Primera NacionalFull time

Predictions graded

CA San Telmo2Racing de Cordoba0

HT 2–0Sat 20 Jun 2026, 18:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–650%

Edges3–443%

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 17 Jun 2026, 16:35 · Europe/Bucharest

A relegation-threatened San Telmo host a travel-sick Racing de Cordoba in a match where goals are at a premium.

The best value is on first-half under 0.5 goals at 2.10, with a +12-point edge, while the full-time under 2.5 goals is a safe but low-return play. Avoid the overpriced first-half both teams to score 'No' and the double chance market, which offer no value despite the likely low-scoring draw.

Context

San Telmo are 15th in Zona A on 17 points after 17 matches, only two points above 17th and the relegation places.
- The table pressure forces San Telmo to avoid defeat, likely producing a cautious, risk-averse approach.
Racing de Cordoba have won only 1 of 8 away matches this season, with 5 losses.
- They have scored just 5 goals in 8 away games, averaging 0.625 goals per away match.
- Racing have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
San Telmo average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 against over the last 15 matches.
- Racing de Cordoba average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 against over the last 15 matches.
- San Telmo drew at halftime in 67% of their last 15 matches; Racing drew at halftime in 60%.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 3

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result1 of 3 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
San Telmo's high draw rate (47% overall) combined with both teams' recent form patterns and the balanced H2H history (1W-1D-1L) points to a stalemate as the most probable outcome.
- San Telmo have drawn 8 of 17 league matches this season (47%), including 2 of 9 at home.
- Racing de Cordoba have drawn 5 of 17 league matches (29%), with 2 of 8 away draws.
- San Telmo's last 5 matches: D-D-L-L-D, with 3 draws.
- Racing's last 5 matches: W-D-D-L-L, with 2 draws.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's dreadful away form (1 win in 8) and San Telmo's relative home resilience make a home win or draw the most likely double chance outcome.
- San Telmo have lost only 4 of 9 home matches this season (44% loss rate), with 3 wins and 2 draws.
- Racing de Cordoba have won only 1 of 8 away matches (12.5% win rate), with 5 losses.
- San Telmo are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 home matches (W2 D2 L1 in the last 5 home games shown).
- Racing have lost 5 of their last 6 away matches.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonCA San Telmo or DrawEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a strong tendency to be level at halftime (67% and 60% draw rates), and recent form reinforces this pattern, making a halftime draw the most likely outcome.
- San Telmo were leading at halftime in only 13% of their last 15 matches, trailing in 20%, and drawing in 67%.
- Racing de Cordoba were leading at halftime in 13% of their last 15 matches, trailing in 27%, and drawing in 60%.
- In San Telmo's last 5 matches, 4 were drawn at halftime.
- In Racing's last 5 matches, 3 were drawn at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerlostDrawEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
Given both teams' high draw rates and tendency for first-half draws, a Draw/Draw HT/FT double is a plausible low-probability outcome, supported by San Telmo's recent pattern of three such results in five matches.
- San Telmo have drawn 8 of 17 matches overall, with 67% of first halves ending in draws.
- Racing have drawn 5 of 17 matches, with 60% of first halves ending in draws.
- In San Telmo's last 5 matches, 3 were draws at both halftime and fulltime.
- In Racing's last 5 matches, 1 was a draw at both halftime and fulltime.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw/DrawEstimated chance25%
Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
While second-half draws are less common than first-half draws, both teams have shown a tendency to share the spoils after the break in a significant portion of matches, making a second-half draw a reasonable low-confidence pick.
- San Telmo's second-half results in the last 15 matches: 5 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses (approximate from goal data).
- Racing's second-half results in the last 15 matches: 4 wins, 4 draws, 7 losses (approximate).
- In San Telmo's last 5 matches, 2 were drawn in the second half.
- In Racing's last 5 matches, 1 was drawn in the second half.
BetBugs · Second Half Winnernot gradableDrawEstimated chance35%

