Necaxa22 – 4Club America4

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.91

The read

America have the stronger squad and scoring record, and Necaxa's poor run makes an away win the most likely single result.

• America are 3rd in Liga MX with 17 points from 8, including five wins.
• America have scored 17 league goals and conceded 8.
• Necaxa have lost five of nine league matches and are winless in seven.
• Necaxa have no clean sheets in their last 12 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonClub AmericaEstimated chance48%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.40

The read

Necaxa's slow first halves and America's mixed away starts make a level half-time score the most likely outcome.

• Necaxa have scored no first-half goals in five home matches.
• Necaxa average 0.25 first-half goals per match.
• America have scored 0.67 first-half goals per away match.
• America have conceded 1.17 first-half goals per away match.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

America's strong second-half scoring and defending make them the most likely team to win the second half.

• America average 1.15 second-half goals per competitive match.
• America concede only 0.31 second-half goals per competitive match.
• Necaxa concede 1.0 second-half goals per competitive match.
• America have won the second half in four of their last six matches.

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonClub AmericaEstimated chance44%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.30

The read

The recent head-to-head record and Necaxa's habit of taking points in low-scoring games keep a draw in play. America have the stronger squad and scoring record, and Necaxa's poor run makes an away win the most likely single result.

• Three of the last five meetings between Necaxa and America ended level.
• Necaxa have drawn two of their nine league matches; America have drawn two of eight.
• America are 3rd in Liga MX with 17 points from 8, including five wins.
• America have scored 17 league goals and conceded 8.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Club AmericaEstimated chance75%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Necaxa's slow first halves and America's mixed away starts make a level half-time score the most likely outcome. America's habit of scoring before half-time and Necaxa's slow starts point to an away half-time lead.

• Necaxa have scored no first-half goals in five home matches.
• Necaxa average 0.25 first-half goals per match.
• America average 1.0 first-half goal per competitive match.
• America have scored in the first half in several recent away games.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Club AmericaEstimated chance87%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.65

The read

Both current-season goal totals sit above 2.5, making over the more likely side.

• Necaxa's competitive matches average 2.92 total goals.
• America's competitive matches average 3.23 total goals.
• America's away matches average 3.33 total goals.
• Necaxa's last six matches produced 16 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.60

The read

Necaxa score often enough at home and America usually score away, making both teams finding the net the more likely outcome.

• Both teams scored in 10 of Necaxa's 12 competitive matches.
• Both teams scored in four of Necaxa's five home matches.
• Both teams scored in four of America's six away matches.
• Necaxa have no clean sheets in 12 competitive matches.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.25

The read

America's first-half scoring and Necaxa's tendency to concede early make at least one first-half goal likely.

• Necaxa have scored no first-half goals in five home matches.
• America average 0.67 first-half goals per away match.
• Necaxa concede 0.83 first-half goals per competitive match.
• America's last six matches produced first-half goals in four.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' second-half numbers point to two or more goals after the break.

• Necaxa home matches average 2.4 second-half goals.
• America away matches average 1.5 second-half goals.
• Necaxa concede 1.0 second-half goals per competitive match.
• America score 1.15 second-half goals per competitive match.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

America's shot-on-target numbers lift the combined total close to the line, giving the over a slight chance.

• Necaxa's competitive matches average 10 total shots on target.
• America's competitive matches average 11.77 total shots on target.
• America's away matches average 11.67 total shots on target.
• Necaxa's last six matches averaged 10 total shots on target.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

America's away games and both teams' card averages point to a busy referee, making over 4.5 cards more likely.

• Necaxa's competitive matches average 4.17 total cards.
• America's competitive matches average 4.62 total cards.
• America's away matches average 6.5 total cards.
• Necaxa's home matches average 4.2 total cards.