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Predictions graded

Start Kristiansand0Rosenborg3

HT 0–1Sat 18 Jul 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions5–456%

Edges4–180%

PossPossession 45%–55%ShotsShots 14–9On targetOn target 3–6CornersCorners 5–3

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 13 Jul 2026, 13:28 · Europe/Bucharest

Rosenborg's new-coach lift and dominant H2H record (Start scoreless in last six league meetings) make them strong favorites to avoid defeat, with the double chance offering a 10-point edge.

Both Teams to Score: No is the standout value bet at an 18.5-point edge, given Rosenborg's away scoring drought and Start's historical struggles against them. Expect a tight, low-scoring affair with Rosenborg likely to edge it.

Context

Rosenborg beat Kristiansund 3-0 on 12 July in Alexandersson's debut.
- Alexandersson said the break was used to drill higher pressing, regains and sharper combinations.
- The win ended a run of poor results and lifted the squad's confidence.
Rosenborg confirmed on 5 July that Svensson, Pereira and Selnaes were back in the XI for a friendly.
- All three started the 12 July league win over Kristiansund.
- Svensson and Pereira had been out since 10/16 May; Selnaes also missed multiple games.
NFF's match page lists 20 previous meetings: Rosenborg 15 wins, Start 1 win, 4 draws.
- Start have not scored in the last six league H2Hs shown.
- The last five competitive meetings: Rosenborg won four, one draw.
Start have won only 1 of 13 league matches this season.
- They have the worst goal difference in the division (-16).
- They sit 16th, with the 14th-place relegation playoff spot 5 points away.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Rosenborg's historical dominance over Start, combined with a new-coach bounce and key player returns, gives them a clear edge against a struggling Start side with the worst defensive record in the league.
- Rosenborg have won 15 of the last 20 H2H meetings; Start are winless in the last five competitive meetings and scoreless in the last six league H2Hs.
- Start are bottom of the table with 7 points from 13 games, while Rosenborg sit 13th with 12 points from 12 games.
- Rosenborg's new coach Freyr Alexandersson debuted with a 3-0 win, and key players Svensson, Pereira, and Selnaes have returned from injury.
- Start have lost 8 of their last 13 league matches and have the worst goal difference (-16) in the league.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonRosenborgEstimated chance55%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Given Start's inability to win matches and Rosenborg's historical edge, the double chance heavily favors the away side or a draw, especially with Rosenborg's improved squad and Start's relegation struggles.
- Start have won only 1 of 13 league matches this season.
- Rosenborg are unbeaten in the last 5 competitive H2H meetings (4 wins, 1 draw).
- Start's home record is 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, but they have conceded 7 goals in 5 home games.
- Rosenborg's away form is poor (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses), but they have not lost to Start in recent years.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonDraw or RosenborgEstimated chance80%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to start slowly, and the H2H record shows frequent half-time draws, suggesting a stalemate at the break.
- Start have drawn at half-time in 5 of their last 13 matches; Rosenborg in 6 of 12.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 were draws at half-time.
- Start have led at half-time in only 27% of matches; Rosenborg in 20%.
- Rosenborg's away matches have been level at half-time in 3 of 5 games.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Rosenborg's tendency to score later in matches, combined with Start's second-half defensive frailties, gives Rosenborg an edge to win the second half.
- Rosenborg have scored 60% of their goals in the second half this season.
- Start have conceded 65% of their goals in the second half.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, Rosenborg have scored all their goals in the second half in 3 of them.
- Rosenborg's new coach emphasizes high pressing, which may wear down Start's defense late in the game.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableRosenborgEstimated chance50%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not a frequent occurrence, the pattern of a tight first half followed by Rosenborg's superiority in the second half makes this a plausible HT/FT outcome.
- Start have drawn at half-time and lost at full-time in 3 of their last 13 matches.
- Rosenborg have drawn at half-time and won at full-time in 2 of their last 12 matches.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, this exact HT/FT combination occurred once.
- Rosenborg's second-half scoring improvement supports a potential turnaround after a level first half.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / RosenborgEstimated chance30%

