Draw
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high half-time draw rates (Cumbaya 47%, LDU Portoviejo 53%) and low first-half scoring, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
Liga Pro Serie BFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Cumbayá are unbeaten in six H2H meetings and have lost only once at home, but their draw-heavy record and LDU Portoviejo's poor away scoring point to a low-scoring stalemate.
The best value is Under 0.5 first-half goals at 2.40 (model edge +18.3 points), while the double chance and Under 2.5 goals are efficiently priced with no edge.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have high half-time draw rates (Cumbaya 47%, LDU Portoviejo 53%) and low first-half scoring, making a level first half the most likely outcome.
Market 41.7% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, suggesting a goalless first half is more likely than not.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 82%
Cumbaya are unbeaten in all six H2H meetings and have lost only once at home this season, but the odds imply an 82% chance, leaving no value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
Cumbaya has fulfilled all 6 of its under 2.5 goals predictions in recent matches. The average estimated probability was 63.3%, with an expected 3.8 fulfilled predictions, so the actual 6 fulfilled predictions exceeded expectation. All matches ended with 2 or fewer total goals, and the current prediction of 65% sits within the historical range of 60-70%.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cumbaya | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22-22 | 26 |
| 9 | LDU Portoviejo | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 17-22 | 27 |

