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Predictions graded

French Guiana1Belize0

HT 0–0Wed 7 Oct 2026, 02:00 Predictions graded

Predictions10–567%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 52%–48%ShotsShots 9–13On targetOn target 3–1CornersCorners 6–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 6 Oct 2026, 23:59 · Europe/Bucharest

French Guiana beat Belize 2-0 on 3 October and the sides meet again four days later, with French Guiana chasing Group D leaders St.

Vincent and the Grenadines. French Guiana look the likelier winners, though they have yet to beat Belize in two home meetings. Of the quoted prices, Over 2.5 goals at 2.25 and French Guiana to win at 2.15 are the two with a case; the 1.35 on French Guiana not losing and the 1.60 on under 2.5 goals do not.

Context

Belize held 53% of the ball in the first meeting yet managed one shot on target to French Guiana's five, and French Guiana's goals came in the 78th and 84th minutes, so the game was separated by a short late burst rather than sustained control. Facing the same opponent again only four days later gives both staffs a fresh template to adjust from, which makes the first result a live reference point rather than background. The caveat is that the teams' 2024 meetings, a 2-1 Belize win and a 2-2 draw, show Belize have been closer to French Guiana than the 2-0 scoreline implies.
- French Guiana won the first Group D meeting 2-0 at FFB Stadium in Belmopan on 3 October 2026, with second-half goals in the 78th and 84th minutes.
- Belize held 53% possession but recorded one shot on target to French Guiana's five.
- The sides' two November 2024 meetings ended 2-1 to Belize and 2-2.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 23:57 · Europe/BucharestBBC Sport livewww.bbc.com · 4 Oct 2026ESPN match statswww.espn.com · 3 Oct 2026
Group D's top spot carries promotion out of League B, and French Guiana sit three points behind unbeaten St. Vincent and the Grenadines with Belize a further three points back. French Guiana have already beaten both Sint Maarten and Belize, so a second win here would keep them close to the summit heading into the closing window. Belize have scored once in three group matches, which is why their hopes lean on a defence that has conceded three goals across those games.
- After three rounds of Group D, St. Vincent and the Grenadines have nine points, French Guiana six, Belize three and Sint Maarten none.
- Belize opened with a 1-0 win away to Sint Maarten, then lost 0-1 to St. Vincent and the Grenadines and 0-2 to French Guiana.
- French Guiana lost 1-2 to St. Vincent and the Grenadines before beating Sint Maarten 1-0 and Belize 2-0.
ConfirmedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 23:57 · Europe/Bucharest
Both of French Guiana's most recent group games were staged in Belize, including the 2-0 win over Belize at Belmopan's FFB Stadium, so they are not playing in front of a home crowd in Cayenne. That removes the venue and travelling edge the home designation would normally imply and leaves Belize operating in familiar surroundings across the double-header. The venue detail rests on local reporting rather than an official staging release, so the exact location of the return leg itself should be treated with some caution.
- The French Guiana–Belize meeting on 3 October 2026 was played at FFB Stadium in Belmopan, Belize.
- French Guiana's 1-2 loss to St. Vincent and the Grenadines on 26 September 2026 was also played in Belize.
ReportedSources checked 6 Oct 2026, 23:57 · Europe/Bucharest
French Guiana have created heavily against Belize without winning the game.
That November 2024 match is the most recent time Belize played with French Guiana as the designated home side, making it the closest reference for this rematch. French Guiana's 28 shots and 7 on target produced only a 2-2 draw, because Belize converted twice from nine attempts. The sample is a single match from November 2024 and says nothing about current form, but it does show that shot volume alone has not decided this fixture.
- 19 November 2024: French Guiana 2-2 Belize in the CONCACAF Nations League, with French Guiana recording 28 shots and 7 on target to Belize's 9 shots and 3 on target; one tracked match.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result5 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.15
The read
French Guiana arrive on back-to-back wins and just beat this opponent 2-0, while Belize have managed one goal across three group games.
- French Guiana won their last two Group D games: 1-0 v Sint Maarten and 2-0 away to Belize on 3 October
- At home French Guiana are 3W-1D-3L in 7 competitive matches, averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded
- Belize have one goal in three group matches: 1-0 win over Sint Maarten, then 0-1 and 0-2 defeats
- In five head-to-head meetings French Guiana have never won on home soil (0-2 in 2023, 2-2 in 2024)
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonFrench GuianaEstimated chance49%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.95
The read
Both teams score few first-half goals and the last meeting was level at the interval.
- The 3 October meeting was 0-0 at half-time
- French Guiana have scored 0.5 first-half goals per match and Belize 0.6
- French Guiana have not led at half-time in any of their last six matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
French Guiana do most of their scoring after the break and scored twice late against Belize last time.
- French Guiana score 1.0 second-half goals per match and concede 0.93
- Belize concede 1.13 second-half goals per match and score 0.73
- Both goals in the 3 October win came in the second half (78th and 84th minutes)
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonFrench GuianaEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.35
The read
French Guiana arrive on back-to-back wins and just beat this opponent 2-0, while Belize have managed one goal across three group games. Belize stayed competitive in the last meeting and the sides drew 2-2 in French Guiana in November 2024.
- French Guiana won their last two Group D games: 1-0 v Sint Maarten and 2-0 away to Belize on 3 October
- At home French Guiana are 3W-1D-3L in 7 competitive matches, averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded
- Both 2024 meetings between the sides were close: 2-1 to Belize and 2-2 in French Guiana
- Belize have drawn 1 of 15 tracked matches; French Guiana 2 of 14
BetBugs · Double ChancewonFrench Guiana or DrawEstimated chance76%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
French Guiana have a small edge in first-half goal difference, though they rarely lead at the break. Both teams score few first-half goals and the last meeting was level at the interval.
- French Guiana average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 14 matches
- French Guiana scored only one first-half goal in their last six matches
- The 3 October meeting was 0-0 at half-time
- French Guiana have scored 0.5 first-half goals per match and Belize 0.6
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonFrench Guiana or DrawEstimated chance79%

