Draw or Charleroi
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
Lommel's poor home record and Charleroi's solid away form make a home win unlikely, supporting a double chance for the visitors.
Jupiler Pro LeagueFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The best value lies in Over 2.5 goals at 1.83, with a 60% estimated probability offering a clear edge over the market.
Avoid the first-half Over 0.5 goals bet at 1.30, as it's significantly overpriced relative to our 65% estimate. Charleroi are slight favorites, but the outright win market lacks value, making the double chance a safer but low-return option.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 74% · BetBugs 75%
Lommel's poor home record and Charleroi's solid away form make a home win unlikely, supporting a double chance for the visitors.
Market 54.6% · BetBugs 60%
Lommel's last 10 competitive matches averaged 3.1 total goals, and Charleroi's attack scores 1.6 per game against a leaky Lommel defense.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams consistently find the net and have defensive vulnerabilities, making it likely that each side scores.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 47% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lommel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1 |
| 3 | CharleroiPromotion - Europa League (Qualification) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3-1 | 3 |

