Australia11 – 1Brazil1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

First halves involving both teams have usually been tight, so the interval is often reached level.

• Australia average 0.43 first-half goals for and 0.43 against per competitive match.
• Both teams average under 1.1 first-half goals per competitive match.
• Australia were level at half-time in 4 of their last 6 competitive matches.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams concede very little after the break, making a level second half the common outcome.

• Brazil concede 0.29 second-half goals per competitive match.
• Australia concede 0.14 second-half goals per competitive match.
• Second-half goal difference is narrow for both teams in this window.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Brazil have the stronger attacking numbers and created far more than Australia over the same competitive period. With both squads heavily changed and this being a mid-cycle friendly, the sides may cancel each other out for long spells.

• Brazil average 1.86 goals for and 0.71 against in 7 competitive matches, with 15.1 shots and 5.7 on target per game.
• Australia have been out-shot 14.8 to 7.2 per game across their competitive window.
• Australia have seven uncapped players in a 26-man squad, with ten World Cup players not returning.
• Brazil's selection is an overhaul with a new goalkeeping group and several first-time call-ups.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or BrazilEstimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Brazil start games on the front foot and have produced more first-half goals than Australia this window. First halves involving both teams have usually been tight, so the interval is often reached level.

• Brazil average 1.0 first-half goal per competitive match.
• Australia have conceded 0.43 first-half goals per competitive match.
• Australia average 0.43 first-half goals for and 0.43 against per competitive match.
• Both teams average under 1.1 first-half goals per competitive match.

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or BrazilEstimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 2.30

The read

Both defences have been hard to break down, which points to a tighter, lower-scoring friendly.

• Australia have conceded 0.57 goals per game in 7 competitive matches with 4 clean sheets.
• Brazil have conceded 0.71 per game with 3 clean sheets in 7 competitive matches.
• Australia's competitive matches average 2.14 total goals.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Two goals is a high bar for Australia against a Brazil defence that has been difficult to score against twice.

• Australia average 1.57 goals per competitive match.
• Brazil have conceded 0.71 goals per competitive match with 3 clean sheets.
• Brazil conceded two or more only once in 7 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonAustralia under 1.5Estimated chance74%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Australia's defensive record suggests holding Brazil to one goal or fewer is the more likely single outcome.

• Australia have conceded 0.57 goals per competitive match with 4 clean sheets.
• Brazil scored one goal or none in three of their last six competitive matches.
• Brazil failed to score in 1 of 7 competitive matches.

BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonBrazil under 1.5Estimated chance55%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Combined corner counts for these two teams sit right around the line, with Brazil's recent games edging above it.

• Brazil's competitive matches average 9.0 corners combined (5.0 for, 4.0 against).
• Australia's competitive matches average 8.4 corners combined (3.0 for, 5.4 against).
• Brazil's last six competitive matches produced 10, 8, 13, 8, 8 and 9 corners.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Brazil's matches are shot-heavy and Australia's opponents have taken 14.8 shots per game against them.

• Brazil average 25.9 total shots per competitive match (15.1 for, 10.7 against).
• Australia average 22.0 (7.2 for, 14.8 against).
• Five of Brazil's last six competitive matches produced 23 or more total shots.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Australia's small on-target output points to a combined figure at or below the line.

• Australia average 7.2 shots on target combined per competitive match.
• Brazil's opponents average 4.0 shots on target per competitive match.
• Australia have produced 3.4 shots on target per game and conceded 3.8.