Liga Profesional ArgentinaFull time

Predictions graded

Talleres0Lanus3

HT 0–0Wed 12 Aug 2026, 00:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–550%

Edges3–350%

PossPossession 60%–40%ShotsShots 18–23On targetOn target 7–7CornersCorners 2–5

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 8 Aug 2026, 17:05 · Europe/Bucharest

Expect a low-scoring, tight match between Talleres and Lanús.

The best value lies in first-half under 0.5 goals (70% estimated probability, +23.5pts edge) and halftime draw (75%, +20pts edge). Cards over 4.5 at 11.00 offers a huge edge but higher risk. Full-time under 2.5 goals is the safest play but offers minimal value at 1.40.

Context

Lost 1-3 to Velez Sarsfield at home on 30 July.
- Lost 0-3 to Atletico Tucuman at home in the Copa Argentina on 20 May.
- Lost 0-1 to Belgrano Cordoba at home on 9 May.
- Beat Deportivo Riestra 2-0 at home on 19 April.
1-1 draw in February 2026, with Lanús scoring first.
- 1-0 Lanús win in August 2025.
- 0-1 Lanús win in Talleres in February 2025.
- Lanús also won 1-2 in Talleres in November 2024.
Talleres last five league results: W-L-L-L-D.
- Lanús last four league results: L-L-W-L.
- Talleres have scored only 3 goals in those five matches.
- Lanús have scored only 2 goals in their last four league matches.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 5

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Neither team is in strong form, and the last H2H was a draw; with similar overall strength, a stalemate is the most likely single outcome.
- Talleres home record: 4W-1D-2L; Lanus away record: 3W-2D-3L.
- Talleres recent form (last 5): W-L-L-L-D; Lanus recent form: L-L-L-W-D.
- Last H2H ended 1-1 in February 2026.
- Both teams are mid-table with similar points (Talleres 26, Lanus 24) and goal differences (+4 vs +3).
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Talleres' home resilience and Lanus' inconsistent away form make a home win or draw the safer combined outcome.
- Talleres have lost only 2 of 7 home matches this season.
- Lanus have won only 3 of 8 away matches, with 2 draws.
- Talleres are unbeaten in 5 of last 7 home matches across all competitions.
- Lanus have failed to win in 5 of last 8 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostTalleres or DrawEstimated chance70%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams rarely lead at the break, and H2H history is dominated by first-half draws, making a halftime stalemate very probable.
- Talleres led at half-time in only 5 of 15 recent matches; Lanus led in only 2 of 15.
- In last 5 H2H, half-time results: D, D, D, L, D — 4 draws.
- Talleres first-half goal difference: +0.4; Lanus: -0.4.
- Both teams average under 0.5 first-half goals scored.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance75%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While a full draw is plausible, the specific HT/FT double is less common; still, the pattern of slow starts and tight matches supports this low-probability outcome.
- Talleres have drawn at half-time and full-time in 3 of last 15 matches.
- Lanus have drawn at half-time and full-time in 2 of last 15 matches.
- Last H2H ended 1-1 with a 0-0 half-time.
- Both teams have a high draw rate in recent matches (Talleres 33%, Lanus 38%).
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublelostDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%

