Sao Jose SP
Market 42% · BetBugs 45%
Sao Jose SP's dominant H2H record and recent away win give them a narrow edge, but the market price leaves only a small cushion.
Copa PaulistaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
São José SP's unbeaten H2H record (4W, 1D) and the incentive to top Group 4 give them a narrow edge at 2.38, but the stronger value is Over 2.5 goals at 2.00 (55% model vs 50% implied).
Avoid the EC São Bernardo or Draw double chance at 1.55, which is overpriced by 10 points.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Sao Jose SPMarket 42% · BetBugs 45%
Sao Jose SP's dominant H2H record and recent away win give them a narrow edge, but the market price leaves only a small cushion.
Market 57.8% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams consistently find the net, and the H2H history shows frequent BTTS outcomes.
Market 50% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams have decent scoring rates and leaky defenses, making over 2.5 goals likely.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

