Maccabi Tel Aviv11 – 0Sheriff Tiraspol0

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Maccabi Tel Aviv's dominant 5-0 away win in the first leg demonstrates a clear quality gap, and their strong recent form (4 wins in last 5) supports another victory, even with a rotated squad.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv won the only H2H 5-0 away on 23 July 2026.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5 matches: 4 wins, 1 loss, scoring 2.2 goals per game.
• Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, but the loss was a 0-5 home defeat to Maccabi.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's overall form (last 15): 2.1 goals scored, 1.1 conceded per game.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonMaccabi Tel AvivEstimated chance65%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

If the first half is tight, Maccabi Tel Aviv's superior fitness and depth could see them pull away in the second half, but the low urgency makes this a speculative outcome.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv has come from behind or drawn at half-time to win in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Sheriff Tiraspol has lost the second half in 2 of their last 5 matches after drawing at half-time.
• The first leg saw Maccabi lead at half-time and full-time, but the return leg dynamics differ.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's second-half performance is strong: they scored 60% of their goals after half-time in the last 15 matches.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / Maccabi Tel AvivEstimated chance35%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

With a 5-0 aggregate lead, Maccabi Tel Aviv will likely manage the game without pushing for many goals, and Sheriff Tiraspol's attack has been inconsistent, making a low-scoring affair probable.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5 matches averaged 2.6 total goals, but 3 of those 5 had under 2.5 goals.
• Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5 matches averaged 2.2 total goals, with 3 of 5 under 2.5.
• The first leg ended 5-0, but the return leg context (5-0 aggregate lead) suggests a controlled, low-tempo game.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's home (neutral venue) matches in the last 15: 7 of 8 had under 2.5 goals (excluding the 5-0 H2H).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Maccabi Tel Aviv's defense has been solid recently, and Sheriff Tiraspol struggled to create chances in the first leg; with the tie effectively over, Maccabi can focus on keeping a clean sheet.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv kept a clean sheet in the first leg (5-0).
• Sheriff Tiraspol failed to score in 2 of their last 5 matches.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5 matches: 2 clean sheets, conceding only 0.8 goals per game.
• Sheriff Tiraspol's away form (last 5): scored in 3 of 5, but against weaker domestic opponents.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams tend to start slowly, with low-scoring first halves in recent matches; the aggregate situation further encourages a cautious opening period.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5 matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5 matches: 4 had under 1.5 first-half goals.
• The first leg had 2 first-half goals, but that was an outlier in Maccabi's recent first halves.
• Maccabi Tel Aviv's first-half goals average in last 15: 1.1 scored, 0.6 conceded.

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

The low intensity of the return leg should result in fewer cards, as both teams avoid unnecessary bookings, though Sheriff's frustration could lead to a couple of yellows.

• Maccabi Tel Aviv's last 5 matches with card data: average 2.8 yellow cards per game, with 4 of 5 under 3.5 total cards.
• Sheriff Tiraspol's last 5 matches with card data: average 2.7 yellow cards per game, with 3 of 5 under 3.5 total cards.
• The first leg had 6 yellow cards (1 Maccabi, 5 Sheriff), but that was a high-stakes encounter.
• With the tie effectively decided, players are less likely to receive cards for aggressive challenges.