Liga Profesional ArgentinaFull time

Predictions graded

CA Sarmiento1Belgrano Cordoba1

HT 1–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 17:45 Predictions graded

Predictions4–833%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 26%–74%ShotsShots 9–17On targetOn target 4–7CornersCorners 3–7

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 10 Sep 2026, 05:32 · Europe/Bucharest

Belgrano's unbeaten head-to-head record and solid away form make them slight favourites, but the match is expected to be low-scoring.

The best value is on the first-half draw at 1.95 (+4 point edge), while the double chance (Draw or Belgrano) at 1.36 is overpriced and should be avoided.

Context

Sarmiento sit 11th in the Clausura Group B with 15 points from 8 matches.
Their home record shows five wins, one draw, and two losses, with nine goals scored and six conceded. This suggests they are more comfortable at home, where they have beaten Estudiantes L.P. 2-0 and Huracan 2-0 recently. Belgrano's away record is solid but not dominant, with three wins, three draws, and two losses, so Sarmiento's home advantage could be a factor.
- Sarmiento home record: 5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in 8 matches.
- Recent home wins: 2-0 vs Estudiantes L.P. (2026-08-23), 2-0 vs Huracan (2026-08-16).
Sarmiento defender U. Giménez started 1 of the last 5 fixtures with available lineups, totalling 173 minutes across 5 appearances.
Giménez finished the Estudiantes de Río Cuarto match with discomfort and is being assessed before this game. His availability is unresolved, so Sarmiento's defensive selection remains uncertain until a decision is made.
- Diario Democracia reported that Giménez finished the Estudiantes de Río Cuarto match with discomfort.
- The report said Sava would assess Giménez's physical condition while preparing for Belgrano.
- U. Giménez started 1 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 173 minutes across 5 appearances.
To watchSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 05:30 · Europe/BucharestDiario Democracia: Felipe Viola appointed for Sarmiento-Belgranowww.diariodemocracia.com · 9 Sep 2026
Belgrano are 5th in the Clausura Group B with 12 points from 8 matches.
Their away record includes three wins, three draws, and two losses, with six goals scored and eight conceded. They have kept clean sheets in away draws against Atletico Tucuman (0-0) and Barracas Central (0-0). Sarmiento's home attack averages just over one goal per game, so breaking down Belgrano's defense could be difficult.
- Belgrano away record: 3 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses in 8 matches.
- Away clean sheets: 0-0 vs Atletico Tucuman (2026-08-30), 0-0 vs Barracas Central (2026-04-20).
Sarmiento defender L. Suárez started all 5 recent fixtures with available lineups, totalling 419 minutes across 5 appearances.
Suárez also finished the Estudiantes de Río Cuarto match with discomfort and is being assessed. His potential absence would remove a regular starter from Sarmiento's back line, adding to the defensive uncertainty.
- Diario Democracia reported that Suárez finished the Estudiantes de Río Cuarto match with discomfort.
- The report said Sava would assess Suárez's physical condition while preparing for Belgrano.
- L. Suárez started 5 of the 5 recent team fixtures with available lineups, totalling 419 minutes across 5 appearances.
To watchSources checked 10 Sep 2026, 05:30 · Europe/BucharestDiario Democracia: Felipe Viola appointed for Sarmiento-Belgranowww.diariodemocracia.com · 9 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 4