Goals3 of 4 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistently low-scoring profiles, and the H2H history is dominated by tight, low-goal encounters, making Under 2.5 highly probable.
- Talleres average 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded over last 15 matches, with only 27% of those matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Lanus average 0.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded over last 15 matches, with only 20% of those matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
- Last 5 H2H meetings: 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 1-2, 2-1 — all under 2.5 goals except one (1-2).
- Talleres home record this season: 9 goals scored and 5 conceded in 7 matches (2.0 avg total goals).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both sides struggle to score consistently, and the H2H trend shows frequent shutouts, supporting at least one team failing to score.
- Talleres failed to score in 5 of last 15 matches; Lanus failed to score in 8 of last 15.
- In last 5 H2H, both teams scored in only 2 matches.
- Lanus have scored only 0.5 goals per game on average recently, with 0.1 first-half goals.
- Talleres have kept 5 clean sheets in last 15; Lanus have kept 4 clean sheets in last 15.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams are extremely slow starters, with very low first-half scoring rates, making a goalless first half highly likely.
- Talleres average 0.5 first-half goals scored and 0.1 conceded over last 15 matches.
- Lanus average 0.1 first-half goals scored and 0.5 conceded over last 15 matches.
- In last 5 H2H, first-half goals: 0, 0, 0, 1, 1 — 3 of 5 had 0 first-half goals.
- Talleres led at half-time in only 33% of recent matches; Lanus led in only 13%.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
While first halves are quiet, both teams tend to concede more after the break, and H2H history shows second-half goals in most meetings.
- Talleres score 0.4 second-half goals on average; Lanus concede 0.7 second-half goals on average.
- In last 5 H2H, second-half goals occurred in 4 of 5 matches.
- Lanus have conceded in the second half in 60% of recent matches.
- Talleres have scored in the second half in 53% of recent matches.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance65%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate moderate corner counts, and recent H2H meetings have often stayed under 10 corners, suggesting a low-corner affair.
- Talleres average 4.6 corners per match; Lanus average 5.1 corners per match over last 15.
- Combined average corners in Talleres matches: 9.2; in Lanus matches: 9.8.
- In last 5 H2H, total corners: 5, 13, 17, 9, 7 — 3 of 5 under 9.5.
- Talleres home matches average 8.4 total corners; Lanus away matches average 9.1 total corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistent card counts near the line, and H2H history shows matches regularly hitting over 4.5 cards.
- Talleres average 2.4 yellow cards per match; Lanus average 2.5 yellow cards per match over last 15.
- Combined average cards in Talleres matches: 4.8; in Lanus matches: 5.0.
- In last 5 H2H, total cards: 5, 4, 6, 5, 4 — all 4.5 or higher.
- Referee data unavailable, but league average is around 5 cards per match.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 4.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Implied 63.7% leaves only a 1.3pt edge vs our 65% estimate; the margin is too thin for a MEDIUM confidence play.

Head-to-Head

2W · 1D · 2W

D1-1LanusvTalleres CordobaFeb 9, 2026LIG

L1-0LanusvTalleres CordobaAug 9, 2025LIG

W0-1Talleres CordobavLanusFeb 10, 2025LIG

W1-2Talleres CordobavLanusNov 7, 2024LIG

L2-1LanusvTalleres CordobaJun 24, 2023LIG

2 goals/game avg

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
4	Talleres Knockout Phase	16	7	5	4	17-13	26	WLLLD
6	Lanus Knockout Phase	16	6	6	4	18-15	24	LLWLD

2pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Talleres

W4-0PlatenseAug 3LIG

L1-3Velez SarsfieldJul 30LIG

L0-1Newells Old BoysJul 25LIG

L0-3Atletico TucumanMay 20COP

L0-1Belgrano CordobaMay 9LIG

D1-1Union Santa FeMay 2LIG

D0-0Estudiantes L.P.Apr 25LIG

W2-0Deportivo RiestraApr 19LIG

W2-1Defensa Y JusticiaApr 13LIG

L0-1Boca JuniorsApr 2LIG

W2-1IndependienteMar 21LIG

D0-0Belgrano CordobaMar 15LIG

W2-0Instituto CordobaMar 12LIG

D0-0San LorenzoMar 1LIG

L0-2Central Cordoba de SantiagoFeb 24LIG

Lanus

L1-2Union Santa FeAug 6LIG

L0-1Instituto CordobaAug 3LIG

L0-4CiencianoJul 30CON

W1-0San LorenzoJul 26LIG

W2-0CiencianoJul 23CON

L1-2Instituto CordobaMay 30COP

W1-0MirassolMay 26CON

L0-2LDU de QuitoMay 21CON

L0-2Argentinos JRSMay 10LIG

L0-4Always ReadyMay 6CON

D0-0Deportivo RiestraMay 2LIG

W1-0LDU de QuitoApr 28CON

D0-0Central Cordoba de SantiagoApr 24LIG

L0-1Gimnasia M.Apr 21LIG

W1-0Always ReadyApr 16CON

Squad & Injuries

Talleres

33 available

Attackers9

Midfielders10

Defenders10

Goalkeeper4

Lanus

28 available

Attackers6

Midfielders11

Defenders9

Goalkeeper2

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Draw

Under 9.5

Over 4.5

Talleres or Draw

Result1 of 4 landed

Goals3 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 4.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Talleres

Lanus

Squad & Injuries

Talleres

Lanus