Over 1.5
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to be more productive in the second half, with Brann's attacking depth likely to create chances late, and the odds offer a slight edge.
EliteserienFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Brann's H2H dominance is real but already priced in—avoid the home win and double chance at current odds.
The only value lies in second-half goals over 1.5 at 2.00, though the edge is slim. Monitor Brann's European fatigue before kickoff.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 1
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams tend to be more productive in the second half, with Brann's attacking depth likely to create chances late, and the odds offer a slight edge.
Other edges · 7
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BrannBetBugs 55% · Market 65.4%
Brann's strong H2H dominance and better home form outweigh Ham-Kam's poor away record, making a home win the most likely outcome.
BetBugs 80% · Market 87.7%
Given Brann's historical dominance and Ham-Kam's away struggles, Brann avoiding defeat is highly likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 65% leaves no cushion vs our 55% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
Brann has fulfilled 3 of 6 recent win predictions. The average estimated probability was 55%, with an expected 3.3 fulfilled predictions, so actual fulfilment is slightly below expectation. All three fulfilled predictions came at home, where Brann has won 3 of 4, while both away predictions missed.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Brann | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 33-27 | 22 |
| 8 | Ham-Kam | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24-27 | 22 |

