IK Brage or Draw
BetBugs 75% · Market 75%
Orebro's dreadful away record (1 win in 9) makes an away win unlikely, while Brage's home resilience (only 3 losses) supports a home-or-draw double chance.
SuperettanFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
Brage's 2026 H2H dominance and Örebro's dreadful away form make a home win or draw likely, but the double chance odds (1.33) offer no value.
Avoid first-half Brage (2.40) and first-half both teams to score (3.40)—both are massively overpriced relative to historical data. The best narrative is goals, but over 2.5 (1.62) is fairly priced; look to second-half markets for potential in-play edges.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Other edges · 4
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 75% · Market 75%
Orebro's dreadful away record (1 win in 9) makes an away win unlikely, while Brage's home resilience (only 3 losses) supports a home-or-draw double chance.
BetBugs 60% · Market 61.7%
Brage's home matches average 4.5 total goals and 6 of last 8 home games went over 2.5; H2H history is high-scoring, making over 2.5 likely despite Orebro's struggles.
BetBugs 55% · Market 64.5%
Brage's leaky home defense (1 clean sheet in 8) and Orebro's occasional away goals suggest both teams can score, though Orebro's low away scoring rate tempers confidence.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 50% leaves no cushion vs our 45% estimate; price already reflects the directional read.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | IK BrageRelegation Playoffs | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 30-33 | 20 |
| 15 | Orebro SKRelegation | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 15-28 | 15 |

