Plymouth Parkway22 – 0Chertsey Town0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.91

The read

Plymouth have a strong home record and have won the recent head-to-heads at this ground, so they hold the larger share of the outcome.

• Plymouth home record 6W-0D-1L in 7, scoring 2.43 and conceding 0.86 per game
• Chertsey away record 4W-2D-1L in 7
• Plymouth won three of the last four meetings, including both home fixtures
• Both clubs are step-three Southern League Premier South sides

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonPlymouth ParkwayEstimated chance48%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.50

The read

Both sides have low first-half concession rates, making a level half-time score the most likely single outcome.

• Chertsey concede only 0.47 first-half goals per game
• Chertsey score 0.8 first-half goals per game
• Plymouth concede 0.57 first-half goals at home
• First-half scores are often level in tight cup ties

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.22

The read

Plymouth start games strongly at home and score more before the break than Chertsey manage. Both sides have low first-half concession rates, making a level half-time score the most likely single outcome.

• Plymouth score 1.29 first-half goals and concede 0.57 at home
• Chertsey score 0.8 first-half goals overall
• Chertsey concede only 0.47 first-half goals per game
• Chertsey score 0.8 first-half goals per game

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonPlymouth Parkway or DrawEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Plymouth's scoring rate at home points to them finding at least two goals.

• Plymouth scored 2.2 per game overall and 2.43 at home
• Plymouth scored in 14 of 15 matches
• Plymouth scored two or more in each of their last three home matches
• Chertsey conceded 1.5 per away game

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonPlymouth Parkway over 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Plymouth are hard to score against at home, making one goal or fewer for Chertsey the marginal favourite.

• Chertsey scored 2.07 per game overall and 1.86 away
• Plymouth conceded only 0.86 per game at home
• Plymouth kept three clean sheets in seven home matches
• Chertsey scored more than one away in only part of their away games

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonChertsey Town under 1.5Estimated chance52%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Plymouth have scored in nearly every match and average well over two at home, making an away clean sheet unlikely.

• Plymouth scored in 14 of 15 matches
• Plymouth failed to score in only 1 of 15 games
• Plymouth averaged 2.43 goals per home game
• Chertsey conceded in 12 of 15 matches

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonPlymouth Parkway to scoreEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

First-half concession rates are low for both sides, making it likely that at least one team does not score before the break.

• Plymouth concede 0.57 first-half goals at home
• Chertsey concede 0.47 first-half goals per game
• Chertsey score 0.8 first-half goals per game
• First-half goals are less frequent than second-half goals for both

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides produce more goals after half-time, so two or more in the second period is the more likely outcome.

• Plymouth's second-half goals average 1.43 combined at home and 1.8 overall
• Chertsey's second-half goals average 2.27 combined overall and 2.15 away
• Both teams score more after the break than before it
• Plymouth concede only 0.29 second-half goals at home