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Predictions graded

Austria Vienna Women1Inter Milan Women1

HT 1–0Thu 1 Oct 2026, 16:45 Predictions graded

Predictions7–750%

Edges4–357%

PossPossession 35%–65%ShotsShots 17–11On targetOn target 5–4CornersCorners 8–2

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Sep 2026, 01:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Two Champions League league-phase debutants meet on Matchday 2, Austria Wien's six clean sheets in nine home matches against an Inter side that has scored 1.5 goals per away game but been blanked twice.

A tight, low-scoring night is likeliest, with Austria Wien holding a small edge. Austria Vienna to be level or ahead at half-time at 1.55 and over the full match at 2.00 offer something, as do Austria Vienna at 3.8 to win and 4.5 to lead at half-time.

Context

This is the first Champions League league-phase campaign for either club, so both arrive without habits or reference points from the format. Inter have three points after beating BK Häcken 1-0 at home on 22 September, while Austria Wien have none after a 1-0 loss at Chelsea the following day. Because the six-match league phase is short, points taken from a fellow newcomer carry extra weight in the race for the knockout places. The opening results are still a thin guide, though, since Inter's win came against a much less decorated opponent than Chelsea.
- Both clubs reached the Champions League league phase for the first time.
- Inter beat BK Häcken 1-0 at home on 22 September.
- Chelsea beat Austria Wien 1-0 on 23 September.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 01:26 · Europe/Bucharest
Inter travel to Vienna with points already on the board, having turned their first league-phase outing into a win rather than a lesson. That removes any need to chase the game early and gives the squad a positive template for European nights. Häcken, however, were among the less familiar names in the draw, so a single 1-0 scoreline says limited things about how Inter will handle a higher-tempo away fixture.
- Inter beat BK Häcken 1-0 at home on 22 September.
- The match was Inter's first appearance in the Champions League league phase.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 01:26 · Europe/Bucharest
Austria Wien conceded only once away at Chelsea, one of the strongest sides in the competition, staying in the match to the finish. That organised, deep defensive shape is the reference point they bring into a home night against a Serie A side that scores regularly in domestic play. The limitation is that the display still returned no points and offered little evidence of a reliable attacking outlet at this level.
- Austria Wien lost 1-0 away to Chelsea on 23 September in their opening league-phase match.
ConfirmedSources checked 30 Sep 2026, 01:26 · Europe/Bucharest
That home ledger is what Austria Wien defend on Thursday. Inter's six-match away sample from 16 March to 12 September averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded and included two scoreless away days, so a visiting goal is far from certain. Austria Wien's home fixtures came in the Austrian league, though, and a single early Inter goal would change the shape of the night.
- Austria Wien home record from 23 May to 19 September 2026: 9 matches, 6W-2D-1L, six clean sheets, 0.44 goals conceded per match.
- In the same nine-match home sample Austria Wien averaged 2.67 goals scored per match.
- Austria Wien failed to score in two of those nine home matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 3.80
The read
Austria Vienna score heavily at home while Inter have produced little on their European travels, so the hosts get a small edge.
- Austria Vienna are 6W-2D-1L in 9 home matches, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.44 per game
- Inter away: 3W-1D-2L in 6, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.17 per game
- Austria Vienna beat Brann 4-0 at home in the Champions League and lost only 1-0 away at Chelsea
- Inter lost 0-2 away at Wolfsburg and 0-1 away at Juventus in this window
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostAustria Vienna WomenEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Low first-half scoring rates for both sides make a level score at the break the single most likely outcome.
- Austria Vienna were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches
- Inter were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches
- Austria Vienna average 0.22 first-half goals conceded at home
- Inter average 0.67 first-half goals scored away
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance44%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams concede very little after the break, which makes a level second half the most likely single outcome.
- Inter average 0.17 second-half goals conceded away
- Austria Vienna average 0.22 second-half goals conceded at home
- Austria Vienna were level after the second half in only 2 of their last 6 matches
- Inter's second-half away scoring average is 0.83
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance41%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Austria Vienna score heavily at home while Inter have produced little on their European travels, so the hosts get a small edge. Inter arrive with more top-level league experience and a winning start in this competition.
- Austria Vienna are 6W-2D-1L in 9 home matches, scoring 2.67 and conceding 0.44 per game
- Inter away: 3W-1D-2L in 6, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.17 per game
- Inter overall: 9W-2D-4L in 15 with 2.0 scored and 1.13 conceded per match
- Inter won their league-phase opener 1-0 at home to Häcken
BetBugs · Double ChancelostAustria Vienna Women or Inter Milan WomenEstimated chance73%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.55
The read
Austria Vienna start strongly at home while Inter have conceded first-half goals regularly on the road. Low first-half scoring rates for both sides make a level score at the break the single most likely outcome.
- Austria Vienna average 1.33 first-half goals at home and 0.22 conceded
- Inter average 0.67 first-half goals away and 1.0 conceded
- Austria Vienna were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches
- Inter were level at half-time in 2 of their last 6 matches
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAustria Vienna Women or DrawEstimated chance80%

