USL ChampionshipFull time

Predictions graded

Brooklyn FC0San Antonio FC1

HT 0–1Sat 25 Jul 2026, 23:00 Predictions graded

Predictions1–517%

Edges1–325%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 23 Jul 2026, 07:29 · Europe/Bucharest

Brooklyn FC’s reinforced squad and San Antonio’s first East Coast trip after a home loss and Patiño red card tilt the match toward the home side, but the clearest betting edge is both teams to score (Yes) at 1.78, offering a small value gap.

Avoid the overpriced first-half over 0.5 goals and the tight over 2.5 goals line, while the home win is fairly priced.

Context

Patiño received a straight red card at 90+3 in the 2-1 home loss to Las Vegas Lights on July 18.
- San Antonio's official match report confirms the dismissal, and no separate suspension notice has been located, making him likely unavailable.
- San Antonio has only two wins in eight away matches this season, and losing a forward reduces their ability to turn draws into wins.
Brooklyn's official July 22 preview confirms McLaughlin, Nishikawa, and Okiyoshi are back in the starting XI after recent absences.
- Stojanovic returns after serving a red-card suspension, adding a goal threat up front.
- Brooklyn's last home league match was a 3-0 win over Charleston Battery, and the returning players strengthen both defense and attack.
Brooklyn's preview notes this is San Antonio's first East Coast trip of the 2026 campaign.
- The match is at Maimonides Park, a compact, boardwalk-side venue in Coney Island, which differs from typical USL stadiums.
- San Antonio's away record is draw-heavy (2W-4D-2L), and long travel can disrupt rhythm, especially after a home defeat.
Llamosa said SAFC's issue was going ahead and then giving the ball away too easily, calling the dropped home points 'a concern.'
- Defender Akeem O'Connor-Ward described the Brooklyn trip as a 'character-building match,' suggesting the team is aware of the need to respond.
- San Antonio's last five away league matches include three draws, often featuring low-scoring first halves.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 1

Other edges · 3

The published chance does not exceed the market's implied chance.

Match WinnerlostUncertainty band: Near coin-flip

Brooklyn FC

2.38fair 2.50

BetBugs 40% · Market 42%

0.0ppshort

Brooklyn's reinforced squad with key players returning from suspension and San Antonio missing forward Patiño, combined with San Antonio's first cross-country trip, tilts the match in Brooklyn's favor despite their inconsistent home form.

Double ChancelostUncertainty band: Strong lean

Brooklyn FC or Draw

1.45fair 1.54

BetBugs 65% · Market 69%

0.0ppshort

Brooklyn's home form is patchy but they have shown they can compete, especially with key players returning, while San Antonio's away form is draw-heavy, making a home win or draw the most likely combined outcome.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result0 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Brooklyn's reinforced squad and home advantage against a San Antonio side missing a key attacker and traveling cross-country for the first time this season tilts the match in Brooklyn's favor, though San Antonio's higher table position keeps it competitive.
- Brooklyn FC home record: 2W-1D-4L, but recent home form includes a 3-0 win vs Charleston Battery and a 5-1 cup win vs Portland Hearts of Pine.
- San Antonio FC away record: 2W-4D-2L, with only 2 wins in 8 away matches, conceding 12 goals.
- Brooklyn FC returns key players: defenders McLaughlin, Nishikawa, midfielder Okiyoshi, and forward Stojanovic back from suspension (confirmed Jul 22 preview).
- San Antonio FC missing forward Santiago Patiño due to red card in last league match (Jul 18), impacting attacking depth.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostBrooklyn FCEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Brooklyn's home form is patchy but they have shown they can compete, especially with key players returning, while San Antonio's away form is draw-heavy, making a home win or draw the most likely combined outcome.
- Brooklyn FC home matches: 2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses; 3 of 7 home games avoided defeat.
- San Antonio FC away matches: 2 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses; 6 of 8 away games avoided defeat, but only 2 wins.
- Brooklyn FC's last 5 home matches (all comps): W-D-L-W-L, showing inconsistency but capability to get results.
- San Antonio FC's last 5 away matches (all comps): D-W-L-D-D, with only 1 win in last 5 away.
BetBugs · Double ChancelostBrooklyn FC or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
San Antonio has a slightly better first-half record overall, but Brooklyn's home advantage and returning players could give them an early edge, though confidence is low due to inconsistent first-half performances.
- Brooklyn FC leading at half-time in 33% of last 15 matches, trailing in 27%.
- San Antonio FC leading at half-time in 40% of last 15 matches, trailing in 20%.
- Brooklyn FC home: led at half-time in 2 of 7 home matches (29%).
- San Antonio FC away: led at half-time in 3 of 8 away matches (38%).
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostBrooklyn FCEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Limited second-half specific data, but Brooklyn's home matches often see them push for results late, and San Antonio's away draws suggest they may fade, giving Brooklyn a slight edge in the second half.
- Brooklyn FC: second half goal difference in last 15 matches is -2 (scored 9, conceded 11 in second halves, estimated from full match data).
- San Antonio FC: second half goal difference in last 15 matches is -1 (scored 10, conceded 11 in second halves, estimated).
- Brooklyn FC home: second half record shows 2 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses in full matches, but second-half specific data unavailable.
- San Antonio FC away: second half record shows 2 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses in full matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableBrooklyn FCEstimated chance35%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at half-time is common for both teams, and Brooklyn has shown ability to win from a drawn first half at home, but the low frequency of such outcomes makes this a low-probability prediction.
- Brooklyn FC: drawn at half-time in 40% of last 15 matches (6 of 15), and won 3 of those 6 matches.
- San Antonio FC: drawn at half-time in 40% of last 15 matches (6 of 15), and won 2 of those 6 matches.
- Brooklyn FC home: drawn at half-time in 3 of 7 home matches, winning 1 of those.
- San Antonio FC away: drawn at half-time in 3 of 8 away matches, winning 1 of those.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Brooklyn FCEstimated chance20%

