing run and should not be read as a new deterioration.
- Wolfurt are without Florian Geley, Marco Troy and Mücahit Özdemir, all carrying cruciate ligament tears.
- All three are listed as missing for this fixture rather than as recent match withdrawals.
ConfirmedSources checked 18 Oct 2026, 05:02 · Europe/BucharestFC Wolfurt vs SC Schwaz match pagewww.transfermarkt.com · 17 Oct 2026
The away record is not a shutout record: 13 scored and 11 conceded across five games, with both teams finding the net each time. That gives Wolfurt a plausible route to a goal even if the result goes against them, and it is why a clean-sheet away win is not the obvious shape of this match.
- Schwaz away league record this season: 5 games, 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 13 goals scored, 11 conceded.
- Both teams scored in all 5 of those away matches.
- Across 13 competitive matches overall: 2.31 scored and 1.85 conceded per game, against 2.6 and 2.2 away.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result3 of 5 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Schwaz pair a five-match winning run with the division's third-best record against a bottom side conceding heavily every week.
- Schwaz have won five consecutive league games, scoring 15 goals in that run
- Schwaz away this season: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 13 scored and 11 conceded
- Wolfurt have conceded 33 goals in 11 league games
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSC SchwazEstimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schwaz score before the break more than once a game on the road while Wolfurt concede early regularly.
- Schwaz average 1.15 first-half goals for and 0.62 against in 13 matches
- Away, Schwaz average 1.4 first-half goals for
- Wolfurt concede 1.29 first-half goals per match
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSC SchwazEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Schwaz hold a modest second-half scoring edge, helped by Wolfurt's habit of conceding after the break.
- Schwaz average 1.15 second-half goals for and 1.23 against
- Away, Schwaz average 1.2 second-half goals for and 1.4 against
- Wolfurt concede 1.29 second-half goals per match
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonSC SchwazEstimated chance39%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schwaz's away matches have been tight enough, and Wolfurt's home losses narrow enough, for a share of the points to stay plausible. Schwaz pair a five-match winning run with the division's third-best record against a bottom side conceding heavily every week.
- Wolfurt have 1 draw in 11 league games; Schwaz have 1 draw in 11
- Schwaz away record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat in 5
- Schwaz have won five consecutive league games, scoring 15 goals in that run
- Schwaz away this season: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 defeat, 13 scored and 11 conceded
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or SC SchwazEstimated chance84%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First halves in both teams' matches have been lower-scoring than second halves, keeping the interval level plausible. Schwaz score before the break more than once a game on the road while Wolfurt concede early regularly.
- Wolfurt's first halves average 1.79 total goals; Schwaz's average 1.77
- Wolfurt have scored only 7 first-half goals in 14 matches
- Schwaz average 1.15 first-half goals for and 0.62 against in 13 matches
- Away, Schwaz average 1.4 first-half goals for
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalflostDraw or SC SchwazEstimated chance88%

