HNLFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value is Over 1.5 second-half goals at 2.50 (model 55% vs implied 40%).
Avoid the first-half over 0.5 at 1.29, as recent form suggests a goalless first half is more likely than the odds imply.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 40% · BetBugs 55%
Second halves have been productive for both teams, with combined second-half goal average of 2.0 and last H2H having 3 second-half goals.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 58% · Market 66.7%
Slaven have won 9 of 16 home H2H meetings and beat Gorica 1-0 in the last home clash, but the odds imply a 66.7% chance for the double chance, above our 58% estimate.
BetBugs 55% · Market 57.1%
Combined average goals per match is 3.7 and last H2H ended 2-2, but the edge is negative against the odds.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 30.8% vs our 32% estimate leaves no meaningful edge, and the draw price is fair at best.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Slaven Koprivnica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1-9 | 0 |
| 8 |  HNK Gorica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2-7 | 0 |