1st Half GoalslostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip
Under 0.5 goals in 1st half
3.50fair 2.63
Market 28.6% · BetBugs 38%
+9.4ppedge
Halifax's habit of a quiet opening half gives a goalless first half a reasonable chance.
National League·Full time·Featured
Predictions graded
Worthing22 – 1
Halifax1
HT 2–1· · Predictions graded
Predictions9–564%
Edges0–50%
Quick Take
Pre-match view
Halifax bring the better season — 6-1-4 in eleven, 1.18 conceded per game — to a Worthing side that has won its last two but lost three of six at home.
Halifax edge a close game. Halifax to win at 2.9, the draw-or-Halifax double chance at 1.67, Under 2.5 at 2.3, no first-half goal at 3.5 and both teams not to score at 2.5 all carry a positive read.
Context
Forest Green Rovers exercised a recall clause in Jose Marquez's season-long loan, and Worthing confirmed on 21 September that he had returned to the National League rivals. Marquez had four goal contributions in nine league appearances for the Rebels, including the stoppage-time third in their 3-1 win at Hartlepool on 19 September, so his exit removes a goalscoring option for the visit of Halifax. The limitation is that he was introduced from the bench in Worthing's recent wins, meaning the starting forward line may be unchanged and the effect may fall mainly on late-game depth.
- Worthing FC confirmed on 21 September 2026 that striker Jose Marquez had been recalled by parent club Forest Green Rovers.
- Stroud Times reported that Forest Green activated a recall clause after Marquez recorded four goal contributions in his first nine Worthing appearances, including the stoppage-time goal in the 3-1 win at Hartlepool on 19 September 2026.
- J. Marquez started 3 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
- C. Kendall started in the same position in 2 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups when J. Marquez did not start.
Halifax manager John McGrath told the Halifax Courier before the trip to Worthing that the club expect some absentees to be available again this weekend. The statement suggests a wider pool for a fixture that follows Halifax's 1-1 home draw with Sutton United on 19 September, when they needed a stoppage-time goal to lead. The published headline does not name the players involved, so neither their identities nor the positions affected are established, and the practical effect on selection stays uncertain.
- The Halifax Courier's Tom Scargill reported on 23 September 2026 that Halifax manager John McGrath expects the club to welcome back some absentees for Saturday's visit to Worthing.
Halifax announced on 18 September that Stockport County had recalled attacker Arian Allen from his loan. That removes a forward from John McGrath's options in the week before the trip to Worthing, reducing competition for attacking places. The club statement gave no reason for the recall and no confirmation of a replacement, so how much the change actually alters Saturday's XI depends on a role the public record does not quantify.
- FC Halifax Town confirmed on 18 September 2026 that Arian Allen had been recalled from his loan by Stockport County, thanking him for his contributions.
- A. Allen started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups.
Halifax manager John McGrath confirmed the club were in talks to sign up to two players and were due to speak to Derby County about extending midfielder Cruz Allen's loan, reported by the Halifax Courier and relayed by National League Lowdown on 21 September. Cruz Allen has been part of recent Halifax matchday squads, so an extension would keep a familiar midfield option available. Because these are negotiations rather than completed deals, nothing is settled for Saturday and any effect on the Worthing fixture remains speculative.
- National League Lowdown relayed a Halifax Courier report on 21 September 2026 that Halifax manager John McGrath had confirmed the club were in talks to sign up to two new players.
- The same report said Halifax were set to speak to Derby County about extending the loan of midfielder Cruz Allen.
Signal quality track record · Football
High Medium Low
Share of graded picks that landed, per signal quality.
BetBugs edges
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean
Draw or Halifax
1.67fair 1.54
Market 59.9% · BetBugs 65%
+5.1ppedge
Two closely matched teams with similar scoring and conceding numbers make a level result a live outcome. Halifax's stronger season record and tighter defence give them a small advantage in a close away fixture.
Goals Over/UnderlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip
Under 2.5
2.30fair 2.08
Market 43.5% · BetBugs 48%
+4.5ppedge
Halifax's recent defensive record has kept their matches tight and low-scoring.
Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip
Halifax
2.90fair 2.63
Market 34.5% · BetBugs 38%
+3.5ppedge
Halifax's stronger season record and tighter defence give them a small advantage in a close away fixture.
Both Teams to ScorelostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip
No
2.50fair 2.33
Market 40% · BetBugs 43%
+3.0ppedge
Halifax's recent defensive run gives them a real chance of shutting Worthing out.
BetBugs probabilities
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Result3 of 5 landed
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.90
The read
Halifax's stronger season record and tighter defence give them a small advantage in a close away fixture.
- Halifax overall: 11 games, 6W-1D-4L, 2.09 scored and 1.18 conceded per game
- Halifax have kept four clean sheets in eleven league matches
- Worthing at home have lost 3 of 6 and concede 1.5 goals per home game
- Halifax won 1-0 at Wealdstone on 15 September, their one away win in four
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostHalifaxEstimated chance38%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Halifax's slow starts and low first-half scoring make a level half-time score the most likely single result.
- Halifax have been level at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches
- Halifax's away first halves average 0.75 total goals
- Worthing's home first halves average 1.17 total goals
- Halifax have scored one first-half goal in their last six matches
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance48%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The closing periods of both teams' matches have been close to even on goals.