Goals9 of 10 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides play in high-scoring games, with Wolfurt conceding regularly and Schwaz scoring freely on the road.
- Wolfurt average 1.53 scored and 2.47 conceded per game across 15 matches
- Schwaz average 2.31 scored and 1.85 conceded across 13 matches, 2.6 and 2.2 away
- Five of Wolfurt's last six matches had four or more goals
- Schwaz's last six produced 3, 3, 3, 6, 3 and 4 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance63%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.50
The read
Both teams have scored in most of their matches, and neither defence has produced a shutout recently.
- Wolfurt scored in 12 of 15 matches and kept no clean sheet
- Schwaz's matches had both teams scoring in 11 of 13, and in all 5 away games
- Wolfurt conceded in all 15 matches tracked
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
One goal or none is the more typical Wolfurt home return, with most of their threat arriving late.
- Wolfurt scored 6 goals in 5 home league games
- First-half scoring average at home is 0.17 goals per game in 6 matches
- Wolfurt failed to score in 3 of 15 matches, including 0-3 and 0-1 at home
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostFc Wolfurt under 1.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schwaz have scored at least twice in most recent games and meet a defence that concedes regularly.
- Schwaz average 2.31 goals per match, rising to 2.6 in 5 away games
- Schwaz scored 2 or more in 5 of their last 6 matches
- Wolfurt conceded 2.47 per match and never kept a clean sheet
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSC Schwaz over 1.5Estimated chance68%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
The evidence points strongly to Schwaz scoring at least once against a side that has never shut out an opponent.
- Wolfurt have no clean sheets in 15 matches, conceding 2.47 per game
- Schwaz have scored 12 goals in 13 matches
- Schwaz scored in all 5 away games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonSC Schwaz to scoreEstimated chance94%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Schwaz have conceded on every away trip and Wolfurt usually find a goal even in defeat.
- Schwaz have conceded in all 5 away league games, 11 goals
- Wolfurt scored in 12 of 15 matches
- Schwaz conceded 19 goals in 11 league games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFc Wolfurt to scoreEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Almost every Schwaz away match has featured a goal against them, so a win without conceding is unlikely.
- Schwaz conceded in all 5 away games this season
- Schwaz kept 1 clean sheet in 13 matches
- Wolfurt scored in 12 of 15 matches
BetBugs · Away Win to NilwonNoEstimated chance90%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.17
The read
Both teams' first halves usually produce at least one goal, and Schwaz have started strongly in recent games.
- Wolfurt's matches average 1.79 first-half goals; Schwaz's average 1.77
- Only 2 of Wolfurt's last 6 matches were goalless at half-time
- Schwaz scored first-half goals in 5 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
At least one side usually fails to score before the break, most often Wolfurt.
- Wolfurt average 0.5 first-half goals for in 14 matches
- Schwaz have kept first-half clean sheets in a majority of recent games, conceding 0.62 per match
- Wolfurt's home first-half scoring is 0.17 per match
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalfwonNoEstimated chance87%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Second halves involving both teams have been the higher-scoring period and usually clear two goals.
- Wolfurt's matches average 2.43 second-half goals; Schwaz's average 2.38
- Wolfurt's last six matches produced 4, 0, 6, 4, 1 and 0 second-half goals
- Schwaz's last match had four second-half goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance64%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

The 5.5 price requires 18.2%, above our 16.0% estimate.

Head-to-Head

1W · 0D · 1W

L4-0SchwazvWolfurtApr 12, 2024REG

W0-2WolfurtvSchwazSep 3, 2023REG

3 goals/game avg

League Table

Regionalliga - West 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Fc Wolfurt	11	1	1	9	14-33	4	LLLLL
3	SC Schwaz	11	8	1	2	27-19	25	WWWWW

21pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Fc Wolfurt

L2-4LauterachOct 10REG

L0-3RöthisOct 3REG

L1-6FügenSep 26REG

L2-3LustenauSep 19REG

L2-3LochauSep 12REG

L0-1SK St. JohannSep 6REG

L1-2ImstAug 29REG

W2-1Swarovski Tirol IIAug 23REG

W2-1SVG ReichenauAug 14REG

L1-3DornbirnAug 8REG

D2-2Rheindorf Altach IIAug 2REG

L0-1GöfisJun 13LAN

W2-1RotenbergJun 6LAN

L2-3LudeschJun 4LAN

W4-3Admira DornbirnMay 30LAN

SC Schwaz

W4-3Swarovski Tirol IIOct 10REG

W2-1SVG ReichenauOct 3REG

W3-0DornbirnSep 26REG

W4-2Rheindorf Altach IISep 20REG

W2-1KufsteinSep 13REG

L1-3HohenemsSep 5REG

W3-1KitzbühelAug 30REG

L0-2ImstAug 23REG

D3-3LauterachAug 15REG

W2-1RöthisAug 8REG

L0-15FC AugsburgAug 5FRI

W3-2FügenJul 31REG

L2-3Wallern / MarienkirchenJul 26CUP

W7-1WörglJul 11FRI

L1-2ImstJun 6REG

Squad & Injuries

Fc Wolfurt

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

SC Schwaz

20 available

Attackers3

Midfielders9

Defenders6

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Draw

Draw

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Yes

Result3 of 5 landed

Goals9 of 10 landed

Markets to Avoid

Fc Wolfurt

SC Schwaz

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Fc Wolfurt

SC Schwaz

Squad & Injuries

Fc Wolfurt

SC Schwaz