Komarno1Slovan Bratislava2

HT 1–0Sat 19 Sept 2026, 18:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–467%

Edges8–189%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Sep 2026, 18:04 · Europe/Bucharest

Slovan Bratislava are strong favourites with a +9-point edge on the moneyline (70% vs 61% implied), and the best value is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.10 (+12.4-point edge).

Avoid Over 2.5 total goals, BTTS Yes, and first-half Over 0.5, as the market has overpriced those lines.

Context

Komarno sit 10th in the Super Liga with 5 points from 8 matches.
Their form is DDDLL, with no wins and only 7 goals scored. At home they have 1 draw and 2 losses, scoring just 1 goal in 3 games. This lack of wins and goals makes it hard for them to compete against a stronger Slovan side.
- Komarno have 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses in 8 league matches.
- They have scored 7 goals and conceded 12.
- At home, they have 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 1 goal scored and 5 conceded.
Slovan Bratislava are 4th with 13 points from 7 matches.
Their recent league form is DLLWW, including a 0-2 loss at Dunajska Streda and a 1-2 home loss to Zemplin Michalovce. However, they have won their other two league games in that stretch, so they remain dangerous.
- Slovan Bratislava lost 0-2 to Dunajska Streda on 2026-09-05.
- They lost 1-2 to Zemplin Michalovce on 2026-08-30.
- They drew 3-3 with Zilina on 2026-09-13.
Komarno midfielder Filip Kiss was sent off in the 61st minute at Podbrezova on 13 September after a second yellow card.
His availability for Saturday is unresolved because the disciplinary outcome was not available in the sources checked. If suspended, Komarno would lose a central midfield option and need to adjust their midfield selection.
- Sportnet reported that Filip Kiss received a red card in the 61st minute of Podbrezová 1-1 Komárno on 13 September.
- Ahoj Komárno reported that Kiss received the red card after a second yellow and that Komárno played the latter part of the second half with ten men.
To watchSources checked 16 Sep 2026, 18:02 · Europe/BucharestSportnet match reportsportnet.sme.sk · 13 Sep 2026Ahoj Komárnoahojkomarno.sk · 14 Sep 2026
The teams have met four times in the Super Liga since 2024.
Slovan Bratislava won 3-2 at Komarno on 2025-10-29 and 6-0 at home on 2024-12-04. Komarno's only win in this span was a 3-2 home victory on 2025-11-09. Slovan's recent dominance in this fixture gives them an edge.
- Slovan Bratislava won 3-2 at Komarno on 2025-10-29.
- Slovan Bratislava won 6-0 at home on 2024-12-04.
- Komarno won 3-2 at home on 2025-11-09.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slovan's superior league position, recent form, and dominant head-to-head record make them clear favourites.
- Slovan Bratislava are 4th with 13 points from 7 games; Komarno are 10th with 5 points from 8 games.
- Slovan have won 4 of their last 5 league matches, while Komarno have not won any of their last 5 league matches (3 draws, 2 losses).
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, Slovan won 3 and drew 1, scoring 16 goals and conceding 5.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonSlovan BratislavaEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Komarno's draw-heavy record and Slovan's overall strength make a Slovan win or draw highly likely.
- Komarno have drawn 5 of their 8 league matches this season.
- Slovan have lost only 2 of their last 15 matches in all competitions.
- Slovan have won 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Slovan BratislavaEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slovan's tendency to lead at half-time and Komarno's vulnerability early give Slovan the edge in the first half.
- Slovan led at half-time in 53% of their last 15 matches.
- Komarno trailed at half-time in 27% of their last 15 matches.
- Slovan have scored first-half goals in 10 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostSlovan BratislavaEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slovan's ability to control matches from the first half and Komarno's winless run support a Slovan HT/FT double.
- Slovan led at half-time and won the match in 40% of their last 15 matches.
- Komarno have not won a league match this season.
- Slovan have won 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostSlovan Bratislava/Slovan BratislavaEstimated chance45%

Goals6 of 8 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Slovan's high scoring rate and the historically high-scoring H2H encounters support over 2.5 goals.
- Slovan average 2.5 goals scored per match in their last 15 matches.
- Komarno's last 5 league matches have seen an average of 2.6 total goals.
- The last 4 H2H meetings produced 21 goals (5.25 per game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Komarno's ability to score at home and Slovan's occasional defensive lapses make both teams scoring plausible.
- Komarno have scored in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
- Slovan have conceded in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slovan's strong first-half scoring record and the H2H pattern suggest a first-half goal is likely.
- Slovan average 1.3 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- Komarno average 0.7 first-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- In the last 4 H2H meetings, at least one first-half goal was scored in 3 of them.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, and H2H history shows high second-half scoring.
- Slovan average 1.2 second-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- Komarno average 0.8 second-half goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- The last 4 H2H meetings averaged 2.75 second-half goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slovan's defensive solidity and Komarno's occasional scoring struggles give a moderate chance of an away clean sheet.
- Slovan kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Komarno failed to score in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slovan kept a clean sheet in 1 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostKomarno not to scoreEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Komarno's poor home scoring record and Slovan's decent away defence make under 1.5 home goals likely.
- Komarno have scored only 1 goal in 3 home league matches this season.
- Komarno average 1.5 goals per match overall, but only 0.33 goals per home league match.
- Slovan have conceded 3 goals in 3 away league matches this season.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonKomarno under 1.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Slovan's high scoring rate and Komarno's leaky home defence make over 1.5 away goals likely.
- Slovan average 2.5 goals per match in their last 15 matches.
- Slovan have scored 6 goals in 3 away league matches this season.
- Komarno have conceded 5 goals in 3 home league matches this season.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonSlovan Bratislava over 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Slovan's ability to win without conceding is moderate, and Komarno's scoring inconsistency supports a low-probability win-to-nil.
- Slovan won to nil in 3 of their last 15 matches.
- Komarno failed to score in 2 of their last 5 league matches.
- Slovan kept a clean sheet in 1 of the last 4 H2H meetings.
BetBugs · Away Win to NillostYesEstimated chance30%