- Worthing's home second halves average 1.67 total goals; Halifax's away second halves 1.75
- Neither side has a positive second-half goal record in these splits
- Halifax scored one second-half goal in each of their last two away games
- Worthing have scored two second-half goals in two of their last six matches
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance42%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's two straight wins and better home-versus-away split keep them right alongside a Halifax side that has lost three of four on the road. Halifax's stronger season record and tighter defence give them a small advantage in a close away fixture.
- Worthing at home: 6 games, 2W-1D-3L, 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game
- Halifax away: 4 games, 1W-0D-3L, 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded per game
- Halifax overall: 11 games, 6W-1D-4L, 2.09 scored and 1.18 conceded per game
- Halifax have kept four clean sheets in eleven league matches
BetBugs · Double ChancewonWorthing or HalifaxEstimated chance73%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's first halves at home have been far more productive than Halifax's on the road. Halifax's slow starts and low first-half scoring make a level half-time score the most likely single result.
- Worthing average 0.83 first-half goals at home and 0.33 conceded
- Halifax average 0.25 first-half goals away and 0.5 conceded
- Halifax have been level at half-time in 4 of their last 6 matches
- Halifax's away first halves average 0.75 total goals
BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonWorthing or DrawEstimated chance77%
Goals6 of 9 landed
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's matches have been open and high-scoring, and they concede regularly at home.
- Worthing's ten league games average 3.5 total goals; Halifax's eleven average 3.27
- Five of Worthing's last six matches went over 2.5 goals
- Worthing home games average 2.83 total goals and Halifax away games 2.5
- Four of Halifax's last six matches finished with two goals or fewer
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance52%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing score in almost every match and concede often, so Halifax should get chances of their own.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Worthing's 10 league matches
- Worthing have scored in all ten league matches, including all six at home
- Halifax have scored in 10 of their 11 league matches
- Halifax have conceded in 3 of their 4 away games
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance57%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's home scoring rate sits close to one goal a game, and Halifax have been defending well.
- Worthing average 1.33 goals per home game
- Worthing scored once in their most recent home match against Hornchurch
- Halifax have kept four clean sheets in eleven league matches
- Halifax away games see them concede 1.5 goals on average
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostWorthing under 1.5Estimated chance58%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Halifax have struggled to score freely on their travels this season.
- Halifax average 1.0 goals per away game
- Halifax were held to one goal or fewer in three of their four away matches
- Worthing have kept two clean sheets in six home games
- Halifax have scored one goal in each of their last two away matches
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonHalifax under 1.5Estimated chance62%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's defence has conceded in most matches and Halifax almost always find a goal.
- Worthing concede 1.5 goals per home game
- Halifax have scored in 10 of their 11 league matches
- Worthing have kept only two clean sheets in ten league games
- Worthing conceded in four of their last six matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonHalifax to scoreEstimated chance76%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing's record of scoring in every league game makes a Halifax shutout unlikely.
- Worthing have scored in 10 of 10 league matches and 6 of 6 at home
- Halifax have conceded in 3 of their 4 away games
- Halifax concede 1.5 goals per away game
- Worthing scored two or more in five of their last six matches
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonWorthing to scoreEstimated chance76%Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Worthing almost always score before the break, which makes at least one first-half goal likely.
- Worthing's home first halves average 1.17 total goals; Halifax's away first halves 0.75
- Worthing scored a first-half goal in five of their last six matches
- Halifax have scored a first-half goal in two of their last six matches
- Worthing scored in the first half of all three of their most recent home games
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance62%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
First-half goals from both teams in the same match have been rare for these sides.
- Halifax have scored one first-half goal in their last six matches
- Worthing have conceded 0.33 first-half goals per home game
- Halifax have been goalless at half-time in four of their last six matches
- Halifax's away first halves average 0.75 total goals
BetBugs · Both Teams Score First HalflostNoEstimated chance85%Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Both teams' second-half scoring and conceding rates sit just above the 1.5 line.
- Worthing's home second halves average 1.67 total goals
- Halifax's away second halves average 1.75 total goals
- Worthing's last six matches produced two or more second-half goals four times
- Halifax scored in the second half in five of their last six matches
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalflostOver 1.5Estimated chance51%
The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees
Recent Form
Worthing
W3-1HartlepoolNAT
W1-0AFC HornchurchNAT
D2-2BarrowNAT
D2-2AFC FyldeNAT
L2-3Boreham WoodNAT
L2-3TamworthNAT
W1-0WealdstoneNAT
L1-2West Ham United U21NAT
L1-2Forest GreenNAT
W3-2CarlisleNAT
W3-0HorshamFRI
W2-1Brighton U21FRI
D1-1Enfield TownFRI
W1-0Queens Park Rangers U21FRI
D1-1Frome TownFRI
Halifax
D1-1Sutton UtdNAT
W1-0WealdstoneNAT
W3-0AFC HornchurchNAT
W3-0Wolves U21NAT
L0-1Aldershot TownNAT
W1-0HartlepoolNAT
L1-2AltrinchamNAT
W4-1TamworthNAT
W6-2Derby County U21NAT
L1-3Boreham WoodNAT
L2-3Forest GreenNAT
W1-0Curzon AshtonFRI
W3-2RochdaleFRI
W3-1Spennymoor TownFRI
W3-2Gainsborough TrinityFRI
Squad & Injuries
Worthing
30 availableAttackers11
Midfielders8
Defenders8
Goalkeeper3
Halifax
22 availableAttackers6
Midfielders8
Defenders6
Goalkeeper2