Blooming6Academia Balompie Boliviano1

HT 2–0Sun 13 Sept 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions8–0100%

Edges5–0100%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 12 Sep 2026, 05:11 · Europe/Bucharest

Blooming are strong at home and ABB poor away, but the odds already price in a home win and goals, leaving no value on those markets.

The only near-fair bet is both teams to score at 1.78, though it offers no edge; the best approach is to avoid the heavily skewed lines and wait for in-play opportunities.

Context

Blooming sit 10th with 23 points and have played nine home matches in the Primera División.
They have won four and drawn five at home, conceding only four goals. ABB have lost seven of nine away games and conceded 24 goals on the road. This contrast makes Blooming's home record a strong factor for this match.
- Blooming home record: 4 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses in 9 matches.
- Blooming have conceded only 4 goals at home.
- ABB away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 7 losses in 9 matches.
- ABB have conceded 24 goals away.
ABB are 12th with 20 points and have played nine away matches.
Their only away win came against a lower-ranked side, and they have conceded an average of 2.7 goals per away game. Blooming's solid home defense should make it difficult for ABB to score.
- ABB away record: 1 win, 1 draw, 7 losses.
- ABB have conceded 24 goals in 9 away matches.
- ABB's only away win was against Universitario de Vinto on 2026-09-04 (2-0).
The teams have met three times in the last two seasons.
Blooming won the most recent home meeting 6-0 on 2025-12-03. ABB won the reverse fixture 3-2 in April 2026, so the head-to-head is mixed, but the heavy home win suggests Blooming can dominate ABB at their own stadium.
- 2025-12-03: Blooming 6-0 ABB (home).
- 2026-04-25: ABB 3-2 Blooming (home).
- 2025-06-30: ABB 1-1 Blooming (draw).
Blooming goalkeeper Juan Camacho made his senior debut in Wednesday's 5-1 Copa Bolivia win over GV San José.
Local reporting says he could retain the place against ABB, but the league selection has not been confirmed. A goalkeeper change would directly affect Blooming's starting defensive unit, shot-stopping and organisation from the back.
- El Día reported on 11 September that Blooming's coach had not ruled out keeping Juan Camacho in goal against ABB.
- The same report said Camacho made his senior debut in Blooming's 5-1 Copa Bolivia win over GV San José.
ReportedSources checked 12 Sep 2026, 05:09 · Europe/BucharestEl Día — Blooming se juega un partido clave ante ABBwww.eldia.com.bo · 11 Sep 2026

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Blooming

1.25fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 80%

0.0ppshort

Blooming are unbeaten at home and ABB have lost seven of nine away, but the odds already price in a very high probability.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Blooming or Draw

1.08fair 1.18

BetBugs 85% · Market 92.6%

−7.6ppshort

Blooming's unbeaten home record and ABB's poor away form make a home win or draw highly likely, but the odds are extremely short.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.36fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 73.5%

0.0ppshort

ABB's away matches average 3.9 total goals and H2H meetings have often been high-scoring, but the odds imply a much higher probability than our estimate.

Both Teams To ScorewonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Yes

1.78fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 56.2%

0.0ppshort

Both teams have scored in most of their respective home/away matches, but the odds are roughly fair with no clear edge.

1 St Half Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 0.5

1.20fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 83.3%

0.0ppshort

Both teams tend to be involved in first-half goals, but the odds heavily favor over 0.5, leaving no value.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Blooming's unbeaten home record and ABB's poor away form, combined with Blooming's dominant home H2H win, support a home victory.
- Blooming home record: 4W 5D 0L, 14 goals for, 4 against in 9 home matches
- ABB away record: 1W 1D 7L, 11 goals for, 24 against in 9 away matches
- H2H last 3: Blooming won 6-0 at home, ABB won 3-2 at home, 1-1 draw at ABB
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonBloomingEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Blooming's unbeaten home record and ABB's poor away form make a home win or draw highly likely.
- Blooming home record: 4W 5D 0L in 9 home matches
- ABB away record: 1W 1D 7L in 9 away matches
- Blooming have not lost at home this season
BetBugs · Double ChancewonBlooming or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blooming's tendency to lead at half-time and ABB's tendency to trail support a home first-half lead.
- Blooming led at half-time in 40% of matches overall
- ABB trailed at half-time in 33% of matches overall
- H2H: Blooming led at half-time in 2 of 3 meetings
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonBloomingEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Blooming's strong home form and ABB's poor away form make a home win at both half-time and full-time possible.
- Blooming home record: 4W 5D 0L
- ABB away record: 1W 1D 7L
- H2H: Blooming won 6-0 at home
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonBlooming/BloomingEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
ABB's away matches have seen high total goals and H2H meetings have often been high-scoring, supporting over 2.5 goals.
- Blooming home matches average 2.0 total goals (14 for, 4 against in 9)
- ABB away matches average 3.9 total goals (11 for, 24 against in 9)
- H2H last 3: 6-0, 3-2, 1-1
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown ability to score in their respective home/away splits, and H2H supports both teams scoring.
- Blooming scored in 7 of 9 home matches
- ABB scored in 6 of 9 away matches
- H2H: both teams scored in 2 of last 3 meetings
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonYesEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to be involved in first-half goals, and H2H meetings have consistently had first-half scoring.
- Blooming first half goals: 0.7 per match overall, 0.8 at home
- ABB first half goals conceded: 0.6 per match overall, 0.8 away
- H2H: first half goals in all 3 meetings (1, 1, 1)
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
ABB's defensive weakness in the second half and high-scoring H2H second halves suggest potential for over 1.5 second-half goals.
- Blooming second half goals: 0.4 per match overall
- ABB second half goals conceded: 1.3 per match overall
- H2H second half goals: 5, 2, 0
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance50%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average corners are below 8.5, but match dynamics could push the total higher.
- Blooming average corners: 4.0 per match
- ABB average corners: 3.0 per match
- Combined average corners: 7.0 per match
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance45%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average shots on target is close to 8.5, making over 8.5 a near coin-flip.
- Blooming average shots on target: 3.9 per match
- ABB average shots on target: 4.2 per match
- Combined average shots on target: 8.1 per match
BetBugs · Shots on Target Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
The combined average yellow cards slightly exceed 4.5, suggesting a moderate chance of over 4.5 cards.
- Blooming average yellow cards: 2.6 per match
- ABB average yellow cards: 2.2 per match
- Combined average yellow cards: 4.8 per match
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 4.5Estimated chance50%