Goals1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring and conceding rates, and San Antonio's away matches average nearly 3 total goals, suggesting a decent chance for over 2.5 goals, especially with Brooklyn's attacking reinforcements.
- Brooklyn FC's last 15 matches: 1.5 goals scored per game, 1.6 conceded; 8 of 15 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- San Antonio FC's last 15 matches: 1.4 goals scored per game, 1.3 conceded; 7 of 15 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Brooklyn FC home matches: 6 goals scored, 7 conceded in 7 games (avg 1.86 total goals per home game).
- San Antonio FC away matches: 10 goals scored, 12 conceded in 8 games (avg 2.75 total goals per away game).
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostOver 2.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams consistently score and concede, with high rates of both teams scoring in their respective home and away splits, making it likely that each side finds the net.
- Brooklyn FC: scored in 11 of last 15 matches, conceded in 12 of last 15.
- San Antonio FC: scored in 11 of last 15 matches, conceded in 10 of last 15.
- Brooklyn FC home: scored in 5 of 7 home matches, conceded in 6 of 7.
- San Antonio FC away: scored in 7 of 8 away matches, conceded in 7 of 8.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostYesEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to score in the first half, with Brooklyn particularly strong at home, suggesting at least one first-half goal is probable.
- Brooklyn FC: first half goals in 10 of last 15 matches, averaging 0.9 first half goals per game.
- San Antonio FC: first half goals in 9 of last 15 matches, averaging 0.7 first half goals per game.
- Brooklyn FC home: first half goals in 5 of 7 home matches.
- San Antonio FC away: first half goals in 6 of 8 away matches.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonOver 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance65%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Without specific corner data, the league average and tactical tendencies suggest a moderate chance of over 8.5 corners, but confidence is low due to lack of direct evidence.
- Corner data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- USL Championship average corners per game is approximately 9.5 (league-wide estimate).
- Brooklyn FC's playing style under LeBlanc emphasizes width and crossing, potentially generating corners.
- San Antonio FC's away matches may see them absorb pressure, leading to defensive clearances and corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 8.5Estimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
In the absence of specific card data, the league average and the competitive nature of the match suggest a moderate chance of over 3.5 cards, but confidence is low.
- Card data unavailable for both teams in recent matches.
- USL Championship average cards per game is approximately 4.0 (league-wide estimate).
- Brooklyn FC's physical style and San Antonio's need to disrupt play could lead to multiple cards.
- San Antonio's Patiño red card in last match indicates disciplinary issues.
BetBugs · Cards Over/Undernot gradableOver 3.5Estimated chance50%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 6 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

USL Championship 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
11	Brooklyn FC	15	3	4	8	17-26	13	DWLDD
2	San Antonio FC Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)	16	6	7	3	21-19	25	LDWLD

12pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Brooklyn FC

D2-2Sporting JAXJul 18USL

W2-0Pittsburgh RiverhoundsJul 4USL

L0-2Tampa Bay RowdiesJun 20USL

D2-2Louisville CityJun 14USL

W5-1Portland Hearts of PineJun 7USL

D2-2Sporting JAXMay 31USL

L1-4Rhode IslandMay 23USL

L0-2Hartford AthleticMay 16USL

L0-1Loudoun UnitedMay 9USL

L2-3Miami FCMay 2USL

W3-0NY CosmosApr 25USL

D1-1Sacramento RepublicApr 21USL

W3-0Charleston BatteryApr 11USL

L0-1Louisville CityMar 28USL

L0-3LexingtonMar 25USL

San Antonio FC

L1-2Las Vegas LightsJul 19USL

W2-0Chattanooga Red WolvesJul 12USL

D0-0Monterey BayJul 5USL

W2-1Colorado SpringsJun 25USL

L0-2LexingtonJun 13USL

W2-1FC TulsaJun 7USL

D4-4Sporting JAXMay 27USL

W2-1Sacramento RepublicMay 24USL

W1-0One KnoxvilleMay 16USL

D1-1Phoenix RisingMay 10USL

D3-3Colorado SpringsMay 3USL

W3-2El Paso LocomotiveApr 19USL

D0-0Miami FCApr 12USL

L0-2Orange County SCApr 9USL

D0-0Monterey BayApr 5USL

Squad & Injuries

Brooklyn FC

0 available

Attackers0

Midfielders0

Defenders0

Goalkeeper0

San Antonio FC

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Yes

Brooklyn FC

Brooklyn FC or Draw

Over 0.5

Result0 of 3 landed

Goals1 of 3 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

League Table

Recent Form

Brooklyn FC

San Antonio FC

Squad & Injuries

Brooklyn FC

San Antonio FC