Goals2 of 6 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.25
The read
Both teams have averaged around three goals in their recent home and away matches combined.
- French Guiana home matches average 3.0 combined goals (1.57 for, 1.43 against in 7 games)
- Belize away matches average 3.38 combined goals (1.63 for, 1.75 against in 8 games)
- Four of French Guiana's last six matches and three of Belize's last six went over 2.5
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.75
The read
Belize's group-stage scoring output is very low and French Guiana have been keeping clean sheets.
- Belize have scored once in three Group D matches and recorded one shot on target on 3 October
- French Guiana kept clean sheets in 4 of 14 tracked matches and 2 of 7 at home
- Belize kept clean sheets in 4 of 15 tracked matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance56%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
French Guiana concede regularly at home, so a full clean sheet is less likely than not.
- Belize scored twice in both 2024 meetings with French Guiana
- French Guiana conceded in 10 of 14 tracked matches, 5 of 7 at home
- French Guiana conceded 1.43 goals per home match
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostBelize to scoreEstimated chance59%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
French Guiana have a steady scoring rate at home and Belize concede regularly.
- French Guiana scored 1.5 goals per match across 14 tracked games and 1.57 at home
- French Guiana scored in 5 of their last 6 matches
- Belize conceded 2.0 goals per match across 15 tracked games
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonFrench Guiana to scoreEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Belize's first halves have frequently produced a goal, even though the last meeting did not.
- French Guiana first-half goals: 0.5 for, 0.43 against per match; Belize: 0.6 for, 0.87 against
- The most recent meeting was goalless at half-time
- A first-half goal has been scored in 5 of Belize's last 6 matches
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Almost all recent matches involving these teams produced at least two second-half goals.
- French Guiana second-half games average 1.93 goals combined; Belize's average 1.86
- Both goals in the 3 October meeting came after the break
- Belize's last five matches produced second-half totals of 2, 3, 5, 3 and 1 goals
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance57%

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The last meeting produced very few corners and French Guiana home matches usually stay below nine.
- French Guiana home matches average 7.0 corners combined
- Belize away matches average 9.0 corners combined
- The 3 October meeting had 3 corners (French Guiana 1, Belize 2)
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance56%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shot averages for both sides sit below 25 and the last meeting produced 22.
- French Guiana matches average 22.9 shots combined in 13 games
- Belize matches average 23.6 shots combined in 9 games
- The 3 October meeting had 22 shots
BetBugs · Shots Over/UnderwonUnder 24.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
On-target totals in these teams' matches generally sit below nine, and the last meeting had six.
- French Guiana's 13 tracked matches average 3.46 shots on target against
- Belize's 9 tracked matches average 3.56 shots on target against
- The 3 October meeting produced 6 shots on target
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderwonUnder 8.5Estimated chance57%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined card averages for both sides sit just above the 3.5 line.
- French Guiana home matches average 2.67 yellow cards for and 1.67 against
- Belize away matches average 1.75 yellow cards for and 2.0 against
- French Guiana matches average 3.77 total yellow cards, Belize's 3.33
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance53%

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

W0-2BelizevFrench GuyanaOct 4, 2026CON

D2-2French GuyanavBelizeNov 19, 2024CON

L2-1BelizevFrench GuyanaNov 15, 2024CON

L1-0BelizevFrench GuyanaNov 18, 2023CON

W0-2French GuyanavBelizeSep 12, 2023CON

French Guiana: 2 clean sheets2.4 goals/game avg

Recent Form

French Guiana

W2-0BelizeOct 4CON

W1-0Sint MaartenSep 29CON

L1-2St. Vincent / GrenadinesSep 26CON

D2-2BelizeNov 19CON

L1-2BelizeNov 15CON

L2-3NicaraguaOct 15CON

L2-3HondurasOct 10CON

D0-0Trinidad and TobagoSep 10CON

L0-1NicaraguaSep 6CON

D1-1HaitiMar 23FRI

W3-0BermudaNov 21CON

L0-1BelizeNov 18CON

W3-2St. Vincent / GrenadinesOct 16CON

W4-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesOct 13CON

L0-2BelizeSep 12CON

Belize

L0-2French GuyanaOct 4CON

L0-1St. Vincent / GrenadinesSep 30CON

W1-0Sint MaartenSep 27CON

L1-3GuyanaMar 30CON

L2-3Sint MaartenMar 27CON

W6-2St. Kitts and NevisNov 18CON

W1-0Saint MartinNov 15CON

L0-2PanamaJun 8WOR

L0-1MontserratJun 4WOR

L1-6Costa RicaMar 26CON

L0-7Costa RicaMar 22CON

D2-2French GuyanaNov 19CON

W2-1French GuyanaNov 15CON

W3-0Turks and Caicos IslandsOct 16CON

W1-0AnguillaOct 10CON

Squad & Injuries

French Guiana

43 available

Attackers11

Midfielders12

Defenders14

Goalkeeper6

Belize

23 available

Attackers3

Midfielders11

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Over 2.5

French Guiana

French Guiana or Draw

Draw

No

Result5 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 6 landed

Match stats3 of 4 landed

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

French Guiana

Belize

Squad & Injuries

French Guiana

Belize