Gillingham11 – 4Cambridge United4

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 2.05

The read

Cambridge play at a higher level, avoid defeat on the road and have already produced a heavy win over this opponent.

• Cambridge United are unbeaten away in League One (1W 4D, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game)
• Cambridge United won the most recent head-to-head 5-0 in March 2026
• Gillingham have won three and lost three of seven home matches
• Cambridge United have conceded in each of their last six matches

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCambridge UnitedEstimated chance39%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Cambridge score at a slightly better rate after half-time and face a Gillingham side that concedes after the break.

• Cambridge United average 1.1 second-half goals and 1.0 away
• Gillingham concede 1.14 second-half goals at home
• Cambridge United scored twice after the break in three of their last six matches
• Gillingham's second-half goals against average is 0.91

BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonCambridge UnitedEstimated chance37%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Market price 1.29

The read

Gillingham are hard to beat right now and at home, but they score modestly at this venue against a side from a higher division. Cambridge play at a higher level, avoid defeat on the road and have already produced a heavy win over this opponent.

• Cambridge United play a division higher (League One) and are unbeaten away this season (1W 4D)
• Gillingham are unbeaten in six competitive matches, keeping three clean sheets
• Cambridge United are unbeaten away in League One (1W 4D, 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game)
• Cambridge United won the most recent head-to-head 5-0 in March 2026

BetBugs · Double ChancewonGillingham or Cambridge UnitedEstimated chance72%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams score very little before half-time, making a level score at the break the clear favourite. Gillingham give up first-half goals relatively often, though Cambridge themselves rarely score before the break.

• Gillingham average 0.27 first-half goals, Cambridge United 0.30
• Cambridge United have scored one first-half goal in their last six matches
• Cambridge United average 0.30 first-half goals and 0.20 away
• Gillingham concede 0.82 first-half goals per match across 11 competitive games

BetBugs · Double Chance First HalfwonDraw or Cambridge UnitedEstimated chance82%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Market price 1.75

The read

Cambridge almost always find the net, while Gillingham have scored in nearly all of their recent matches but rarely shut opponents out.

• Cambridge United have scored in eight of ten competitive matches and four of five away
• Gillingham have scored in five of their last six matches
• Cambridge United have conceded in each of their last six matches and kept one clean sheet in ten
• Gillingham kept three clean sheets in their last six

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Gillingham's home scoring is modest and their most recent matches have produced one goal at most.

• Gillingham average 1.14 goals per home match across seven home games
• Gillingham scored one or none in their last three matches
• Cambridge United have not conceded more than two in any of their last six
• Gillingham's last three matches produced one, one and zero goals

BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonGillingham under 1.5Estimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A team that scores in four of five away games is more likely than not to find the net at Gillingham.

• Cambridge United have scored in eight of ten competitive matches
• Cambridge United have scored in four of five away matches
• Gillingham kept four clean sheets in 11 competitive matches
• Gillingham kept three clean sheets in their last six matches

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCambridge United to scoreEstimated chance73%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

A defence that has conceded in six straight matches is unlikely to keep Gillingham out at home.

• Cambridge United have conceded in each of their last six matches
• Cambridge United have kept one clean sheet in ten competitive matches
• Gillingham have scored in five of their last six matches
• Gillingham scored in eight of 11 competitive matches

BetBugs · Team to ScorewonGillingham to scoreEstimated chance71%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Almost all of the scoring in these teams' matches arrives after half-time, leaving two or more second-half goals marginally more likely than fewer.

• Gillingham's last six second-half totals were 3,2,3,1,0 and 0 goals
• Cambridge United's last six second-half totals were 1,2,1,3,3 and 0 goals
• Gillingham average 1.09 second-half goals and concede 0.91
• Cambridge United average 1.1 second-half goals and concede 0.8

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Market price 1.91

The read

Cambridge's away matches generate plenty of corners and Gillingham concede a fair number at home, putting the total near the line.

• Cambridge United average 5.7 corners and concede 4.5 per match
• Cambridge United's away matches average 5.8 corners for and 5.8 against
• Gillingham's recent corner totals were 3,10,12,10,8 and 12
• Gillingham concede 5.14 corners per home match