Draw or Tigre
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Aldosivi are winless in 15 league matches and Tigre have lost only 4 of 16, making a Tigre win or draw highly likely.
Liga Profesional ArgentinaFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Tigre have won the last three H2Hs without conceding, and Aldosivi are winless in 15 league matches.
The best value is Tigre to win at 2.60 (45% model vs 38.5% implied) and Tigre to keep a clean sheet at 2.50 (55% vs 40%). Low-scoring markets are likely but overpriced, so focus on the away side.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 4
Market 73.5% · BetBugs 75%
Aldosivi are winless in 15 league matches and Tigre have lost only 4 of 16, making a Tigre win or draw highly likely.
TigreMarket 38.5% · BetBugs 45%
Tigre's H2H dominance and Aldosivi's winless run give the away side a clear edge at a price that offers value.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 55%
Both teams frequently go into the break level, and recent H2Hs support a first-half draw.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 33.3% vs our estimate ~25% leaves no value; Aldosivi's winless run makes this a trap.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6-19 | 8 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18-15 | 20 |

