Iraq11 – 1Oman1

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Iraq have won three of the last five meetings and Oman have managed only one goal per competitive match in this window. Both sides score sparingly and two of the last five meetings were drawn, so a tight, low-scoring game is plausible.

• Iraq competitive window: 5W-2D-5L in 12 matches; 0.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game
• Oman competitive window: 3W-4D-3L in 10 matches; 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game
• Two of the last five head-to-heads finished level, including a 0-0 in the 2023 Gulf Cup
• Oman have drawn four of ten competitive matches in this window

BetBugs · Double ChancewonIraq or DrawEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams rarely score before the break, which makes a level first half the most likely single outcome. Iraq create little before the break but Oman concede in first halves often enough to keep this live.

• Iraq average 0.42 first-half goals scored and 0.67 conceded per competitive match
• Oman average 0.14 first-half goals scored and 0.71 conceded per competitive match
• Iraq average 0.42 first-half goals scored per competitive match
• Oman average 0.71 first-half goals conceded per competitive match

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonIraq or DrawEstimated chance81%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.57

The read

Both teams score around one goal a game, which keeps the combined total close to the 2.5 line.

• Iraq average 0.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per competitive match (2.5 combined)
• Oman average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per competitive match (2.2 combined)
• Iraq have scored two or more in one of their last six competitive matches
• Oman have kept two clean sheets in ten competitive matches

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Iraq's attacking output is under one goal a game and they have rarely reached two in a match.

• Iraq average 0.92 goals scored per competitive match
• Iraq scored two or more in one of their last six competitive matches
• Oman concede 1.2 goals per competitive match
• Iraq were scoreless in four of their last six competitive matches

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonIraq under 1.5Estimated chance78%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Iraq have been conceding regularly across the recent window, making a full shutout less likely.

• Iraq have one clean sheet in their last five matches
• Iraq concede 1.58 goals per competitive match
• Oman scored in four of their last six competitive matches
• Oman average 1.0 goal per competitive match

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOman to scoreEstimated chance68%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Market price 1.48

The read

The combined first-half scoring rates point to roughly one goal, so at least one before the break is more likely than none.

• Iraq concede 0.67 first-half goals per competitive match
• Iraq scored a first-half goal in two of their last three matches
• Oman concede 0.71 first-half goals per competitive match
• Combined first-half goal expectation is just under one per match

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.10

The read

With both teams averaging well under one first-half goal, both scoring before the break is unlikely.

• Iraq average 0.42 first-half goals scored per competitive match
• Oman average 0.14 first-half goals scored per competitive match
• Oman's away split first-half goals against average is 0
• Neither side averages even half a first-half goal per game

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Combined second-half goal expectation sits below two, so fewer than two second-half goals is the more likely outcome.

• Iraq average 1.42 combined second-half goals per competitive match
• Oman average 1.29 combined second-half goals per competitive match
• Oman score 0.29 second-half goals per competitive match
• Combined second-half expectation is around 1.35 goals

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both sides give up corners at a higher rate than they earn them, pointing to a total near or above eight.

• Iraq average 3.14 corners and 5.29 opponent corners over 7 matches
• Oman average 3.25 corners and 6.25 opponent corners over 4 matches
• Combined corner expectation is around nine per match
• Both teams concede more corners than they win

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Opponents generate most of the shots on target in both teams' matches, keeping the combined count above four.

• Iraq: 1.71 shots on target, opponents 5.0 over 7 matches
• Oman: 1.75 shots on target, opponents 6.25 over 4 matches
• Combined shots on target expectation is around seven per match
• Iraq's last three matches produced 13, 5 and 6 shots on target against

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams average close to four yellow cards combined, with reds also present in their recent samples.

• Iraq: 1.43 yellow cards and 2.43 opponent yellows over 7 matches (3.86 combined)
• Oman: 2.0 yellow cards and 2.0 opponent yellows over 4 matches (4.0 combined)
• Red cards appear in both teams' tracked samples
• Two red cards recorded in Iraq's 7 tracked matches