Vila Nova vs Nautico PE: result, stats and head-to-head

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vila Nova's strong home form and H2H dominance, combined with Nautico's defensive lapses and squad instability, give the hosts a clear edge in a high-stakes promotion clash.
- Vila Nova are unbeaten at home this season (W4 D2 L0, 10 goals scored, 5 conceded in 6 home matches).
- Nautico PE have lost 3 of their last 5 away matches (W1 D1 L3) and conceded 9 goals in 7 away games.
- Vila Nova have won the last 3 H2H meetings, including two clean sheets.
BetBugs · Match WinnerwonVila NovaEstimated chance48%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Vila Nova's unbeaten home record and Nautico's inconsistent away form make a home win or draw highly likely, supported by the hosts' promotion pressure and returning attackers.
- Vila Nova have not lost at home this season (6 matches: 4 wins, 2 draws).
- Nautico PE have failed to win in 4 of their last 5 away matches (D2 L2).
- Vila Nova have lost only 2 of 13 league matches overall this season.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonVila Nova or DrawEstimated chance78%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
The low halftime lead percentages for both sides and the H2H pattern of level first halves point to a draw at the break.
- Vila Nova led at halftime in only 27% of matches this season.
- Nautico PE trailed at halftime in 40% of matches, but led in only 20%.
- 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings were level at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Vila Nova's tendency to improve after halftime at home, combined with Nautico's second-half defensive frailties, gives the hosts an edge in the latter period.
- Vila Nova have scored 60% of their home goals in the second half (6 of 10).
- Nautico PE have conceded 67% of their away goals in the second half (6 of 9).
- Vila Nova have won the second half in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableVila NovaEstimated chance42%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
A draw at halftime followed by a Vila Nova win is a plausible scenario given the hosts' second-half strength and Nautico's tendency to fade, though the exact sequence carries lower probability.
- Vila Nova have drawn at halftime in 53% of matches this season (8 of 15).
- Vila Nova have won 4 of 6 home matches, often after level first halves.
- Nautico PE have drawn at halftime in 5 of 13 matches, but lost 5 of 13 overall.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/Vila NovaEstimated chance25%

Goals0 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates, and the high-stakes context often leads to tighter games; Vila Nova's solid home defense (0.83 goals conceded per home game) supports a low-scoring affair.
- Vila Nova's home matches average 2.5 total goals (10 scored, 5 conceded in 6 games).
- Nautico PE's away matches average 3.0 total goals, but 4 of their last 5 away games had under 2.5 goals.
- 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderlostUnder 2.5Estimated chance62%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Vila Nova's defensive solidity at home and Nautico's occasional attacking blanks, coupled with H2H clean sheet trends, suggest at least one team will fail to score.
- Vila Nova kept clean sheets in 2 of their last 3 home matches.
- Nautico PE failed to score in 2 of their last 5 away matches.
- Vila Nova have kept 2 clean sheets in the last 3 H2H wins.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorelostNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While not a dominant trend, Vila Nova's home defensive record and Nautico's recent attacking inconsistencies provide a plausible case for a home clean sheet.
- Vila Nova have kept 2 clean sheets in 6 home matches this season.
- Nautico PE have failed to score in 2 of 7 away matches.
- Vila Nova kept clean sheets in 2 of the last 3 H2H wins.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostNautico PE not to scoreEstimated chance38%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with low first-half scoring averages, making a goalless first half likely in a tense promotion battle.
- Vila Nova average 0.5 first-half goals at home, with 4 of 6 home matches having 0 or 1 first-half goal.
- Nautico PE average 0.4 first-half goals overall, with 8 of 13 matches having 0 first-half goals.
- In the last 5 H2H meetings, 3 had 0 goals at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams generate a moderate number of corners, and the competitive nature of the match could lead to an above-average corner count, though the evidence is not strong.
- Vila Nova average 5.2 corners per match, with 6 of 13 league matches having over 9.5 total corners.
- Nautico PE average 5.8 corners per match, with 7 of 13 matches having over 9.5 total corners.
- The last H2H meeting (2023) had 11 corners.
BetBugs · Corners Over/Undernot gradableOver 9.5Estimated chance52%

The percentage shows our estimated chance. Tap a row for the context and share card.18+ · predictions, not guarantees

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
2	Vila Nova Promotion	13	7	4	2	18-12	25	LWWWW
7	Nautico PE	13	6	2	5	18-14	20	DLLWW

Vila Nova4Nautico PE3

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Vila Nova or Draw

Vila Nova

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

No

BetBugs probabilities

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals0 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 0 landed

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

Vila Nova

Nautico PE

Squad & Injuries

Vila Nova

Nautico PE