Goals5 of 9 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have consistently low-scoring profiles, with San Telmo's home matches and Racing's away matches averaging around 2.0 total goals, strongly supporting under 2.5 goals.
- San Telmo's last 15 matches average 0.7 goals for and 0.8 goals against, with 12 of 15 matches having under 2.5 total goals.
- Racing de Cordoba's last 15 matches average 1.0 goals for and 1.1 goals against, with 10 of 15 matches having under 2.5 total goals.
- San Telmo's home record shows 8 goals for and 10 against in 9 matches, averaging exactly 2.0 total goals per home game.
- Racing's away record is poor: 5 goals for and 12 against in 8 away matches, averaging 2.125 total goals per away game.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance75%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a high frequency of failing to score, and their home/away splits show both teams scoring in less than half of matches, making a clean sheet for at least one side likely.
- San Telmo failed to score in 8 of their last 15 matches, including 3 of their last 5.
- Racing de Cordoba failed to score in 5 of their last 15 matches, including 2 of their last 5.
- In San Telmo's 9 home matches, both teams scored in only 4 (44%).
- In Racing's 8 away matches, both teams scored in only 3 (37.5%).
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have very low first-half scoring averages (0.3 goals each), and recent matches show a pattern of goalless or low-scoring first halves, making under 0.5 first-half goals probable.
- San Telmo average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 first-half goals against over the last 15 matches.
- Racing de Cordoba average 0.3 first-half goals for and 0.5 first-half goals against over the last 15 matches.
- In San Telmo's last 5 matches, 4 had 0 or 1 first-half goal, with 2 ending 0-0 at halftime.
- In Racing's last 5 matches, 3 had 0 or 1 first-half goal, with 2 ending 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalslostUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to score more in the second half, with Racing's matches especially seeing goals after the break, making over 0.5 second-half goals highly likely.
- San Telmo's last 15 matches averaged 1.5 total goals per game, with 0.8 goals per second half on average (total goals minus first-half goals).
- Racing's last 15 matches averaged 2.1 total goals per game, with 1.3 goals per second half on average.
- In San Telmo's last 5 matches, 4 had at least one second-half goal.
- In Racing's last 5 matches, all 5 had at least one second-half goal.
BetBugs · Goals Over Under Second HalfwonOver 0.5Estimated chance70%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
San Telmo's clean sheet rate is low (33%), and Racing have been relatively consistent in finding the net away from home, making it more likely that the away side scores.
- San Telmo kept a clean sheet in only 5 of their last 15 matches (33%).
- At home, San Telmo kept a clean sheet in 3 of 9 matches (33%).
- Racing de Cordoba failed to score in only 5 of their last 15 matches (33%), but scored in 5 of 8 away matches (62.5%).
- Racing have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches overall.
BetBugs · Team to ScorelostRacing de Cordoba to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's away clean sheet rate is very poor (12.5%), and San Telmo have a decent home scoring record, making it unlikely that Racing will keep a clean sheet.
- Racing de Cordoba kept a clean sheet in only 4 of their last 15 matches (27%).
- Away from home, Racing kept a clean sheet in only 1 of 8 matches (12.5%).
- San Telmo failed to score in 8 of their last 15 matches (53%), but at home they scored in 6 of 9 matches (67%).
- San Telmo have scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonCA San Telmo to scoreEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
San Telmo's offensive output is consistently low, with only 2 multi-goal games in 15 matches, making under 1.5 home goals a strong probability.
- San Telmo average 0.7 goals per match overall, and 0.89 goals per home match (8 goals in 9 home games).
- San Telmo scored 1 goal or fewer in 13 of their last 15 matches (87%).
- Racing de Cordoba concede 1.5 goals per away match on average (12 goals in 8 away games).
- San Telmo scored more than 1 goal in only 2 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Home Goals TotallostCA San Telmo under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
Racing's away scoring is particularly weak (0.625 goals per game), and they rarely exceed one goal, making under 1.5 away goals a solid prediction.
- Racing de Cordoba average 1.0 goals per match overall, but only 0.625 goals per away match (5 goals in 8 away games).
- Racing scored 1 goal or fewer in 12 of their last 15 matches (80%).
- San Telmo concede 1.11 goals per home match on average (10 goals in 9 home games).
- Racing scored more than 1 goal in only 3 of their last 15 matches.
BetBugs · Away Goals TotalwonRacing de Cordoba under 1.5Estimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
San Telmo rarely win, and even more rarely keep a clean sheet in victory, while Racing typically score on the road, making a home win to nil highly improbable.
- San Telmo have won only 3 of 17 matches this season, and only 1 of those wins was to nil (the 2-0 vs Godoy Cruz).
- San Telmo kept a clean sheet in only 5 of 15 matches, and in only 1 of their 3 wins was the opponent held scoreless.
- Racing de Cordoba have failed to score in only 5 of 15 matches, and in away matches they scored in 5 of 8.
- San Telmo's win rate is just 18%, making a win to nil extremely unlikely.
BetBugs · Home Win to NillostNoEstimated chance85%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 7 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
15	CA San Telmo	17	3	8	6	12-16	17	DDLLD
11	Racing de Cordoba	17	5	5	7	16-19	20	WDDLL

3pt gap between teams

Recent Form

CA San Telmo

D0-0Central NorteJun 14PRI

D0-0Deportivo MadrynJun 7PRI

L0-1Defensores De BelgranoMay 30PRI

L0-1Ciudad de BolívarMay 23PRI

D0-0Almirante BrownMay 16PRI

D0-0Atletico MitreMay 9PRI

D1-1CA EstudiantesMay 2PRI

W1-0All BoysApr 25PRI

D0-0Los AndesApr 18PRI

W2-0Godoy CruzApr 11PRI

L0-1Deportivo MoronApr 5PRI

L0-3QuilmesMar 29PRI

W3-1Colon Santa FeMar 22PRI

D1-1San MiguelMar 14PRI

L2-3AcassusoMar 1PRI

Racing de Cordoba

W2-0Chaco For EverJun 14PRI

D1-1All BoysJun 7PRI

D0-0Ferro Carril OesteMay 30PRI

L0-2Los AndesMay 23PRI

L1-2Central NorteMay 16PRI

L1-2Godoy CruzMay 10PRI

D2-2Deportivo MadrynMay 3PRI

L1-2Deportivo MoronApr 26PRI

W3-0Defensores De BelgranoApr 19PRI

L0-1Colon Santa FeApr 12PRI

L0-2Ciudad de BolívarApr 5PRI

D0-0San Martin S.J.Mar 28PRI

W2-1San MiguelMar 21PRI

W2-1Almirante BrownMar 14PRI

D0-0Atletico MitreMar 1PRI

Squad & Injuries

CA San Telmo

29 available

Attackers10

Midfielders7

Defenders10

Goalkeeper2

Racing de Cordoba

31 available

Attackers7

Midfielders10

Defenders11

Goalkeeper3

CA San Telmo2Racing de Cordoba0

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Draw

No

Under 1.5

Under 1.5

CA San Telmo or Draw

Draw

BetBugs probabilities

Result1 of 3 landed

Goals5 of 9 landed

Markets to Avoid

Over 0.5

Racing de Cordoba to score

CA San Telmo to score

League Table

Recent Form

CA San Telmo

Racing de Cordoba

Squad & Injuries

CA San Telmo

Racing de Cordoba