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Belgrano Cordoba

2.33fair 2.38

BetBugs 42% · Market 43%

0.0ppshort

Belgrano's superior away record and dominant H2H give them a slight edge, but the odds are close to fair value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Belgrano's superior away form and dominant H2H record give them the edge, though Sarmiento's strong home form keeps the probability moderate.
- Belgrano Cordoba away record: 3W-3D-2L, 6 goals scored, 8 conceded in 8 away matches.
- CA Sarmiento home record: 5W-1D-2L, 9 goals scored, 6 conceded in 8 home matches.
- H2H last 5: Belgrano won 2, 3 draws, Sarmiento 0 wins; Belgrano outscored Sarmiento 8-1.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBelgrano CordobaEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Belgrano's unbeaten H2H record and solid away form make them unlikely to lose, while Sarmiento's home strength suggests a draw is possible.
- Sarmiento home record: 5W-1D-2L; Belgrano away record: 3W-3D-2L.
- H2H last 5: 3 draws, 2 Belgrano wins, 0 Sarmiento wins.
- Belgrano goals conceded per away game: 1.0; Sarmiento goals scored per home game: 1.125.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Belgrano CordobaEstimated chance68%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring and H2H often sees a level score at the break.
- Sarmiento leading at half time in 47% of matches, trailing in 27%.
- Belgrano leading at half time in 20% of matches, trailing in 27%.
- H2H last 5: 3 matches were level at half time.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Belgrano's slightly better second-half performance and H2H edge suggest they may edge the second period, but confidence is low.
- Belgrano second half goal difference: +0.6 per match (1.2 second half goals scored, 0.6 conceded).
- Sarmiento second half goal difference: +0.5 per match (1.9 second half goals scored, 1.4 conceded).
- H2H: Belgrano won second half in 2 of last 5 meetings, Sarmiento in 1.
BetBugs · Second Half WinnerwonBelgrano CordobaEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half time followed by a Belgrano win is plausible given Belgrano's stronger second halves and H2H dominance.
- Sarmiento home: 5W-1D-2L; Belgrano away: 3W-3D-2L.
- H2H: Belgrano won 2 of last 5, with 3 draws.
- Belgrano first half leading percentage: 20%; Sarmiento first half leading: 47%.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/Belgrano CordobaEstimated chance22%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low-scoring home/away splits and H2H history shows frequent low-scoring games, supporting under 2.5 goals.
- Sarmiento home matches average 1.875 total goals (9 scored, 6 conceded in 8 games).
- Belgrano away matches average 1.75 total goals (6 scored, 8 conceded in 8 games).
- H2H last 5: 3 matches ended 0-0, one 4-0, one 4-1; 3 of 5 under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate defensive records at home/away and H2H often features at least one side failing to score.
- Sarmiento home: 9 goals scored, 6 conceded in 8 games; clean sheets in 4 of 8 home games.
- Belgrano away: 6 goals scored, 8 conceded in 8 games; clean sheets in 3 of 8 away games.
- H2H last 5: 3 matches ended 0-0, indicating both teams failed to score in 60% of meetings.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance58%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages and H2H history of goalless first halves.
- Sarmiento first half goals per match: 0.6; first half goals conceded: 0.4.
- Belgrano first half goals per match: 0.3; first half goals conceded: 0.3.
- H2H last 5: 3 matches were 0-0 at half time.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams score more in the second half, and H2H matches typically see goals after the break.
- Sarmiento average total goals per match: 2.9; first half goals: 1.0, implying second half goals: 1.9.
- Belgrano average total goals per match: 1.8; first half goals: 0.6, implying second half goals: 1.2.
- H2H last 5: 4 of 5 matches had at least one second-half goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average around 8-10 total corners, making under 9.5 slightly more likely.
- Sarmiento average corners per match: 3.6; opponent corners: 6.9 (total 10.5).
- Belgrano average corners per match: 3.9; opponent corners: 4.5 (total 8.4).
- H2H last 5: corner data not available, but both teams have moderate corner counts.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostUnder 9.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Combined shots on target averages are near 8.5, with slight lean to under based on recent metrics.
- Sarmiento average shots on target per match: 3.9; opponent shots on target: 4.9 (total 8.8).
- Belgrano average shots on target per match: 4.6; opponent shots on target: 3.3 (total 7.9).
- H2H last 5: shot data not available, but both teams have moderate shot counts.
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/UnderlostUnder 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams average under 4.5 total cards per match, suggesting a low-card game.
- Sarmiento average yellow cards per match: 1.8; opponent yellow cards: 2.1 (total 3.9).
- Belgrano average yellow cards per match: 1.8; opponent yellow cards: 1.9 (total 3.7).
- H2H last 5: card data not available, but both teams have moderate card counts.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostUnder 4.5Estimated chance55%

Head-to-Head

0W · 3D · 2W

L4-0Belgrano CordobavSarmiento JuninMay 3, 2026LIG

D0-0Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano CordobaAug 4, 2024LIG

L4-1Belgrano CordobavSarmiento JuninFeb 20, 2024COP

D0-0Sarmiento JuninvBelgrano CordobaSep 25, 2023COP

D0-0Belgrano CordobavSarmiento JuninApr 3, 2023LIG

Belgrano Cordoba unbeaten in 5 meetingsCA Sarmiento: 3 clean sheetsBelgrano Cordoba: 4 clean sheets1.8 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	CA Sarmiento	16	6	1	9	13-20	19	WLWWW
5	Belgrano Cordoba Knockout Phase	16	7	5	4	17-13	26	DDLWW

7pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CA Sarmiento

W2-0Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSep 4LIG

L1-4Union Santa FeAug 28LIG

W2-0Estudiantes L.P.Aug 23LIG

W2-0HuracanAug 16LIG

W2-1Atletico TucumanAug 8LIG

W2-1Independ. RivadaviaAug 3LIG

L2-3BanfieldJul 28LIG

L2-3Argentinos JRSJul 23LIG

L0-2Boca JuniorsJul 17COP

L0-4Belgrano CordobaMay 3LIG

W1-0TigreApr 25LIG

L1-2Rosario CentralApr 19LIG

L1-2Gimnasia L.P.Apr 13LIG

W1-0Tristan SuarezApr 9COP

W2-1Barracas CentralApr 2LIG

Belgrano Cordoba

D1-1HuracanSep 4LIG

D0-0Atletico TucumanAug 30LIG

L1-2Defensa Y JusticiaAug 23LIG

L0-1Racing ClubAug 19COP

W2-0Independ. RivadaviaAug 15LIG

W2-0BanfieldAug 10LIG

D0-0TigreAug 6LIG

L0-1Argentinos JRSAug 1LIG

W2-1Rosario CentralJul 23LIG

W3-2River PlateMay 24LIG

W2-0Union Santa FeMay 12LIG

W1-0Talleres CordobaMay 9LIG

W4-0Sarmiento JuninMay 3LIG

L0-1Gimnasia L.P.Apr 26LIG

D0-0Barracas CentralApr 20LIG

Squad & Injuries

CA Sarmiento

32 available

Attackers9

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Belgrano Cordoba

36 available

Attackers6

Midfielders13

Defenders13

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw

Over 0.5

Belgrano Cordoba

Draw or Belgrano Cordoba

Under 2.5

No

Result2 of 5 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 3 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

CA Sarmiento

Belgrano Cordoba

Squad & Injuries

CA Sarmiento

Belgrano Cordoba