Andorra11 – 2Malta2

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Malta have the better recent attacking output and an unbeaten head-to-head record, while Andorra have lost both home matches in the sample.

• Malta's last six competitive matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 4 goals scored and 13 conceded
• Malta have won two and drawn two of the last four meetings with Andorra, and have not lost any of them
• Malta's away sample shows 1 win in 5 with 0.4 goals scored per match

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMaltaEstimated chance36%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.85

The read

Neither side scores early often, and level half-time scorelines dominate both teams' recent matches.

• Six of the last ten combined competitive matches were level at half-time
• Andorra average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.75 against per competitive match
• Malta's last six matches produced 1 first-half goal scored and 3 conceded

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Malta have the better recent attacking output and an unbeaten head-to-head record, while Andorra have lost both home matches in the sample. Two low-scoring sides with little attacking output and a recent head-to-head record full of stalemates make a level result genuinely likely.

• Malta's last six competitive matches: 1 win, 1 draw, 4 defeats, 4 goals scored and 13 conceded
• Malta have won two and drawn two of the last four meetings with Andorra, and have not lost any of them
• Two of the last four meetings finished 0-0
• Andorra's last four competitive matches produced one draw; Malta's last six produced one

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or MaltaEstimated chance69%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Neither side scores early often, and level half-time scorelines dominate both teams' recent matches. Home advantage gives Andorra the edge in a half where goals are scarce for both teams.

• Six of the last ten combined competitive matches were level at half-time
• Andorra average 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.75 against per competitive match
• Andorra scored 2 first-half goals in their last four competitive matches
• Andorra's home sample: 0.5 first-half goals for and 0.5 against per match

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonAndorra or DrawEstimated chance79%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Andorra have rarely scored more than once in a match, and their home sample shows minimal attacking output.

• Andorra scored 0, 1, 2, 0 goals across their last four competitive matches
• Andorra average 0.75 goals per competitive match
• Andorra's home sample: 0.5 goals scored per match across two matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonAndorra under 1.5Estimated chance73%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Andorra's tendency to concede before the break gives the first half a reasonable chance of containing a goal.

• At least one first-half goal in 6 of the last 10 combined competitive matches
• Andorra have conceded 3 first-half goals in their last 4 matches
• Malta scored once before half-time in their last six matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Every recorded match involving either side produced at least four corners, mostly through opponents pressing Andorra.

• Total corners in the last ten combined matches: 4, 10, 6, 8, 9, 4, 13, 10, 7, 6
• Andorra average 0.5 corners and concede 6.5 per competitive match
• Malta average 2.7 corners with 4.9 conceded per competitive match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams' matches consistently generate high shot volumes because opponents dominate possession against them.

• Total shots in the ten combined matches ranged from 13 to 29
• Andorra's matches average 16.8 shots in total
• Malta's matches average 25.2 shots in total

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Malta's matches regularly produce five or more shots on target, and Andorra's defence allows steady work for opponents.

• Shots on target totals: Andorra's matches 2, 6, 4, 7; Malta's matches 11, 5, 12, 9, 8, 7
• Andorra allow 3.75 shots on target per match, Malta 5.7 in the wider sample
• Six of Malta's last six matches cleared 4.5 shots on target in total

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Andorra's matches have consistently sat at or below five cards, while Malta's counts have been mixed.

• Andorra's four competitive matches produced 5, 5, 5 and 2 total cards, none over 5.5
• Malta's matches produced 6, 2, 4, 7 and 13 cards
• Malta have had a player sent off in two of their last six matches