Goals5 of 7 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91
The read
Both teams defend well and recent matches have mostly been low-scoring, which favours fewer than three goals.
- Austria Vienna kept 6 clean sheets in 9 home matches
- Inter kept 2 clean sheets in 6 away matches
- Inter have failed to score in two of six away matches
- Austria Vienna home matches have produced three or more goals in only part of the sample
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.88
The read
Austria Vienna's home clean-sheet rate is the strongest single signal against both teams scoring.
- Austria Vienna kept 6 clean sheets in 9 home matches
- Inter kept 2 clean sheets in 6 away matches
- Both teams scored in only 2 of Austria Vienna's 9 home matches
- Austria Vienna failed to score in just 2 of 9 home matches
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Austria Vienna's home scoring rate suggests they should manage two goals more often than not.
- Austria Vienna scored 2.67 per home match across 9 matches
- Austria Vienna scored at least twice in all four of their most recent home matches listed
- Inter conceded 1.17 per away match
- Inter kept 2 clean sheets in 6 away matches
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostAustria Vienna Women over 1.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Austria Vienna's home defence plus Inter's quiet away record points to two goals or fewer from the visitors.
- Inter scored 1.5 per away match but were blanked in 2 of 6
- Austria Vienna conceded 0.44 per home match
- Austria Vienna kept 6 clean sheets in 9 home matches
- Inter scored 0 in their away match at Wolfsburg
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonInter Milan Women under 1.5Estimated chance67%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Inter's away scoring record makes it more likely than not that Austria Vienna concede at least once.
- Inter scored in 4 of 6 away matches
- Inter average 1.5 goals per away match
- Austria Vienna conceded in 3 of 9 home matches
- Inter scored twice against Fiorentina in their most recent match
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonInter Milan Women to scoreEstimated chance64%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.33
The read
Both sides have regularly produced at least one first-half goal in their recent matches.
- Austria Vienna average 1.33 first-half goals at home
- Inter average 0.67 first-half goals away
- 9 of these two teams' last 12 matches had a first-half goal
- Austria Vienna average 0.22 first-half goals conceded at home
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance72%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Low second-half concession rates for both teams make fewer than two goals after the break more likely.
- Inter average 0.17 second-half goals conceded away
- Austria Vienna average 0.22 second-half goals conceded at home
- Inter average 0.83 second-half goals scored away
- Austria Vienna average 1.33 second-half goals scored at home
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonUnder 1.5Estimated chance60%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Inter's tracked matches have mostly landed below ten corners, so the under is marginally preferred.
- Inter's five tracked matches averaged 8.4 total corners
- Inter's two tracked away matches averaged 9.5 total corners
- Austria Vienna's only tracked match produced 13 corners
- Only one Austria Vienna match has corner data
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance52%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Inter's frequent bookings, including two red cards, nudge the total card count towards three or more.
- Austria Vienna's two tracked matches averaged 2.5 total cards
- Inter's six tracked matches averaged 1.5 own yellows against 0.83 for opponents
- Inter have received two red cards in six tracked matches
- Inter's three tracked away matches averaged 1.67 own yellows
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance53%

League Table

UEFA Champions League Women 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
14	Austria Vienna Women	1	0	0	1	0-1	0	L
6	Inter Milan Women Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	1	1	0	0	1-0	3	W

3pt gap between teamsInter Milan Women leads the league

Recent Form

Austria Vienna Women

W2-0Sturm Graz WSep 27FRA

L0-1Chelsea WSep 23UEF

W2-0Kleinmünchen / BW Linz WSep 19FRA

W5-0Südburgenland WSep 13FRA

W4-0Brann WSep 1UEF

D1-1First Vienna WAug 29FRA

L1-2Brann WAug 25UEF

W7-0Salzburg WAug 21FRA

W2-0LASK WAug 14FRA

W5-0Farul Constanţa WAug 8UEF

W3-2Hajduk Split WAug 5UEF

L0-1St. Pölten WAug 1FRA

D1-1St. Pölten WMay 30FRA

D0-0Salzburg WMay 23FRA

W2-1Sturm Graz WMay 17FRA

Inter Milan Women

W2-0Fiorentina WSep 27SER

W1-0Häcken WSep 22UEF

L0-1Juventus WSep 12SER

W3-1Lazio WSep 6SER

W6-0Napoli WAug 30SER

L0-2VfL Wolfsburg WAug 26UEF

W1-0Parma WAug 21SER

L0-3Como WMay 16SER

D3-3Juventus WMay 10SER

W1-0AC Milan WMay 2SER

W2-1Genoa WApr 25SER

W5-2Lazio WApr 4SER

L1-2Roma WMar 29COP

D2-2Napoli WMar 21SER

W3-0Sassuolo WMar 16SER

Squad & Injuries

Austria Vienna Women

23 available

Attackers6

Midfielders8

Defenders6

Goalkeeper3

Inter Milan Women

28 available

Attackers9

Midfielders7

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Austria Vienna Women or Draw

Austria Vienna Women or Draw

Austria Vienna Women

Austria Vienna Women

No

Over 0.5 goals in 1st half

Under 2.5

Result1 of 5 landed

Goals5 of 7 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

League Table

Recent Form

Austria Vienna Women

Inter Milan Women

Squad & Injuries

Austria Vienna Women

Inter Milan Women