Under 2.5
Market 50% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams struggle to score consistently, especially Kristiansund away (0.57 goals per game), and the high-stakes relegation battle often leads to cautious, low-scoring affairs.
EliteserienFull timeFeatured
Predictions gradedPre-match view
A relegation scrap between two goal-shy teams points to a low-scoring grind.
The best value lies in under 2.5 goals (edge +8pts) and under 9.5 corners (edge +6pts), while KFUM's short match-winner odds are a trap given their off-field chaos and inconsistent home form.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 2
Market 50% · BetBugs 58%
Both teams struggle to score consistently, especially Kristiansund away (0.57 goals per game), and the high-stakes relegation battle often leads to cautious, low-scoring affairs.
Market 54.1% · BetBugs 60%
Both teams average around 4 corners per game, and their combined match averages sit well below 9.5, making the under a solid pick.
Other edges · 2
The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.
BetBugs 72% · Market 85%
Kristiansund's dreadful away record (1W-1D-5L) and KFUM's unbeaten H2H in 2025 make KFUM very likely to avoid defeat, but the odds are too short to offer value.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.
Implied 61% vs our 42% estimate; the price overrates KFUM's chances given their inconsistent home form and off-field distractions.
KFUM Oslo has seen the Over 3.5 cards prediction fulfilled in 2 of 4 recent matches. The two misses occurred at home against Bodo/Glimt and Rosenborg, while the two hits were split between home and away. The current estimated probability of 55% sits within the historical range of 55–60%, but the actual fulfilment rate of 50% is slightly below the expected 2.3 fulfilled predictions.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | KFUM OsloEliteserien (Relegation) | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15-25 | 12 |
| 15 | KristiansundRelegation - OBOS-ligaen | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12-23 | 12 |

