Quilmes AC11 – 1Club Almagro1

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Quilmes' high home draw rate and Almagro's inconsistent away form, combined with a balanced H2H that includes draws, make a stalemate the most probable single outcome.

• Quilmes home record: 5W-3D-2L, 50% draws.
• Almagro away record: 2W-3D-6L, 27% draws.
• H2H last 5: 2 draws in 5 meetings.
• Quilmes last 5 form: 1W-1D-3L; Almagro last 5: 3W-1D-1L.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Quilmes' strong home resilience and Almagro's poor away record make a home win or draw highly probable, covering the majority of likely outcomes.

• Quilmes home unbeaten rate: 80% (8 of 10 home matches without defeat).
• Almagro away win rate: only 18% (2 wins in 11 away matches).
• H2H at Quilmes: Quilmes lost only 1 of last 3 home H2H (1D, 1L, 1W).

BetBugs · Double ChancewonQuilmes AC or DrawEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

High frequency of first-half draws for both teams in their respective home/away contexts, supported by H2H pattern, indicates a drawn first half is very likely.

• Quilmes home half-time results: 7 draws, 2 wins, 1 loss in last 10 home matches.
• Almagro away half-time results: 6 draws, 2 wins, 3 losses in 11 away matches.
• H2H last 5: 3 draws at half-time.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

While a draw at both intervals is not the most common outcome, the high frequency of first-half draws for both teams and the overall draw propensity in this fixture make it a plausible low-probability selection.

• Quilmes home half-time draws: 70%; full-time draws: 30%.
• Almagro away half-time draws: 55%; full-time draws: 27%.
• H2H last 5: 1 match was draw at half-time and full-time.

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Strong H2H low-scoring pattern combined with Quilmes' solid home defense (0.4 goals conceded per home game) and Almagro's poor away attack (0.64 goals per away game) makes under 2.5 goals highly likely.

• Quilmes home matches average 1.4 total goals (10 goals for, 4 against in 10 games).
• Almagro away matches average 2.18 total goals (7 for, 17 against in 11 games).
• Last 5 H2H meetings: 4 of 5 had under 2.5 goals (1-0, 2-2, 1-0, 1-1, 1-0).
• Quilmes last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had under 2.5 goals.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have extremely low first-half scoring rates, especially in their respective home/away splits, making a goalless first half the most likely scenario.

• Quilmes first-half goals at home: 0.3 per game average; 7 of 10 home matches had 0 first-half goals.
• Almagro first-half goals away: 0.27 per game; 8 of 11 away matches had 0 first-half goals.
• H2H last 5: 3 of 5 had 0-0 at half-time.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to concede or score more after the break, and H2H history shows goals typically arrive in the second half, making over 0.5 second-half goals a strong pick.

• Quilmes home second-half goals: 70% of home matches had at least one second-half goal.
• Almagro away second-half goals: 73% of away matches had at least one second-half goal.
• H2H last 5: 4 of 5 had a second-half goal.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

In the absence of specific corner data, the expected low-scoring nature of the match and league average trends suggest a modest corner count, leaning under the typical line.

• Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
• Primera Nacional average corners per game is approximately 8.5.
• Low-scoring matches often correlate with fewer corners.