Lillestrom11 – 2Viking Stavanger2

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Viking's strong recent H2H dominance at Åråsen and their superior league position and away form give them a clear edge, though Lillestrom's home threat prevents higher confidence.

• Viking have won their last 3 league visits to Lillestrom (1-4, 1-3, 0-1).
• Viking are 2nd with 27 points from 11 matches, Lillestrom 4th with 22 from 12; Viking go top with a win.
• Viking's away record this season: 4 wins, 2 losses in 6, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
• Lillestrom's home record: 3 wins, 2 losses in 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6.

BetBugs · Match WinnerwonViking StavangerEstimated chance45%

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced

The read

Viking's unbeaten H2H run and significantly better overall season performance make a Viking win or draw highly likely.

• Viking have not lost any of their last 5 H2H meetings with Lillestrom (4 wins, 1 draw).
• Lillestrom have lost 2 of their last 5 home matches, while Viking have lost only 2 of 11 league matches this season.
• Viking's goal difference is +18, Lillestrom's is +8.

BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or Viking StavangerEstimated chance70%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Viking's dominant first-half performance this season gives them a clear edge to lead at the break, though Lillestrom's home resilience could force a draw.

• Viking led at half-time in 73% of matches this season; Lillestrom led in 33%.
• Viking have scored first-half goals in 9 of their last 10 league matches.
• Lillestrom have conceded first-half goals in 6 of their last 10 league matches.

BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonViking StavangerEstimated chance40%

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Viking's ability to control matches from the first half makes a HT/FT double plausible, but Lillestrom's home threat and the competitive nature of the fixture lower confidence.

• Viking led at half-time and won in 7 of their 11 league matches.
• Lillestrom have lost 2 of 5 home matches, both after trailing at half-time.
• Viking have won 4 of 6 away matches, leading at half-time in 3 of those wins.

BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableViking Stavanger / Viking StavangerEstimated chance30%

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced

The read

Historical H2H goal trends and Viking's high-scoring form suggest a strong chance of at least 3 goals, despite Lillestrom's occasional low-scoring games.

• Last 3 H2H meetings at Lillestrom produced 5, 4, and 1 goals (average 3.33).
• Viking average 2.5 goals per match this season; Lillestrom average 1.4 goals per match.
• Viking's last 5 league matches: 0, 2, 6, 2, 3 goals (average 2.6).
• Lillestrom's last 5 league matches: 2, 0, 1, 3, 0 goals (average 1.2).

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Both teams have consistent scoring records, and the H2H pattern supports goals at both ends, though Viking's occasional clean sheets add some doubt.

• Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings.
• Lillestrom have scored in 4 of their last 5 home matches.
• Viking have conceded in 4 of their last 6 away matches.
• Viking have scored in 10 of their 11 league matches this season.

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced

The read

Viking's strong first-half scoring record and the historical H2H trend of early goals make over 1.5 first-half goals a reasonable expectation.

• Viking average 1.4 first-half goals per match; Lillestrom average 0.7.
• Viking led at half-time in 73% of matches; Lillestrom led in 33%.
• Last 3 H2H meetings at Lillestrom: first-half goals were 2, 2, 0 (average 1.33).
• Viking's last 5 matches: first-half goals of 0, 1, 1, 1, 2 (average 1.0).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and H2H history suggests a total around 10-11, making over 9.5 a borderline call.

• Lillestrom average 5.1 corners per match; Viking average 6.1.
• Combined average corners in Lillestrom matches: 10.2; in Viking matches: 12.2.
• Last 5 H2H meetings with corner data: 11, 11, 9, 9, 13 (average 10.6).

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced

The read

Both teams have similar disciplinary records, and H2H trends hover around 4 cards, making over 3.5 a coin-flip proposition.

• Lillestrom average 2.0 yellow cards per match; Viking average 2.2.
• Combined average cards in Lillestrom matches: 4.2; in Viking matches: 4.4.
• Last 5 H2H meetings with card data: 4, 5, 3, 4, 5 (average 4.2).