Draw
Market 38.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have extremely high draw rates and the H2H is dominated by draws, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
Primera CFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Back the draw at 2.60 (55% model probability, +17 point edge) and under 0.5 first-half goals at 2.05 (75% model probability, +26 point edge).
Both teams are draw specialists with extremely low scoring output, making a goalless first half and a stalemate the most likely outcomes.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Market 38.5% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have extremely high draw rates and the H2H is dominated by draws, making a stalemate the most likely outcome.
Market 56.2% · BetBugs 70%
Both teams rarely lead at halftime and their H2H first halves are usually level.
Market 75.2% · BetBugs 80%
Both teams are extremely low-scoring and their H2H meetings consistently produce few goals, strongly supporting under 2.5.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 52% leaves no cushion vs our 75% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | JJ Urquiza | 23 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 9-19 | 21 |
| 10 | El Porvenir | 23 | 4 | 14 | 5 | 17-21 | 26 |

