Draw
Market 28% · BetBugs 40%
Birmingham's home record is 1W-5D-2L in their last 8, while Detroit are 1W-2D-4L away; the last three H2Hs produced two draws and a narrow Detroit win, making a draw the most likely outcome.
USL ChampionshipFull time
Predictions gradedPre-match view
The draw is the standout value play at 3.60, with a 12-point edge over the implied probability, backed by Birmingham’s draw-heavy home form, Detroit’s poor away record, and a winless H2H run for the hosts.
The first-half draw at 2.20 also offers a small edge, while other markets are efficiently priced or lack value.
Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.
Positive edges · 3
Market 28% · BetBugs 40%
Birmingham's home record is 1W-5D-2L in their last 8, while Detroit are 1W-2D-4L away; the last three H2Hs produced two draws and a narrow Detroit win, making a draw the most likely outcome.
Market 65% · BetBugs 70%
Birmingham have lost only 2 of 8 home matches this season, while Detroit have won only 1 of 7 away, making a home win or draw highly probable.
Market 45% · BetBugs 50%
Birmingham led at half-time in only 33% of recent matches, with 60% draws at half-time; Detroit trailed at half-time in 33% of recent matches, with 47% draws, and the last three H2H half-time results were all draws.
How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF-GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14-16 | 13 |
| 3 | Detroit CityPromotion - USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8-finals) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19-13 | 21 |

