Botola ProFull timeFeatured

Predictions graded

RS Berkane0Olympic Safi0

HT 0–0Thu 18 Jun 2026, 14:00 Predictions graded

Predictions6–367%

Edges4–267%

PossPossession 69%–31%ShotsShots 6–1On targetOn target 1–0CornersCorners 1–0

Quick Take

Pre-match view

Context last updated 16 Jun 2026, 15:53 · Europe/Bucharest

RS Berkane are strong favorites at home to bottom-club Olympic Safi, but the 1.55 odds offer no edge.

The best value is in the low-scoring patterns: under 2.5 goals (1.70) and especially first-half under 0.5 goals (2.50), which carries a 15-point edge. Over 3.5 cards (1.80) is another solid angle, while the short-priced double chance and both-teams-to-score ‘No’ should be avoided.

Context

Chokri Khatoui was sacked on 2 June 2026.
- Mounir Jaouani was reappointed on 4 June 2026.
- The change occurred only 14 days before this fixture.
RS Berkane have 43 points, one behind AS FAR (44) and MAS Fez (44).
- Only three matchdays remain in the Botola Pro season.
- Berkane have won four of their last five league matches.
Olympic Safi are 16th with 15 points.
- They are two points behind 15th-placed Yacoub El Mansour.
- Safi have won only one away match all season.
Berkane kept clean sheets against Ittihad Tanger, Raja Casablanca, and CR Khemis Zemamra.
- They conceded only one goal each to Hassania Agadir and Wydad Fès in that span.
- At home, Berkane have conceded 12 goals in 12 matches this season.

BetBugs edges

Compare BetBugs' chances with the market's.

Positive edges · 4

BetBugs probabilities

How likely BetBugs thought each outcome was.

Result2 of 3 landed

Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
RS Berkane's strong home form (only 1 loss all season) and Olympic Safi's poor away record (1 win in 12) give the home side a clear edge, reinforced by Berkane's recent winning momentum.
- RS Berkane home record: 8W-3D-1L (12 matches), 20 goals scored, 12 conceded.
- Olympic Safi away record: 1W-5D-6L (12 matches), 10 goals scored, 18 conceded.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: 4W-0D-1L, including 3 consecutive wins.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: 1W-2D-2L, with only 1 win in last 10 league games.
BetBugs · Match WinnerlostRS BerkaneEstimated chance65%
Signal quality High · Uncertainty band Strong lean · Not priced
The read
RS Berkane are very hard to beat at home (only 1 loss), and Olympic Safi's away form combined with a history of draws in this fixture makes a home win or draw highly likely.
- RS Berkane home record: 8W-3D-1L, meaning they avoided defeat in 11 of 12 home games.
- Olympic Safi away record: 1W-5D-6L, losing only half of their away matches.
- H2H last 5 meetings: 3 draws, 2 RS Berkane wins, no Olympic Safi wins.
- Olympic Safi have drawn 9 of 24 league matches this season.
BetBugs · Double ChancewonRS Berkane or DrawEstimated chance85%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
The high likelihood of a goalless first half, combined with both teams' tendency to be level at the break, makes a halftime draw the most probable outcome.
- RS Berkane home first half record: led at halftime in 33% of matches, trailed in 7%.
- Olympic Safi away first half record: led at halftime in 40% of matches, trailed in 27%.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: 3 draws at halftime.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: 2 draws at halftime.
BetBugs · First Half WinnerwonDrawEstimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
RS Berkane often start slowly but finish strongly, while Olympic Safi tend to fade, making a halftime draw followed by a home win a plausible sequence.
- RS Berkane home matches: drew at halftime in 8 of 12 matches, won 8 of 12 overall.
- Olympic Safi away matches: drew at halftime in 4 of 12, lost 6 of 12 overall.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: 3 draws at halftime, 4 wins overall.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: 2 draws at halftime, 2 losses overall.
BetBugs · Ht Ft Doublenot gradableDraw / RS BerkaneEstimated chance30%

Goals4 of 4 landed

Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have moderate scoring rates, and recent form shows a trend toward low-scoring games, with RS Berkane's defense particularly solid at home (1 goal conceded per game).
- RS Berkane home matches: 20 goals scored, 12 conceded in 12 games, averaging 2.67 total goals.
- Olympic Safi away matches: 10 goals scored, 18 conceded in 12 games, averaging 2.33 total goals.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: 4 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: 3 matches had under 2.5 goals.
BetBugs · Goals Over/UnderwonUnder 2.5Estimated chance60%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
RS Berkane's defense has been strong recently, and Olympic Safi struggle to score on the road, making it likely that at least one team fails to score.
- RS Berkane home clean sheets: 4 in 12 matches (33%).
- Olympic Safi away failed to score: 5 in 12 matches (42%).
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: kept 3 clean sheets.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: failed to score in 2.
BetBugs · Both Teams to ScorewonNoEstimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Near coin-flip · Not priced
The read
RS Berkane's recent defensive solidity and Olympic Safi's away scoring woes increase the chance of a home clean sheet, though it remains less likely than both teams scoring.
- RS Berkane home clean sheets: 4 in 12 matches (33%).
- Olympic Safi away goals scored: 10 in 12 matches, failing to score in 5.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: kept 3 clean sheets.
- Olympic Safi have scored only 1 goal in their last 3 away matches.
BetBugs · Team to ScorewonOlympic Safi not to scoreEstimated chance40%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams tend to start slowly, with a high frequency of goalless first halves in recent matches, suggesting a cautious opening period.
- RS Berkane first half goals at home: 0.7 per game on average.
- Olympic Safi first half goals away: 0.6 per game on average.
- RS Berkane last 5 matches: 3 had 0-0 at halftime.
- Olympic Safi last 5 matches: 3 had 0-0 at halftime.
BetBugs · 1st Half GoalswonUnder 0.5 goals in 1st halfEstimated chance55%

