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Caboolture SFC

Caboolture SFC - Brisbane Strikers

Brisbane Strikers
🇦🇺 Queensland Premier LeagueFinished
Friday, June 19, 2026 at 10:30

Finished Snapshot

FT1-2
FinishedSettled

Halftime

1-1

Predictions

8W · 1L · 0P

Edges

4W · 0L · 0P

Quick Take

Start here for the short read and the strongest priced leans.

Brisbane Strikers are the clear value play at 1.88, with a 65% win probability against an implied 53%. Avoid Both Teams to Score (implied 71.4% vs. our 55%) and Over 2.5 goals (implied 72.5% vs. our 60%) — the market overestimates scoring in a match where Brisbane’s defense and H2H control should dominate.

Context 5/10 Brisbane Strikers' strong form and H2H dominance are clear, but Caboolture's home inconsistency and the absence of major injuries or schedule pressure keep this at a moderate context level.
Double ChanceDraw or Brisbane Strikers85%+7.0pp
1 St Half Goals Over/UnderOver 0.580%Fair price
Match WinnerBrisbane Strikers65%+12.0pp

Context Signals

The match conditions that matter before looking at the prices.

Betting Edges

Markets where the model and price are far enough apart.

Model probabilities

The model view before price and edge filtering.

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 5 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

3W · 0D · 2W
L2-0Brisbane StrikersvCabooltureMar 24, 2026QUE
W0-3CaboolturevBrisbane StrikersAug 24, 2025QUE
W1-2Brisbane StrikersvCabooltureMay 25, 2025QUE
W0-3CaboolturevBrisbane StrikersAug 10, 2024QUE
L3-1Brisbane StrikersvCabooltureMay 11, 2024QUE
Caboolture SFC: 2 clean sheets3 goals/game avg

League Table

Queensland Premier League 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGF-GAPts
4
Caboolture SFCCaboolture SFC
1472529-2523
2
Brisbane StrikersBrisbane Strikers
14103136-1133
10pt gap between teams

Recent Form

Caboolture SFC

Caboolture SFC

L1-2IpswichJun 6QUE
W2-1CapalabaMay 30QUE
W1-0Robina CityMay 24QUE
L2-3North StarMay 15QUE
W5-3Holland Park HawksMay 9QUE
W4-2Redlands UnitedApr 25QUE
D1-1St George WillawongApr 18QUE
L2-3Broadbeach UnitedApr 11QUE
W2-1SC WanderersMar 27QUE
L0-2Brisbane StrikersMar 24QUE
D2-2Logan LightningMar 21QUE
L1-3IpswichMar 7QUE
W3-1Robina CityFeb 28QUE
W3-1CapalabaFeb 21QUE
L0-3Brisbane StrikersAug 24QUE
Brisbane Strikers

Brisbane Strikers

W3-0Robina CityJun 6QUE
W3-1North StarJun 2QUE
W8-0CapalabaMay 23QUE
W3-2Holland Park HawksMay 16QUE
D1-1Redlands UnitedMay 8QUE
W2-0St George WillawongApr 24QUE
L1-2Broadbeach UnitedApr 18QUE
W3-0SC WanderersApr 11QUE
W4-2Logan LightningMar 28QUE
W2-0CabooltureMar 24QUE
D0-0IpswichMar 21QUE
W3-2Robina CityMar 7QUE
W2-0CapalabaFeb 28QUE
D1-1North StarFeb 21QUE
L1-2Magic UnitedSep 6QUE

Squad & Injuries

Caboolture SFC

0 available
Attackers0
Midfielders0
Defenders0
Goalkeeper0

Brisbane Strikers

3 available
Attackers0
Midfielders2
Defenders1
Goalkeeper0
Brisbane Strikers arrive at Caboolture with a clear edge in form, head-to-head history, and motivation. They’ve won 10 of 14 league matches this season, losing just once, and have taken the last three meetings with Caboolture — including a 2-0 win in March 2026 and a 3-0 away victory in August 2025. The Strikers are openly treating this as a crucial fixture in their push for top spot, while Caboolture’s home record (3W-2D-3L) shows vulnerability. The away win at 1.88 offers a notable value edge, with our model estimating a 65% chance against an implied 53%.