Azerbaijan00 – 0Liechtenstein0

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Azerbaijan are the stronger team on home ground against an opponent that has scored twice in ten competitive matches and lost nine of them. Azerbaijan's weak finishing and habit of conceding at least once keeps a low-scoring draw in reach.

• Azerbaijan: 1 win, 2 draws, 5 defeats in 8 competitive matches, 5 matches scoring
• Liechtenstein: 1 win in 10 competitive matches, 2 goals scored, 3.4 conceded per game
• Azerbaijan have drawn 2 of their last 8 competitive matches, including 1-1 in Lithuania on 27 September
• The only previous meeting between the teams, in March 2020, finished 0-0

BetBugs · Double ChancewonAzerbaijan or DrawEstimated chance88%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Liechtenstein have not led at the break in this window, while Azerbaijan score before half-time reasonably often. Azerbaijan's first-half scoring rate is modest enough that a goalless or one-goal opening period is common.

• Azerbaijan average 0.75 first-half goals per competitive match and 1.0 in home matches
• Liechtenstein have scored no first-half goals in 10 competitive matches
• Azerbaijan's first-half scoring average is 0.75 goals per competitive match
• Liechtenstein have never led at half-time in 10 competitive matches

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAzerbaijan or DrawEstimated chance87%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Liechtenstein's attacking output is so small that at least one side is likely to be kept off the scoresheet.

• Liechtenstein failed to score in 8 of 10 competitive matches
• Azerbaijan have scored in 5 of their last 8 competitive matches
• Liechtenstein had 0.75 shots on target per game across their tracked competitive matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Liechtenstein's chance creation is minimal and a single away goal has been rare in their recent record.

• Liechtenstein have scored 0.2 goals per competitive match with 0.75 shots on target
• They have failed to score in their last three competitive games
• Azerbaijan have kept no clean sheet in 8 competitive matches, so this depends on the opponent's weakness

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonLiechtenstein not to scoreEstimated chance58%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.05

The read

One side being scoreless at half-time is the strong likelihood given Liechtenstein's first-half record.

• Liechtenstein have 0 first-half goals across 10 competitive matches
• Azerbaijan failed to score before the break in 2 of their last 6 matches
• Liechtenstein had 0.75 shots on target per competitive match

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

With only one team realistically scoring after the break, the second-half total is often small.

• Liechtenstein have scored 0 second-half goals in 10 competitive matches
• Azerbaijan's second-half scoring average is 0.5 goals per competitive match
• Azerbaijan's last two matches produced one and zero second-half goals

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches produce far more than three corners on almost every occasion.

• Liechtenstein's opponents averaged 9.25 corners per competitive match
• Azerbaijan's opponents averaged 5.86 corners per competitive match
• Total corners in Azerbaijan's tracked matches were 8, 9, 10 and 12 apart from one two-corner game

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Combined shot counts in these teams' matches sit far above seven almost every time.

• Azerbaijan's matches average 23 combined shots; Liechtenstein's average 23
• Azerbaijan had 9 shots against Lithuania and 7 against Iceland
• Liechtenstein's opponents averaged 20.75 shots per competitive match