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Signal quality Low · Uncertainty band Slight lean · Not priced
The read
Based on the sparse corner data, both teams generate a decent number of corners, but the small sample size reduces confidence in this prediction.
- RS Berkane average corners per game: 5.5 (limited data).
- Olympic Safi average corners per game: 7.0 (limited data).
- Combined average from available data: 12.5 corners per game.
- Only 2 recent matches have corner data, so confidence is low.
BetBugs · Corners Over/UnderlostOver 8.5Estimated chance55%
Signal quality Medium · Uncertainty band Lean · Not priced
The read
Both teams have a tendency to accumulate cards, with Olympic Safi particularly prone to bookings, making over 3.5 total cards a likely outcome.
- RS Berkane average yellow cards: 2.2 per game.
- Olympic Safi average yellow cards: 2.7 per game.
- Combined average: 4.9 yellow cards per game.
- Olympic Safi have received at least 2 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 matches.
BetBugs · Cards Over/UnderlostOver 3.5Estimated chance60%

Markets to Avoid

High-risk markets where price or context leaves too little cushion.

Pre-match flagged 4 avoid-market areas; caution remains warranted in high-variance spots.

Head-to-Head

2W · 3D · 0W

D1-1Olympique SafivRenaissance BerkaneApr 1, 2026BOT

D2-2Olympique SafivRenaissance BerkaneJun 29, 2025CUP

D2-2Renaissance BerkanevOlympique SafiJan 23, 2025BOT

W0-2Olympique SafivRenaissance BerkaneSep 25, 2024BOT

W1-2Olympique SafivRenaissance BerkaneApr 14, 2024BOT

RS Berkane unbeaten in 5 meetings3 goals/game avg

League Table

Botola Pro 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF-GA	Pts	Form
3	RS Berkane CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)	24	13	7	4	34-21	46	LWWWW
15	Olympic Safi Relegation	24	3	9	12	20-35	18	WLLDD

28pt gap between teamsOlympic Safi in relegation zone

Recent Form

RS Berkane

L0-1Hassania AgadirJun 14BOT

W1-0Ittihad TangerJun 8BOT

W1-0Raja CasablancaJun 3BOT

W1-0CR Khemis ZemamraMay 24BOT

W3-1Wydad FèsMay 16CUP

W1-0CODM MeknèsMay 10BOT

W4-3UTS RabatMay 7BOT

D1-1Yacoub El MansourMay 4BOT

L0-1Kawkab MarrakechApr 30BOT

W2-1Olympique DcheïraApr 26BOT

D0-0FAR RabatApr 22BOT

W1-0FAR RabatApr 18CAF

L0-2FAR RabatApr 11CAF

D1-1Maghreb FèsApr 5BOT

D1-1Olympique SafiApr 1BOT

Olympic Safi

W1-0Kawkab MarrakechJun 12BOT

L0-1Wydad ACJun 8BOT

L1-2Maghreb FèsJun 1BOT

D1-1Difaa EL JadidaMay 23BOT

W3-0Olympique DcheïraMay 16CUP

D1-1FUS RabatMay 11BOT

D1-1FAR RabatMay 7BOT

L1-2Hassania AgadirMay 4BOT

L1-2Ittihad TangerApr 29BOT

D1-1UTS RabatApr 25BOT

L1-3CR Khemis ZemamraApr 22BOT

D1-1USM AlgerApr 19CAF

D0-0USM AlgerApr 11CAF

W3-1Yacoub El MansourApr 4BOT

D1-1Renaissance BerkaneApr 1BOT

Squad & Injuries

RS Berkane

28 available

Attackers3

Midfielders13

Defenders8

Goalkeeper4

Olympic Safi

29 available

Attackers7

Midfielders12

Defenders6

Goalkeeper4

Quick Take

Context

BetBugs edges

Draw at half-time / RS Berkane at full-time

Under 2.5

Under 0.5

Over 3.5

RS Berkane

RS Berkane or Draw

No

Result2 of 3 landed

Goals4 of 4 landed

Match stats0 of 2 landed

Markets to Avoid

RS Berkane or Draw

No

Head-to-Head

League Table

Recent Form

RS Berkane

Olympic Safi

Squad & Injuries

RS Berkane

Olympic Safi