Estonia or Draw
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 57%
Estonia are hard to beat at home and held Iceland in Reykjavik, but they score rarely. Both recent meetings were tight and low-scoring, and neither team dominates enough to pull clear.
UEFA Nations LeagueFull timeFeatured
Settling…Pre-match view
Estonia host Iceland ten days after drawing 1-1 in Reykjavik, with Iceland top of the group and Estonia yet to win in it.
Iceland's away form and habit of early goals make them the likelier winners, though 1.62 asks more of them than their record justifies. Estonia to win or draw at 2.30, Estonia at 5.00, under 2.5 goals at 1.95 and under 7.5 corners at 2.40 all offer something.
The sporting picture is shaped by the quick return after a 1-1 draw in Reykjavik and by this being Estonia's first home match of the group campaign; no injuries are reported for either side and no venue or surface change is on record, so conditions are otherwise ordinary.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 5
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 57%
Estonia are hard to beat at home and held Iceland in Reykjavik, but they score rarely. Both recent meetings were tight and low-scoring, and neither team dominates enough to pull clear.
EstoniaMarket 20% · BetBugs 27%
Estonia are hard to beat at home and held Iceland in Reykjavik, but they score rarely.
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 48%
Estonia's home games average just below the line for total corners.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Estonia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 2 |
| 1 | IcelandPromotion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4-1 | 4 |

