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Predictions graded

Charleston Battery5Brooklyn FC0

HT 2–0Sat 1 Aug 2026, 23:30 Predictions graded

Predictions8–189%

Edges6–186%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 30 Jul 2026, 08:00 · Europe/Bucharest

Charleston's perfect home record is priced too short for a straight win bet, but value exists in goals markets.

Back over 1.5 first-half goals at 2.05, as both teams tend to start fast, and consider both teams to score at 1.65 given Brooklyn's consistent away scoring and Charleston's occasional defensive gaps. Avoid the home win at 1.38 due to Brooklyn's counter-attacking threat and their 3-0 win in the only previous meeting.

Context

Brooklyn are eight points adrift of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.
- With 14 games remaining, they cannot afford many more dropped points.
- Conference wins are the first tiebreaker, adding weight to this head-to-head.
Brooklyn scored in the 9th, 32nd, and 61st minutes while keeping a clean sheet.
- Charleston dominated possession but were undone by clinical counter-attacks.
- Both coaches acknowledged Brooklyn's transition execution as the key factor.
Klein made 16 appearances for Charleston in 2025.
- He joined Brooklyn on a permanent deal on May 15, 2026.
- His familiarity with Charleston's tactics may aid Brooklyn's preparation.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 2

Other edges · 5

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerwonUncertainty band: Slight lean

Charleston Battery

1.39fair 1.82

BetBugs 55% · Market 72%

0.0ppshort

Charleston's perfect home record (6W-2D-0L) and Brooklyn's poor away form (1W-3D-4L) give the hosts a clear edge, but the odds are too short to offer value.

Double ChancewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Charleston Battery or Draw

1.14fair 1.25

BetBugs 80% · Market 88%

−8.0ppshort

Charleston are unbeaten at home this season, making a home win or draw highly likely, but the odds are too short to offer value.

1 St Half ResultwonUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Charleston Battery

1.79fair 2.00

BetBugs 50% · Market 56%

0.0ppshort

Charleston's strong home starts and Brooklyn's vulnerability early in away matches give the hosts a slight edge to lead at the break, but the odds are fair.

Goals Over/UnderwonUncertainty band: Lean

Over 2.5

1.45fair 1.67

BetBugs 60% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Charleston's home matches average 3.6 total goals and Brooklyn's away matches average 3.8, with 4 of Charleston's last 5 overall going over 2.5.

Total Goals HomewonUncertainty band: Strong lean

Over 1.5

1.38fair 1.43

BetBugs 70% · Market 72.5%

−2.0ppshort

Charleston scored 2+ goals in 6 of 8 home matches, averaging 2.75 per home game, against a Brooklyn side conceding 2.4 per away game.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Charleston Battery's perfect home record and strong goal difference at home, combined with Brooklyn's poor away form, give the home side a clear edge despite the H2H loss.
- Charleston Battery home record: 6W-2D-0L, 22 goals scored, 7 conceded in 8 matches this season.
- Charleston Battery overall form: 8W-3D-6L, 32 goals scored in 17 matches, averaging 2.1 goals per game in last 15.
- Brooklyn FC away record: 1W-3D-4L, 11 goals scored, 19 conceded in 8 away matches.
- Brooklyn FC overall form: 3W-4D-9L, 17 goals scored, 27 conceded in 16 matches.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonCharleston BatteryEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Charleston Battery have not lost at home this season, while Brooklyn have struggled on the road, making a home win or draw highly likely.
- Charleston Battery home record: 6W-2D-0L, unbeaten at home this season.
- Brooklyn FC away record: 1W-3D-4L, only one away win in 8 attempts.
- Charleston Battery last 5 home matches: 4W-1D-0L, scoring 16 goals.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCharleston Battery or DrawEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Charleston's strong home starts and Brooklyn's vulnerability early in away matches give the hosts a slight edge to lead at the break.
- Charleston Battery led at halftime in 40% of last 15 matches, trailing only 13%.
- Brooklyn FC led at halftime in 33% of last 15 matches, trailing 33%.
- Charleston Battery home first-half record: scored in 7 of 8 home matches, conceded in 3.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonCharleston BatteryEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While Charleston are strong at home, the HT/FT double requires them to lead at halftime and hold on, which has occurred in only a minority of their recent matches, making it a lower-probability outcome.
- Charleston Battery have led at halftime and won in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Brooklyn FC have trailed at halftime and lost in 4 of their last 15 matches.
- Charleston Battery home record: 6 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses.
BetBugs · Ht Ft DoublewonCharleston Battery / Charleston BatteryEstimated chance35%

Goals4 of 5 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams' matches tend to be high-scoring, especially Charleston at home and Brooklyn away, suggesting a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals.
- Charleston Battery home matches average 3.6 total goals (22 scored, 7 conceded in 8 games).
- Brooklyn FC away matches average 3.8 total goals (11 scored, 19 conceded in 8 games).
- Charleston Battery last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
- Brooklyn FC last 5 matches: 3 of 5 had over 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonOver 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability in their respective home/away splits, and Brooklyn's leaky away defense makes it likely both will find the net.
- Charleston Battery have scored in 7 of 8 home matches this season.
- Brooklyn FC have scored in 6 of 8 away matches this season.
- Charleston Battery have conceded in 5 of 8 home matches.
- Brooklyn FC have conceded in all 8 away matches this season.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Charleston's strong home scoring record and Brooklyn's poor away defense suggest the hosts are likely to score at least twice.
- Charleston Battery have scored 2+ goals in 6 of 8 home matches this season.
- Charleston Battery average 2.75 goals per home match.
- Brooklyn FC concede an average of 2.4 goals per away match.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotalwonCharleston Battery over 1.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start matches with attacking intent, and recent form shows a high frequency of first-half goals, making over 1.5 in the first half a reasonable expectation.
- Charleston Battery average 1.1 first-half goals in last 15 matches, with 40% leading at halftime.
- Brooklyn FC average 0.9 first-half goals in last 15 matches, with 33% leading at halftime.
- Charleston Battery last 5 matches: 4 of 5 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
- Brooklyn FC last 5 matches: 3 of 5 had over 1.5 first-half goals.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combined second-half scoring averages of both teams hover around the 1.5 threshold, and with Charleston's attacking strength at home, over 1.5 second-half goals is a plausible outcome.
- Charleston Battery average 1.0 second-half goals in last 15 matches (2.1 total - 1.1 first half).
- Brooklyn FC average 0.6 second-half goals in last 15 matches (1.5 total - 0.9 first half).
- Combined second-half average: 1.6 goals per match.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 1.5Estimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner data, we rely on league averages and the expectation that Charleston's home dominance could lead to an above-average corner count, but confidence is low due to missing data.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- USL Championship average corners per match is approximately 9.5.
- Charleston Battery's high possession in H2H (70%) suggests they may win more corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Odds of 1.38 imply a 72% chance, far above our 55% estimate; the price is too short to offer value.

Prediction history

Charleston Battery has been inconsistent when projected to win

Charleston Battery has fulfilled 3 of 7 win predictions. The missed predictions include 3 draws and 1 loss, with no wins when the prediction failed. At home, they have fulfilled 2 of 4 predictions, while away they have fulfilled 1 of 3.

Recent evidence for Charleston Battery7 matches

Date / competitionMatch resultPredictedActualResult

19 Jul·USL Championship