Goals2 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Rosenborg's complete lack of away goals this season, combined with Start's low scoring output and a history of tight H2H encounters, points to a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.
- Start average 0.9 goals per game overall and 1.2 at home; Rosenborg average 1.2 goals per game overall and 0.0 away.
- Rosenborg have failed to score in all 5 away league matches this season.
- The last 5 H2H meetings have produced 2 or fewer goals in 4 of them.
- Start have conceded 2.3 goals per game on average, but Rosenborg's away scoring drought suggests a low-scoring affair.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Rosenborg's away scoring drought and Start's historical struggles to score against Rosenborg make it likely that at least one team fails to find the net.
- Rosenborg have not scored in any of their 5 away league matches this season.
- Start have failed to score in 6 of their last 7 league H2H meetings with Rosenborg.
- Start have scored in 4 of 5 home matches, but Rosenborg's away defensive record (9 conceded in 5) is poor.
- The last 5 H2H meetings saw both teams score only once.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Despite Rosenborg's poor away defensive numbers, Start's historical inability to score against them and their overall offensive struggles give Rosenborg a chance at a clean sheet.
- Rosenborg have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 matches overall.
- Start have failed to score in 6 of their last 7 league H2H meetings with Rosenborg.
- Start average only 0.9 goals per game and have been shut out in 5 of 13 league matches.
- Rosenborg's away defensive record is poor (9 conceded in 5), but Start's attack is the weakest in the league.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonStart Kristiansand not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have low first-half scoring rates, and the H2H history shows a pattern of tight first halves, making under 1.5 first-half goals likely.
- Start average 0.6 first-half goals per game; Rosenborg average 0.7.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, only 1 match had more than 1 first-half goal.
- Start have led at half-time in only 27% of matches; Rosenborg in 20%.
- Rosenborg's away matches have seen 0 first-half goals in 3 of 5 games.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 1.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance70%

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The combined corner averages and historical H2H data suggest a relatively low corner count, especially with Start's low possession likely reducing their attacking corner chances.
- Start average 3.2 corners per game; Rosenborg average 5.8.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings with corner data, total corners were under 9.5 in 3 of them.
- Start's home matches average 7.8 total corners; Rosenborg's away matches average 8.4.
- Both teams have low possession rates (Start 39.7%, Rosenborg 52.4%), which may limit corner opportunities.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderwonUnder 9.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The combination of both teams' card averages and the high-stakes nature of the match suggests a moderate likelihood of over 3.5 total cards.
- Start average 2.2 yellow cards per game; Rosenborg average 1.8.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings with card data, total cards exceeded 3.5 in 3 of them.
- Start have received at least 2 cards in 8 of their last 13 matches.
- The match has relegation stakes, which could increase intensity and card count.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance55%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

1W · 1D · 3W

L2-1RosenborgvStartFeb 24, 2026FRI

L1-0RosenborgvStartNov 1, 2020ELI

D0-0StartvRosenborgJul 16, 2020ELI

W0-1StartvRosenborgNov 11, 2018ELI

L2-0RosenborgvStartApr 22, 2018ELI

Start Kristiansand: 2 clean sheetsRosenborg: 3 clean sheets1.4 goals/game avg

League Table

Eliteserien 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
16	Start Kristiansand Relegation - OBOS-ligaen	13	1	4	8	14-30	7	LLWLL
13	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	12-18	12	WDLLW

5pt gap between teamsStart Kristiansand in relegation zone

Recent Form

Start Kristiansand

L1-2BrannJul 12ELI

L0-4Bodo/GlimtJul 4FRI

L1-2FredrikstadMay 29ELI

W2-0ValerengaMay 25ELI

L1-4Bodo/GlimtMay 20ELI

L3-6VikingMay 16ELI

D1-1TromsoMay 3ELI

L0-5Bodo/GlimtApr 30ELI

L1-2Ham-KamApr 26ELI

D1-1MoldeApr 19ELI

L1-3LillestromApr 11ELI

D1-1Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 6ELI

L0-1TromsoMar 27FRI

D1-1AalesundMar 21ELI

L0-2KFUM OsloMar 15ELI

Rosenborg

W3-0Kristiansund BKJul 12ELI

W2-1MoldeJul 5FRI

D2-2Bodo/GlimtMay 29ELI

L0-2KFUM OsloMay 25ELI

L2-3AalesundMay 16ELI

W2-0LillestromMay 10ELI

L0-3VikingMay 1ELI

D1-1BrannApr 25ELI

D0-0SandefjordApr 18ELI

W2-1Sarpsborg 08 FFApr 12ELI

L0-2TromsoApr 6ELI

W4-1Stjørdals-BlinkMar 26FRI

L0-2ValerengaMar 22ELI

L0-2MoldeMar 14ELI

L0-1ValerengaFeb 27FRI

Squad & Injuries

Start Kristiansand

28 available

Attackers4

Midfielders11

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Rosenborg

28 available

Attackers7

Midfielders8

Defenders10

Goalkeeper3

Start Kristiansand0Rosenborg3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Rosenborg

Draw or Rosenborg

Rosenborg, draw no bet

No

Under 1.5

Under 9.5

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals2 of 4 landed

Match stats1 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

Under 0.5

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Start Kristiansand

Rosenborg

Squad & Injuries

Start Kristiansand

Rosenborg